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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 9, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Lakers64%9893
24Hornets36%9391
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.8
37.4
36.5
25
50%
9
4
1
1
2
2
4
5
5-9
56%
10-21
7-13
48%
52%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.5
35.1
29.9
18
46%
11
1
0
0
1
3
4
7
4-6
67%
7-17
7-12
41%
57%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.0
32.3
29.9
17
73%
6
6
1
1
0
2
0
6
6-6
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
46%
1-2
50%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.4
31.9
28.9
8
57%
4
2
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
2-3
67%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.4
25.9
12.0
6
38%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.1
29.8
18.0
8
62%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-5
1-1
40%
43%
1-1
100%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 32.1
24.1
27.7
9
77%
8
1
0
1
2
1
1
7
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
52%
1-3
33%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.1
12.9
18.0
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31.9
10.7
9.3
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.6
26.4
1
5-11
48%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.3
2.2
0
0-1
45%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.3
1.5
0
0-0
44%
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 22.8
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.0
37.5
24.7
20
63%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
46%
4-7
57%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.2
35.9
29.5
18
67%
0
11
2
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-7
3-7
14%
48%
5-6
83%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.5
35.8
22.7
7
54%
7
0
3
1
1
2
0
7
1-1
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
45%
0-1
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.1
30.1
26.3
8
36%
3
1
0
1
1
1
3
0
0-0
-
4-11
4-9
36%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.9
28.6
26.2
16
58%
4
3
1
0
5
2
1
3
2-2
100%
7-13
5-10
54%
47%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.6
29.8
21.7
20
73%
11
5
0
0
0
1
1
10
4-4
100%
8-12
4-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.1
22.6
19.0
2
13%
6
2
2
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-7
2-5
14%
44%
0-1
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.0
12.2
9.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.0
7.5
10.9
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.3
24.7
1
4-8
48%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.8
19.0
1
2-4
46%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.4
11.7
0
2-4
48%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 26.7
4.7
0
0-1
48%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.