Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Raptors15%9275
1Thunder85%10691
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.7
37.8
35.3
16
34%
3
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
6-21
6-14
29%
46%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.5
35.6
23.5
19
79%
2
6
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
5-8
2-4
63%
48%
3-4
75%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.3
24.7
18.6
4
67%
10
0
1
0
0
1
3
7
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 29.5
18.9
22.5
8
51%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
39%
1-3
33%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.5
13.4
33.3
7
62%
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
5-6
83%
1-3
6-12
33%
46%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.1
27.6
10.5
5
21%
7
1
1
0
2
2
0
7
1-2
50%
2-8
1-3
25%
47%
0-3
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.8
19.9
20.0
6
75%
4
0
0
1
0
3
3
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
51%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 24.9
15.2
19.3
2
50%
4
0
0
0
2
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
56%
0-0
-
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.1
15.2
11.4
8
68%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.1
12.4
20.1
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-6
0%
41%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.3
10.4
24.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.9
8.9
2.1
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Justin Dentmon
G · 5'11" 185 · 26.6
9.2
0
1-2
38%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.6
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.5
30.5
40.1
23
71%
4
1
1
1
2
2
0
4
5-5
100%
3-8
7-14
38%
54%
4-6
67%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.9
29.3
18.8
0
0%
4
0
0
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.4
26.8
37.0
15
50%
6
6
1
2
0
4
1
5
5-7
71%
5-11
8-17
45%
49%
0-1
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.4
24.3
27.6
5
64%
5
0
0
0
1
2
0
5
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
55%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.6
23.2
22.6
8
37%
6
1
0
0
5
0
2
4
4-4
100%
2-9
4-7
22%
55%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 22.6
27.9
31.5
17
67%
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
5-6
83%
3-4
3-5
75%
57%
2-6
33%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.7
22.1
19.9
7
39%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-5
1-3
0%
42%
2-3
67%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.4
21.7
19.6
6
60%
9
4
3
1
1
2
7
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
59%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.9
18.9
6.8
8
50%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
2-7
29%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 34.6
7.8
8.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.4
2.9
2.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 23.4
2.9
2.2
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
54%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.3
1.8
4.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.0
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.