Final Win Prob. pScore
733%88
115
167%93
107
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo Celtics
126.49187.3
MIA logo Heat
118.99094.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS115
107
Q4 - 0:13.0BOSBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)115
107
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot115
107
Q4 - 0:22.0BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)115
107
Q4 - 0:22.0BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)114
107
Q4 - 0:22.0MIABattier P.FOUL (P4.PN)113
107
Q4 - 0:22.0BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)113
107
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot113
107
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)113
107
Q4 - 0:34.0BOSMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot113
107
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (36 PTS)113
107
Q4 - 1:01MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 2)113
105
Q4 - 1:01BOSRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)113
105
Q4 - 1:01BOSCeltics Rebound112
105
Q4 - 1:01BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 2112
105
Q4 - 1:01MIAMiller S.FOUL (P1.T3)112
105
Q4 - 1:04BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)112
105
Q4 - 1:05MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot112
105
Q4 - 1:26BOSPierce 1' Driving Layup (25 PTS)112
105
Q4 - 1:44MIABosh 2' Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)110
105
Q4 - 2:00BOSGarnett 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (24 PTS)110
103
Q4 - 2:22MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS)108
103
Q4 - 2:34BOSCeltics Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)108
101
Q4 - 2:34BOSCeltics Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)108
101
Q4 - 2:34BOSCeltics Rebound108
101
Q4 - 2:35BOSMISS Rondo 3' Reverse Layup108
101
Q4 - 3:01MIAWade 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (18 PTS)108
101
Q4 - 3:09MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)108
99
Q4 - 3:10BOSMISS Bass 16' Jump Shot108
99
Q4 - 3:26BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)108
99
Q4 - 3:27MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2108
99
Q4 - 3:27MIASUB: Battier FOR Chalmers108
99
Q4 - 3:27MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)108
99
Q4 - 3:27BOSBass S.FOUL (P3.PN)108
98
Q4 - 3:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)108
98
Q4 - 3:28MIAMISS James 8' Jump Shot108
98
Q4 - 3:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)108
98
Q4 - 3:43BOSMISS Rondo 17' Jump Shot108
98
Q4 - 4:01BOSBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)108
98
Q4 - 4:02BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot108
98
Q4 - 4:25MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)108
98
Q4 - 4:25MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)108
97
Q4 - 4:25BOSPierce S.FOUL (P3.PN)108
96
Q4 - 4:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)108
96
Q4 - 4:30MIAMISS Bosh 1' Tip Shot108
96
Q4 - 4:31MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)108
96
Q4 - 4:32MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup108
96
Q4 - 4:47BOSBass 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Rondo 15 AST)108
96
Q4 - 5:06MIAJames 12' Fadeaway Jumper (32 PTS)106
96
Q4 - 5:18BOSRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)106
94
Q4 - 5:18BOSCeltics Rebound105
94
Q4 - 5:18BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 2105
94
Q4 - 5:18BOSAllen Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)105
94
Q4 - 5:18MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Battier104
94
Q4 - 5:18104
94
Q4 - 5:18MIAWade T.FOUL (P3.T2)104
94
Q4 - 5:18MIAWade S.FOUL (P3.T2)104
94
Q4 - 5:43MIABosh 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)104
94
Q4 - 5:56BOSPierce 19' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS)104
92
Q4 - 6:16MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)102
92
Q4 - 6:16MIASUB: Miller FOR Chalmers102
91
Q4 - 6:16MIAHEAT Rebound102
91
Q4 - 6:16MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 2102
91
Q4 - 6:16BOSPierce S.FOUL (P2.PN)102
91
Q4 - 6:41BOSGarnett 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS)102
91
