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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 8, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Jazz29%98104
3Spurs71%105114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.3
37.8
35.6
19
40%
10
4
0
1
2
0
3
7
1-2
50%
9-22
8-17
41%
49%
0-1
0%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.0
34.7
35.7
12
49%
4
3
1
1
0
0
1
3
2-3
67%
5-10
4-8
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.1
33.1
24.6
18
54%
1
6
1
1
0
1
0
1
5-8
63%
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
3-7
43%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.2
21.3
34.2
2
13%
3
1
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-8
7-13
13%
51%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.1
13.1
21.7
7
47%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
45%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 20.7
29.6
19.1
14
62%
12
1
1
0
1
0
3
9
0-3
0%
7-10
3-6
70%
48%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.7
17.9
4.4
16
90%
4
2
1
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
3-4
0-1
75%
43%
3-4
75%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 20.7
17.3
16.3
4
34%
2
2
1
0
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.1
14.5
14.4
8
55%
1
3
1
1
0
4
0
1
2-3
67%
3-5
1-3
60%
41%
0-1
0%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 19.9
10.2
7.7
2
114%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.5
5.8
1.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
54%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 32.8
4.7
21.2
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 31.9
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.9
31.5
24.1
28
72%
3
3
2
1
0
3
0
3
10-10
100%
9-15
5-10
60%
52%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.0
30.9
25.3
13
53%
16
3
0
1
3
4
3
13
3-5
60%
5-10
6-11
50%
50%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.8
26.7
21.1
6
75%
4
2
1
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
53%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
25.7
22.3
14
92%
4
5
2
1
2
1
1
3
6-6
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
2-3
67%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.0
24.2
16.2
9
90%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
52%
1-1
100%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 34.7
28.3
22.5
23
69%
5
2
0
1
1
1
1
4
14-15
93%
3-4
2-4
75%
52%
1-6
17%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.0
23.8
17.0
3
38%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
1-4
25%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.5
20.6
17.8
4
32%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.3
17.1
13.8
9
78%
7
0
0
0
0
1
2
5
3-4
75%
3-4
3-5
75%
58%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.7
11.3
13.6
5
36%
3
1
0
0
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.0
21.2
1
2-4
45%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.0
19.2
1
4-7
53%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.0
8.1
0
1-1
48%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.