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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 10, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Magic54%9885
25Wizards46%9693
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.2
38.9
31.1
10
31%
3
1
0
1
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
2-9
3-5
22%
49%
2-7
29%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.9
38.8
28.3
7
32%
4
0
2
1
0
3
2
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
50%
1-7
14%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.3
36.2
32.2
12
39%
10
2
3
1
0
1
3
7
2-5
40%
5-12
6-13
42%
45%
0-1
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.8
35.5
31.8
15
52%
4
3
3
1
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
47%
2-7
29%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.2
32.2
30.3
19
50%
4
7
0
1
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
5-11
3-7
45%
49%
3-8
38%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 32.0
21.6
21.3
14
79%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
3-5
60%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.8
15.8
10.0
8
50%
5
3
0
0
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
4-8
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.2
15.2
18.7
0
0%
6
0
0
0
3
0
2
4
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.7
5.7
7.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.6
12.8
0
0-1
45%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.7
9.6
0
1-2
50%
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.6
3.5
0
0-1
49%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.0
1.6
0
0-0
48%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.3
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 22.3
39.9
29.4
24
71%
13
2
0
1
4
1
2
11
2-2
100%
11-16
5-9
69%
51%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.6
36.0
29.7
15
61%
3
7
2
1
1
4
0
3
5-5
100%
5-10
4-10
50%
45%
0-0
-
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 22.0
32.6
26.6
5
43%
9
1
1
1
0
0
2
7
1-2
50%
2-5
3-5
40%
52%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 23.5
31.5
26.5
21
58%
4
4
1
1
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
9-13
4-9
69%
45%
1-5
20%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 22.4
18.7
20.7
0
0%
4
0
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.4
29.5
23.6
12
55%
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
42%
2-6
33%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.7
23.3
25.8
12
87%
8
0
1
1
0
0
0
8
2-2
100%
5-6
3-6
83%
49%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.6
16.5
23.5
2
25%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 22.0
12.1
17.1
2
17%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-4
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 31.3
10.9
0
1-2
42%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.6
8.9
0
2-3
55%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.4
8.3
0
1-2
53%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.4
3.1
0
0-1
46%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.7
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.