Q4 - 6:58MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T7)100
91
Q4 - 6:58MIAChalmers OFF.Foul (P3)100
91
Q4 - 7:12BOSGarnett 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS)100
91
Q4 - 7:19BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)98
91
Q4 - 7:20MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup98
91
Q4 - 7:37BOSGarnett 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS)98
91
Q4 - 8:01MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)96
91
Q4 - 8:01MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)96
90
Q4 - 8:01BOSBass S.FOUL (P2.T4)96
89
Q4 - 8:22BOSGarnett 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Rondo 14 AST)96
89
Q4 - 8:35BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)94
89
Q4 - 8:36MIAMISS James 18' Fadeaway Jumper94
89
Q4 - 8:51BOSGarnett P.FOUL (P4.T3)94
89
Q4 - 9:01MIASUB: James FOR Haslem94
89
Q4 - 9:01MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 2)94
89
Q4 - 9:01BOSAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Rondo 13 AST)94
89
Q4 - 9:16BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)91
89
Q4 - 9:17MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot91
89
Q4 - 9:31BOSSUB: Pierce FOR Pavlovic91
89
Q4 - 9:31BOSSUB: Rondo FOR Bradley91
89
Q4 - 9:31MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)91
89
Q4 - 9:31BOSCeltics T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Bass )91
88
Q4 - 9:42BOSBass 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)91
88
Q4 - 10:07BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)89
88
Q4 - 10:08MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 189
88
Q4 - 10:08BOSPavlovic S.FOUL (P3.T2)89
88
Q4 - 10:08MIABosh 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)89
88
Q4 - 10:19BOSSUB: Bass FOR Stiemsma89
86
Q4 - 10:19BOSStiemsma Foul Turnover (P2.T13)89
86
Q4 - 10:19BOSStiemsma OFF.Foul (P4)89
86
Q4 - 10:33MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)89
86
Q4 - 10:33BOSBradley S.FOUL (P2.T1)89
85
Q4 - 10:33MIAChalmers 3' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)89
85
Q4 - 10:34MIAHEAT Rebound89
83
Q4 - 10:35MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot89
83
Q4 - 10:43BOSChalmers STEAL (3 STL)89
83
Q4 - 10:49MIABattier P.FOUL (P3.T1)89
83
Q4 - 11:02BOSStiemsma REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)89
83
Q4 - 11:03MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot89
83
Q4 - 11:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)89
83
Q4 - 11:07MIAMISS Wade 12' Floating Jump Shot89
83
Q4 - 11:22BOSGarnett Foul Turnover (P3.T11)89
83
Q4 - 11:22BOSGarnett OFF.Foul (P3)89
83
Q4 - 11:32MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)89
83
Q4 - 11:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)89
81
Q4 - 11:47MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup89
81
Q4 - 12:0089
81
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA89
81
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
81
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 2 of 289
81
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)89
81
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem Shooting Block Foul (P4.PN)88
81
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAJames Driving Finger Roll Layup (29 PTS)88
81
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
79
Q3 - 0:40.0BOSMISS Pierce 19' Fadeaway Jumper88
79
Q3 - 1:03MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T6)88
79
Q3 - 1:03MIAHaslem OFF.Foul (P3)88
79
Q3 - 1:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
79
Q3 - 1:10BOSMISS Rondo 7' Running Hook Shot88
79
Q3 - 1:26MIAJames 17' Fadeaway Jumper (27 PTS)88
79
Q3 - 1:50BOSSUB: Garnett FOR Bass88
77
Q3 - 1:50BOSCeltics Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)88
77
Q3 - 1:50MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 2)88
77
Q3 - 1:50BOSRondo 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS)88
77
Q3 - 1:56BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
77
Q3 - 1:57MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot86
77
Q3 - 2:22BOSBass 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Rondo 12 AST)86
77
Q3 - 2:45MIABattier 1' Layup (2 PTS)84
77
Q3 - 2:46MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
75
