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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 9, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Raptors21%9098
14Pacers79%101103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.5
38.1
28.5
8
67%
2
14
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
2-4
50%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.7
33.6
35.8
10
39%
4
0
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
4-12
7-14
33%
45%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 24.9
32.9
17.9
16
81%
7
3
1
0
0
0
3
4
1-2
50%
6-8
2-4
75%
56%
1-1
100%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 29.5
26.1
20.8
17
86%
1
0
0
0
0
3
1
0
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
40%
4-4
100%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.3
24.2
20.7
5
43%
4
2
0
1
2
1
2
2
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
0-0
-
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.1
21.4
13.5
9
45%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
45%
1-4
25%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.1
18.1
17.6
4
33%
7
0
0
1
2
2
0
7
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.8
17.1
19.9
11
63%
10
1
1
0
1
2
3
7
1-4
25%
5-7
2-4
71%
51%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.3
15.8
18.9
18
63%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
10-10
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
2-7
29%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.9
6.5
5.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.1
6.3
17.0
0
0%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-1
2-5
0%
41%
0-0
-
Justin Dentmon
G · 5'11" 185 · 26.6
6.6
0
0-1
38%
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 24.1
1.3
0
0-0
47%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.6
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 25.9
35.6
22.0
18
75%
7
4
1
1
0
0
1
6
7-7
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
51%
1-3
33%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.0
31.7
33.0
18
62%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
7-10
5-10
70%
48%
1-4
25%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.6
31.3
26.7
9
53%
6
1
0
1
1
2
3
3
1-1
100%
4-8
5-9
50%
52%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 25.3
30.0
28.3
8
52%
5
3
0
0
2
3
1
4
4-6
67%
2-5
5-9
40%
51%
0-0
-
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.9
29.1
28.5
15
64%
6
3
0
1
1
1
1
5
4-6
67%
4-7
3-6
57%
52%
1-2
50%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 29.4
22.5
18.7
14
71%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
2-4
50%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 26.4
19.4
18.4
6
45%
7
0
2
1
0
0
1
6
4-6
67%
1-4
3-6
25%
46%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.3
15.0
14.6
6
50%
5
0
2
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.3
12.9
12.0
4
52%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
1-1
100%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.5
12.3
3.3
5
63%
0
4
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.6
28.3
1
3-6
50%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 21.6
2.7
0
0-1
47%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.9
2.1
0
0-0
52%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 25.3
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 35.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.