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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 10, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Celtics33%88115
1Heat67%94107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.1
40.5
33.7
18
62%
4
15
0
2
0
3
1
3
5-8
63%
5-10
4-8
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.5
40.5
31.9
27
66%
7
2
1
1
0
1
1
6
8-10
80%
5-11
5-10
45%
47%
3-5
60%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 26.9
39.0
31.8
12
61%
10
0
1
1
1
2
2
8
4-4
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
48%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 35.9
33.3
30.8
24
81%
9
2
0
1
2
4
0
9
2-2
100%
11-14
7-13
79%
49%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.4
25.1
30.9
11
69%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
4-8
67%
46%
1-2
50%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 36.7
34.7
28.2
9
60%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
2-4
50%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
19.6
20.0
8
80%
7
1
1
1
2
2
1
6
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
47%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 28.4
7.5
14.0
6
150%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
2-2
100%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.5
5.8
0
1-1
52%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.9
5.1
0
0-1
43%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.3
2.7
0
0-1
46%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.1
2.5
0
0-1
42%
JaJuan Johnson
F · 6'10" 221 · 23.2
2.0
0
0-1
45%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.2
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 33.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.3
40.9
34.4
36
62%
7
7
1
2
1
2
5
2
13-14
93%
10-20
8-14
50%
54%
1-3
33%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.2
39.3
34.9
20
44%
2
5
3
2
1
2
2
0
2-4
50%
9-19
8-15
47%
52%
0-2
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.0
38.1
31.4
13
43%
9
1
0
1
0
1
3
6
3-5
60%
5-13
6-12
38%
50%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.9
31.0
28.6
18
84%
3
0
3
1
1
1
0
3
3-4
75%
3-4
2-4
75%
51%
3-5
60%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.2
17.3
17.3
4
40%
6
0
0
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
57%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.1
21.7
17.4
6
60%
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
50%
2-3
67%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.6
20.8
22.7
2
33%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.8
14.9
22.3
2
33%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.5
13.0
12.2
6
75%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
2-4
50%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.5
3.0
9.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.7
13.8
0
1-2
45%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29.7
11.7
0
1-1
50%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 39.2
2.9
0
0-1
44%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.3
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.