Q3 - 2:47MIAMISS Miller 14' Jump Shot84
75
Q3 - 3:14BOSStiemsma 1' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Rondo 11 AST)84
75
Q3 - 3:25MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)82
75
Q3 - 3:25MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade82
74
Q3 - 3:25MIASUB: Haslem FOR Turiaf82
74
Q3 - 3:25MIASUB: Miller FOR Bosh82
74
Q3 - 3:25MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)82
74
Q3 - 3:25BOSStiemsma S.FOUL (P3.T3)82
73
Q3 - 3:39MIAJames REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)82
73
Q3 - 3:40BOSJames BLOCK (1 BLK)82
73
Q3 - 3:46BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
73
Q3 - 3:47MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
73
Q3 - 4:01BOSStiemsma 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rondo 10 AST)82
73
Q3 - 4:19MIAJames 19' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS)80
73
Q3 - 4:44BOSPierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Rondo 9 AST)80
71
Q3 - 4:52BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)77
71
Q3 - 4:53MIAMISS James 1' Layup77
71
Q3 - 4:54MIAJames REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)77
71
Q3 - 4:55MIAMISS Bosh 11' Turnaround Jump Shot77
71
Q3 - 5:05MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
71
Q3 - 5:06BOSMISS Rondo 19' Jump Shot77
71
Q3 - 5:18MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)77
71
Q3 - 5:18BOSSUB: Allen FOR Bradley77
70
Q3 - 5:18MIASUB: Battier FOR Chalmers77
70
Q3 - 5:18MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)77
70
Q3 - 5:18BOSStiemsma S.FOUL (P2.T2)77
69
Q3 - 5:21MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
69
Q3 - 5:22BOSMISS Pierce 19' Jump Shot77
69
Q3 - 5:23BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
69
Q3 - 5:24BOSWade BLOCK (1 BLK)77
69
Q3 - 5:49MIAJames Foul Turnover (P2.T5)77
69
Q3 - 5:49MIAJames Offensive Charge Foul (P3.PN)77
69
Q3 - 5:52MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)77
69
Q3 - 5:53MIAMISS Bosh 5' Jump Shot77
69
Q3 - 6:04BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)77
69
Q3 - 6:04BOSCeltics Rebound76
69
Q3 - 6:04BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 276
69
Q3 - 6:04MIAWade S.FOUL (P2.PN)76
69
Q3 - 6:27MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 7 AST)76
69
Q3 - 6:35MIAJames REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)76
66
Q3 - 6:36MIAMISS James 13' Jump Shot76
66
Q3 - 6:39MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)76
66
Q3 - 6:40MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot76
66
Q3 - 6:53MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)76
66
Q3 - 6:57BOSRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)76
66
Q3 - 6:57BOSCeltics Rebound75
66
Q3 - 6:57BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 275
66
Q3 - 6:57MIATuriaf S.FOUL (P2.T4)75
66
Q3 - 7:05MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)75
66
Q3 - 7:20BOSRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)75
66
Q3 - 7:20BOSSUB: Stiemsma FOR Garnett74
66
Q3 - 7:20BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)74
66
Q3 - 7:20MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P2.T3)73
66
Q3 - 7:30BOSBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
66
Q3 - 7:31MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
66
Q3 - 7:43BOSRondo 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)73
66
Q3 - 8:01MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)71
66
Q3 - 8:13BOSRondo 13' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)71
64
Q3 - 8:31MIATuriaf 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)69
64
Q3 - 8:39BOSGarnett Foul Turnover (P2.T10)69
62
Q3 - 8:39BOSGarnett OFF.Foul (P2)69
62
Q3 - 8:43BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)69
62
Q3 - 8:44MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup69
62
Q3 - 8:49MIAJames Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)69
62
Q3 - 8:49BOSCeltics T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Garnett )69
61
Q3 - 9:05BOSChalmers STEAL (2 STL)69
61
Q3 - 9:19MIAJames P.FOUL (P2.T2)69
61
Q3 - 9:22BOSCeltics Rebound69
61
Q3 - 9:23BOSMISS Pierce 16' Jump Shot69
61
Q3 - 9:47MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 6 AST)69
61
