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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 9, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Thunder48%100109
10Bucks52%10189
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.5
37.4
36.1
19
54%
4
8
1
1
2
3
0
4
8-8
100%
4-10
6-12
40%
52%
1-4
25%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.9
30.9
23.1
14
79%
5
3
7
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
50%
2-4
50%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.6
27.3
23.0
13
69%
4
0
0
0
5
1
2
2
1-1
100%
6-9
4-7
67%
52%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.4
26.0
32.8
26
61%
7
3
1
1
0
4
3
4
1-1
100%
8-16
7-15
50%
47%
3-5
60%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.4
23.1
26.2
8
40%
7
3
0
0
1
0
3
4
2-2
100%
3-9
2-4
33%
53%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 22.6
22.6
30.0
16
79%
5
1
0
1
0
3
1
4
6-7
86%
2-4
3-5
50%
55%
2-3
67%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.7
22.0
20.5
6
50%
2
1
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
39%
0-2
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.5
19.9
20.7
3
80%
7
0
0
1
0
0
1
6
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
57%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.9
10.6
12.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-2
0%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.3
5.1
3.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.4
5.1
3.4
2
53%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 23.4
5.1
3.1
2
33%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
51%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 34.6
5.0
8.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.8
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.5
32.2
33.7
9
35%
1
7
0
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
2-10
6-13
20%
47%
1-2
50%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 29.6
31.9
20.4
6
30%
7
2
1
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
44%
0-6
0%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 22.5
27.3
33.9
13
54%
1
1
1
2
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
5-10
5-11
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.9
24.2
31.1
18
84%
2
2
0
1
2
2
1
1
3-4
75%
3-4
5-9
75%
50%
3-5
60%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 30.5
17.8
15.9
14
64%
4
2
1
0
1
2
0
4
1-2
50%
5-9
3-6
56%
46%
1-1
100%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.6
19.3
19.3
9
46%
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
4-8
2-5
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.8
17.9
18.7
2
25%
0
4
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 31.6
17.8
26.1
2
16%
5
5
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-1
0%
1-5
3-5
20%
51%
0-1
0%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 24.9
14.6
25.3
4
52%
4
0
2
1
2
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
44%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.4
13.6
11.8
2
33%
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 26.6
12.7
10.2
4
67%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.7
5.8
2.8
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
48%
0-0
-
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 25.1
5.1
3.6
2
33%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
47%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.1
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.