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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 9, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Clippers44%9685
11Grizzlies56%9894
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.9
41.2
34.7
21
52%
3
6
3
2
0
2
1
2
6-7
86%
6-13
5-10
46%
50%
1-4
25%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 23.1
37.1
34.4
19
62%
6
3
1
1
0
2
1
5
1-3
33%
9-13
7-13
69%
52%
0-1
0%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.7
35.1
23.1
14
54%
14
0
0
0
2
2
10
4
2-2
100%
6-12
3-4
50%
62%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 28.5
34.4
32.2
11
32%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-10
3-6
40%
43%
1-7
14%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 32.1
29.1
25.3
5
36%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
45%
1-2
50%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 34.3
23.8
21.9
4
26%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
2-4
50%
1-6
2-5
17%
46%
0-0
-
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.3
21.1
16.8
11
80%
2
2
2
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
44%
1-2
50%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.9
18.2
22.1
0
0%
1
0
2
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 31.9
10.8
0
0-1
42%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 29.3
9.1
0
1-2
45%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 31.9
8.0
0
0-1
45%
Trey Thompkins
F · 6'10" 245 · 21.9
2.4
0
0-1
45%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 29.6
1.6
0
0-0
43%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 35.5
Travis Leslie
· 6'4" 205 · 22.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.6
37.8
34.2
16
68%
6
1
1
1
0
6
2
4
3-4
75%
5-6
6-12
83%
49%
1-4
25%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.2
34.0
33.7
18
60%
8
7
0
1
2
2
3
5
6-7
86%
6-12
6-11
50%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.5
33.9
28.9
13
55%
3
3
1
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
47%
1-2
50%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.1
30.3
19.6
4
29%
6
1
1
1
0
0
4
2
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 24.7
23.8
20.8
12
67%
8
2
0
0
0
1
1
7
0-0
-
6-9
4-7
67%
48%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.7
29.8
25.2
10
39%
12
1
0
1
0
4
3
9
2-4
50%
4-11
5-9
36%
49%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.4
27.9
28.3
13
69%
2
5
2
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
3-4
3-7
75%
46%
2-5
40%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 30.3
13.8
13.8
2
33%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.0
5.0
12.6
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 26.9
3.4
3.4
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 26.1
0.3
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.2
16.5
1
2-4
51%
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.0
1.2
0
0-0
44%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.