Q3 - 9:51MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
58
Q3 - 9:52MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot69
58
Q3 - 10:02BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)69
58
Q3 - 10:18MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)69
58
Q3 - 10:18MIAHEAT Rebound69
57
Q3 - 10:18MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 269
57
Q3 - 10:18BOSRondo S.FOUL (P2.T1)69
57
Q3 - 10:25MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
57
Q3 - 10:26BOSMISS Bradley 3PT Jump Shot69
57
Q3 - 10:41BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
57
Q3 - 10:42MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
57
Q3 - 10:58BOSGarnett 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)69
57
Q3 - 11:16MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P1.T1)67
57
Q3 - 11:16BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)67
57
Q3 - 11:17MIAMISS Chalmers 13' Jump Shot67
57
Q3 - 11:23MIAHEAT Rebound67
57
Q3 - 11:24MIAMISS Turiaf 2' Layup67
57
Q3 - 11:33BOSRondo Violation:Kicked Ball67
57
Q3 - 11:48BOSBradley 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)67
57
Q3 - 12:0065
57
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS65
57
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA65
57
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)65
57
Q2 - 0:11.0BOSPierce 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Rondo 8 AST)65
54
Q2 - 0:19.0BOSCeltics Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)63
54
Q2 - 0:31.0MIABosh 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)63
54
Q2 - 0:44.0BOSPierce 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)63
52
Q2 - 0:51.0MIABosh P.FOUL (P1.T3)61
52
Q2 - 1:01MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)61
52
Q2 - 1:01BOSSUB: Garnett FOR Bass61
51
Q2 - 1:01BOSRondo S.FOUL (P1.PN)61
51
Q2 - 1:01MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)61
51
Q2 - 1:05MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
49
Q2 - 1:06BOSMISS Bass 13' Jump Shot61
49
Q2 - 1:28MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)61
49
Q2 - 1:36BOSWade STEAL (3 STL)61
46
Q2 - 1:52BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
46
Q2 - 1:53MIAMISS Wade 13' Floating Jump Shot61
46
Q2 - 2:05MIASUB: Bosh FOR Chalmers61
46
Q2 - 2:05MIASUB: Jones FOR Turiaf61
46
Q2 - 2:05MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 1)61
46
Q2 - 2:12BOSPierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)61
46
Q2 - 2:18BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
46
Q2 - 2:19MIAMISS Turiaf 1' Layup58
46
Q2 - 2:44BOSBradley 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS)58
46
Q2 - 2:56BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
46
Q2 - 2:57MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot56
46
Q2 - 3:13BOSRondo 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)56
46
Q2 - 3:39MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (16 PTS)54
46
Q2 - 3:52BOSCeltics Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)54
44
Q2 - 3:52BOSCeltics Rebound54
44
Q2 - 3:53BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
44
Q2 - 4:12MIASUB: Turiaf FOR Bosh54
44
Q2 - 4:12BOSSUB: Bradley FOR Garnett54
44
Q2 - 4:12BOSCeltics Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)54
44
Q2 - 4:18MIAChalmers 8' Jump Shot (5 PTS)54
44
Q2 - 4:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
42
Q2 - 4:25BOSMISS Rondo 11' Floating Jump Shot54
42
Q2 - 4:36MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (14 PTS)54
42
Q2 - 4:39BOSChalmers STEAL (1 STL)54
40
Q2 - 4:55MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 5 AST)54
40
Q2 - 5:14BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)54
37
Q2 - 5:25BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)51
37
Q2 - 5:26BOSMISS Pierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
37
Q2 - 5:47MIAJames 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)51
37
Q2 - 5:55MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
35
Q2 - 5:56BOSMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot51
35
Q2 - 6:17MIAWade 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)51
35
Q2 - 6:32BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)51
33
