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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 8, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Pistons18%8875
4Heat82%10098
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.1
29.3
31.7
8
33%
7
1
0
0
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
4-10
5-11
40%
44%
0-2
0%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.4
29.1
28.1
16
58%
5
1
1
1
1
2
0
5
2-4
50%
4-8
3-6
50%
41%
2-4
50%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.0
27.5
19.9
11
36%
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
1
3-5
60%
4-8
3-7
50%
44%
0-5
0%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 21.8
26.5
27.8
11
62%
7
1
1
1
1
2
3
4
1-2
50%
5-8
5-10
63%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.1
24.3
24.0
7
45%
5
0
0
1
0
2
4
1
3-4
75%
2-6
3-6
33%
48%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.1
23.0
22.5
3
22%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
50%
0-2
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.0
22.0
23.8
9
65%
3
2
1
1
0
2
2
1
2-2
100%
2-2
3-6
100%
44%
1-4
25%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.3
18.2
19.4
6
52%
5
1
0
1
0
4
1
4
4-4
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
43%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 37.6
17.0
18.7
0
0%
5
0
1
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.8
13.0
7.6
4
33%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
40%
0-2
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.2
10.2
17.1
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 27.6
2.7
0
0-1
44%
Walker Russell
G · 6'0" 170 · 29.5
2.4
0
0-0
37%
Vernon Macklin
F · 6'10" 227 · 25.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.3
32.3
36.6
26
54%
4
2
0
2
1
1
3
1
1-5
20%
11-19
8-15
58%
57%
1-3
33%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.9
31.0
27.6
8
44%
3
5
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
2-3
67%
52%
0-3
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.0
30.3
32.9
22
49%
9
1
1
1
2
1
4
5
8-10
80%
7-17
6-12
41%
52%
0-1
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.6
23.6
22.7
4
67%
5
5
3
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.2
21.9
15.1
8
46%
9
0
1
0
2
1
3
6
4-6
67%
2-5
1-2
40%
59%
0-1
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.1
24.4
10.9
0
0%
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
53%
0-4
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.5
23.3
5.1
18
113%
1
0
4
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
6-8
75%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.8
20.1
23.7
2
25%
8
1
0
0
0
2
0
8
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
48%
0-0
-
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.7
12.5
15.0
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29.7
9.0
13.0
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.5
4.5
13.1
10
77%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
6-8
75%
2-3
2-3
67%
46%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 39.2
4.3
1.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.1
2.8
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.2
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.