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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 9, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs58%10384
18Jazz42%10091
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
34.6
23.6
7
32%
4
1
0
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
47%
1-4
25%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.0
31.5
14.4
5
19%
4
2
3
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-8
1-3
13%
44%
1-5
20%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.7
24.3
12.8
9
45%
3
4
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
45%
1-5
20%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.0
21.8
13.3
13
66%
8
1
0
1
0
0
3
5
1-2
50%
6-9
3-5
67%
52%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.0
20.3
19.4
5
51%
3
0
2
0
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-4
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.5
28.6
19.1
14
44%
2
5
2
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
4-12
2-4
33%
47%
2-4
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.0
27.0
20.0
10
63%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.3
26.2
15.4
14
69%
6
1
1
0
2
2
2
4
4-5
80%
5-8
3-5
63%
57%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.8
25.7
23.3
7
41%
5
2
1
1
1
1
1
4
1-1
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.0
27.5
1
6-12
49%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.9
27.1
1
6-11
51%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 34.7
24.8
1
2-5
51%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.0
5.9
0
0-1
46%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.0
37.0
34.8
16
63%
6
4
1
1
2
4
2
4
5-6
83%
4-7
4-8
57%
49%
1-3
33%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.3
36.2
35.7
12
47%
10
3
1
1
4
0
1
9
2-2
100%
5-12
9-18
42%
50%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.1
35.9
27.7
25
56%
6
6
1
1
1
3
1
5
8-12
67%
4-10
2-5
40%
47%
3-7
43%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.2
34.7
29.0
18
62%
10
0
2
1
2
4
4
6
6-8
75%
6-11
6-11
55%
52%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.7
11.0
10.1
0
0%
3
0
2
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 20.7
31.1
23.1
7
74%
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
4
3-4
75%
2-3
4-8
67%
50%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.5
17.6
3.9
2
100%
3
0
0
0
3
0
3
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
54%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 20.7
13.0
16.8
4
33%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
45%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.1
12.9
14.4
4
25%
2
2
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
42%
0-3
0%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 19.9
10.7
9.0
3
61%
5
0
0
0
0
3
1
4
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.1
18.6
1
2-5
46%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 32.8
14.6
1
1-2
44%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 31.9
7.9
0
1-3
45%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.