Q2 - 6:32BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)50
33
Q2 - 6:32MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T2)49
33
Q2 - 6:47BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
33
Q2 - 6:48MIAMISS James 9' Jump Bank Shot49
33
Q2 - 6:58BOSSUB: Pierce FOR Bradley49
33
Q2 - 6:58BOSSUB: Rondo FOR Pavlovic49
33
Q2 - 6:58BOSPavlovic P.FOUL (P2.T4)49
33
Q2 - 7:01MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
33
Q2 - 7:02BOSMISS Garnett 2' Layup49
33
Q2 - 7:17MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)49
33
Q2 - 7:17MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)49
32
Q2 - 7:17BOSBass S.FOUL (P1.T3)49
31
Q2 - 7:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)49
31
Q2 - 7:20MIAMISS James 3' Jump Shot49
31
Q2 - 7:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)49
31
Q2 - 7:22MIAMISS James 6' Jump Shot49
31
Q2 - 7:30BOSSUB: Bass FOR Stiemsma49
31
Q2 - 7:30MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)49
31
Q2 - 7:35BOSBradley 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)49
31
Q2 - 7:49BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
31
Q2 - 7:50MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 247
31
Q2 - 7:50MIASUB: James FOR Haslem47
31
Q2 - 7:50MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)47
31
Q2 - 7:50BOSBradley S.FOUL (P1.T2)47
30
Q2 - 8:01MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
30
Q2 - 8:02BOSChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)47
30
Q2 - 8:07BOSStiemsma REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
30
Q2 - 8:08MIAMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot47
30
Q2 - 8:25BOSGarnett 1' Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS)47
30
Q2 - 8:39BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
30
Q2 - 8:40MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
30
Q2 - 8:46MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
30
Q2 - 8:47BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
30
Q2 - 9:08MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)45
30
Q2 - 9:08MIAHEAT Rebound45
29
Q2 - 9:08MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 245
29
Q2 - 9:08BOSPavlovic S.FOUL (P1.T1)45
29
Q2 - 9:17BOSPavlovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)45
29
Q2 - 9:33MIAWade 5' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)42
29
Q2 - 9:51MIASUB: Wade FOR Jones42
27
Q2 - 9:51MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)42
27
Q2 - 9:52BOSGarnett 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Stiemsma 1 AST)42
27
Q2 - 10:04BOSStiemsma REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
27
Q2 - 10:05MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot40
27
Q2 - 10:23BOSPavlovic 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)40
27
Q2 - 10:32MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P2.T1)37
27
Q2 - 10:44MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)37
27
Q2 - 11:04BOSStiemsma 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)37
24
Q2 - 11:19MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)35
24
Q2 - 11:41BOSGarnett 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
22
Q2 - 12:0033
22
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS33
22
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)33
22
Q1 - 0:08.0MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Cole33
22
Q1 - 0:08.0BOSPierce P.FOUL (P1.T2)33
22
Q1 - 0:27.0BOSRondo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)33
22
Q1 - 0:35.0BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
22
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot30
22
Q1 - 1:01BOSStiemsma 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)30
22
Q1 - 1:11BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
22
Q1 - 1:12MIAMISS Battier 2' Layup28
22
Q1 - 1:33BOSBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)28
22
Q1 - 1:33BOSBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
22
Q1 - 1:33MIAHaslem L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)26
22
Q1 - 1:33BOSCeltics Rebound26
22
Q1 - 1:34MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot26
22
Q1 - 1:55BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)26
22
Q1 - 1:55BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
