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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 9, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Suns54%105114
23Timberwolves46%10390
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 26.4
28.0
29.2
17
57%
7
4
0
1
1
1
0
7
1-2
50%
5-8
4-9
63%
46%
2-6
33%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.2
26.1
29.8
14
67%
2
6
0
1
1
3
0
2
1-1
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
54%
1-3
33%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.7
22.7
27.7
4
29%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
52%
0-2
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.1
21.1
29.1
4
67%
7
0
1
1
0
3
3
4
0-0
-
2-3
6-10
67%
56%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 28.9
16.4
27.5
9
90%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
47%
1-1
100%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.6
31.3
18.3
21
66%
6
1
1
1
1
3
1
5
2-2
100%
8-12
2-5
67%
44%
1-3
33%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 26.8
21.9
16.5
14
94%
1
7
2
1
1
0
0
1
1-1
100%
5-5
2-4
100%
42%
1-2
50%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.0
21.9
17.3
6
39%
3
2
0
0
3
1
0
3
2-4
50%
2-6
3-6
33%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 32.6
20.6
19.0
13
66%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
47%
1-2
50%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 28.8
20.0
15.7
6
60%
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
57%
0-1
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 29.8
5.0
3.9
6
109%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.8
5.0
3.1
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 39.5
8.6
0
1-3
48%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 23.6
38.6
35.7
25
52%
13
2
2
1
0
4
4
9
10-11
91%
6-13
7-14
46%
49%
1-6
17%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.8
31.8
25.6
16
47%
3
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-11
3-7
45%
46%
2-6
33%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.3
29.6
22.7
11
64%
2
0
2
1
0
2
1
1
5-6
83%
3-6
4-8
50%
56%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 25.3
26.6
23.0
2
33%
7
0
0
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
24.7
22.8
9
56%
2
1
0
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
29.0
17.6
12
43%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-9
3-6
33%
47%
2-5
40%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.9
22.5
14.0
5
43%
2
5
0
0
1
2
2
0
3-4
75%
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.9
17.1
19.8
10
63%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
49%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.4
9.4
26.3
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.9
5.7
12.8
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 22.7
5.0
8.6
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 36.0
5.8
0
0-1
47%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 26.8
4.0
0
1-1
48%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 21.5
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.