22
Q1 - 1:55MIAJames S.FOUL (P1.T4)24
22
Q1 - 2:08MIABattier P.FOUL (P2.T3)24
22
Q1 - 2:15BOSStiemsma REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
22
Q1 - 2:16MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
22
Q1 - 2:39BOSBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
22
Q1 - 2:39BOSBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
22
Q1 - 2:39MIABattier S.FOUL (P1.T2)22
22
Q1 - 2:39BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
22
Q1 - 2:40BOSHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)22
22
Q1 - 2:54BOSStiemsma REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
22
Q1 - 2:55BOSMISS Bass 9' Turnaround Jump Shot22
22
Q1 - 3:06MIASUB: Cole FOR Wade22
22
Q1 - 3:14MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)22
22
Q1 - 3:32BOSAllen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)22
20
Q1 - 3:41BOSStiemsma REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
20
Q1 - 3:42MIAMISS James 19' Fadeaway Jumper19
20
Q1 - 4:09BOSAllen 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)19
20
Q1 - 4:21MIASUB: Haslem FOR Bosh17
20
Q1 - 4:21BOSCeltics Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)17
20
Q1 - 4:28MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 4 AST)17
20
Q1 - 4:37BOSWade STEAL (2 STL)17
17
Q1 - 4:49MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)17
17
Q1 - 4:53BOSJames STEAL (1 STL)17
15
Q1 - 5:13MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)17
15
Q1 - 5:13MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)17
14
Q1 - 5:13BOSStiemsma S.FOUL (P1.T1)17
13
Q1 - 5:22BOSSUB: Allen FOR Bradley17
13
Q1 - 5:22MIASUB: Jones FOR Chalmers17
13
Q1 - 5:22MIASUB: Battier FOR Turiaf17
13
Q1 - 5:22BOSStiemsma Violation:Kicked Ball17
13
Q1 - 5:40BOSPierce 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)17
13
Q1 - 5:44BOSStiemsma REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
13
Q1 - 5:45MIAMISS Wade 13' Turnaround Jump Shot15
13
Q1 - 6:03BOSSUB: Stiemsma FOR Garnett15
13
Q1 - 6:03BOSPierce Violation:Kicked Ball15
13
Q1 - 6:11BOSBass 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
13
Q1 - 6:24MIAJames 6' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)13
13
Q1 - 6:41MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
11
Q1 - 6:42BOSMISS Pierce 17' Jump Shot13
11
Q1 - 6:59MIAWade 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)13
11
Q1 - 7:04MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)13
9
Q1 - 7:05BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
9
Q1 - 7:05BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
9
Q1 - 7:05MIATuriaf S.FOUL (P1.T1)11
9
Q1 - 7:11BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
9
Q1 - 7:12MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot11
9
Q1 - 7:27BOSRondo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
9
Q1 - 7:36BOSBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
9
Q1 - 7:37MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup9
9
Q1 - 7:48BOSGarnett 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)9
9
Q1 - 8:02BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
9
Q1 - 8:03MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot7
9
Q1 - 8:12MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
9
Q1 - 8:13BOSMISS Garnett 19' Jump Shot7
9
Q1 - 8:25BOSBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
9
Q1 - 8:26MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot7
9
Q1 - 8:38BOSGarnett 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)7
9
Q1 - 8:51MIABosh Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)5
9
Q1 - 9:03BOSBradley 1' Running Dunk (5 PTS)5
9
Q1 - 9:07BOSBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
9
Q1 - 9:08MIAMISS Turiaf 14' Jump Shot3
9
Q1 - 9:19BOSGarnett Foul Turnover (P1.T2)3
9
Q1 - 9:19BOSGarnett OFF.Foul (P1)3
9
Q1 - 9:32MIAWade 2' Layup (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)3
9
Q1 - 9:43MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
7
Q1 - 9:44BOSMISS Garnett 9' Jump Shot3
7
Q1 - 9:57MIATuriaf 6' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)3
7
Q1 - 10:23BOSBradley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)3
5
Q1 - 10:30BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
5
Q1 - 10:31MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot0
5
Q1 - 10:40BOSWade STEAL (1 STL)0
5
Q1 - 10:44MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
5
Q1 - 10:50MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
5
Q1 - 10:51BOSMISS Bradley 2' Driving Layup0
5
Q1 - 11:09MIAJames 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)0
5
Q1 - 11:17MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
3
Q1 - 11:18BOSMISS Pierce 15' Jump Shot0
3
Q1 - 11:37MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)0
3
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Garnett: Tip to Chalmers0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.31 65.3%
MIA
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
10
16
63%
MIA
22
35
63%
Midrange
BOS
24
41
59%
MIA
9
34
26%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
9
13.5
14
64%
96%
MIA
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
Free Throws
BOS
20
25
80%
MIA
21
27
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Pierce2764%13.5 / 21
K. Garnett2480%12.0 / 15
R. Rondo1860%9.0 / 15
B. Bass1260%6.0 / 10
A. Bradley1169%5.5 / 8
R. Allen964%4.5 / 7
G. Stiemsma880%4.0 / 5
S. Pavlovic6150%3.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3662%18.0 / 29
D. Wade2043%10.0 / 23
M. Chalmers1890%9.0 / 10
C. Bosh1343%6.5 / 15
M. Miller660%3.0 / 5
J. Jones675%3.0 / 4
R. Turiaf440%2.0 / 5
S. Battier233%1.0 / 3
U. Haslem233%1.0 / 3
N. Cole0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
79
+8
-12
87
MIA
83
+15
-7
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.31 65.3%
MIA
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.6
106.6
BOS 126.4 +7.5
MIA 118.9
Pace
90.8
91.3
BOS 87.3
MIA 94.0 +6.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.8
BOS 16.5
MIA 15.3 −1.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
50.5%
BOS 66.9% +17.5%
MIA 49.4%
TO %
15.4%
15.9%
BOS 14.6%
MIA 6.6% −8.0%
ORB %
19.9%
26.6%
BOS 19.2%
MIA 27.1% +7.9%
FTrt
25.7
30.7
BOS 35.2 +4.2
MIA 31.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.5%
53.8%
BOS 53.5% +4.8%
MIA 48.7%
STL %
8.3%
9.6%
BOS 3.3%
MIA 7.8% +4.5%
BLK %
8.7%
9.0%
BOS 8.7% +1.7%
MIA 7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.75 and 2.75.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
53.5%
BOS 65.3% +11.3%
MIA 54.0%
Rim FG%
57.7%
61.1%
BOS 62.5%
MIA 62.9% +0.4%
Mid FG%
41.9%
40.0%
BOS 58.5% +32.0%
MIA 26.5%
3P %
36.7%
35.9%
BOS 64.3% +19.9%
MIA 44.4%
FT %
77.8%
77.5%
BOS 80.0% +2.2%
MIA 77.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.5%
36.7%
BOS 22.5%
MIA 40.2% +17.7%
Mid Att. %
48.0%
43.6%
BOS 57.7%
MIA 39.1% −18.7%
3P Att. %
19.4%
19.8%
BOS 19.7%
MIA 20.7% +1.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points115107
Rebounds4034
Assists2319
Steals37
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)12 (2)7 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (3)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (1)21 (0)
Field Goals43-7139-87
At-the-Rim FG10-1622-35
Midrange FG24-419-34
2-Point FG34-5731-69
3-Point FG9-148-18
Free Throws20-2521-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 186 · 26
40.5
18
60%
4
15
0
0
3
2
1
3
5-8
63%
5-10
50%
1-1
100%
F · 6'7" 235 · 34
40.5
27
64%
7
2
1
0
1
3
1
6
8-10
80%
5-11
45%
3-5
60%
F · 6'8" 250 · 27
39.0
12
60%
10
0
1
1
2
3
2
8
4-4
100%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 36
33.3
24
80%
9
2
0
2
4
4
0
9
2-2
100%
11-14
79%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 180 · 21
25.1
11
69%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
67%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 205 · 37
34.7
9
64%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
C · 6'11" 260 · 27
19.6
8
80%
7
1
1
2
2
4
1
6
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 28
7.5
6
150%
0
0
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-2
100%
C · 7'0" 240 · 27
G · 6'3" 195 · 32
F · 6'6" 200 · 31
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23
F · 6'10" 221 · 23
#28 · F · 6'6" 215 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · C-F · 6'11" 255 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
115
65%
40
23
3
6
12
0
5
35
20-25
80%
34-57
60%
9-14
64%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.