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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 11, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1276ers61%9493
27Raptors39%9075
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 21.8
37.9
29.0
8
40%
7
7
1
1
1
0
0
7
0-2
0%
4-8
4-10
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.2
31.1
33.4
10
63%
2
4
2
1
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
49%
1-2
50%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.1
27.6
26.4
11
51%
8
1
0
1
1
1
2
6
3-4
75%
4-8
4-8
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.6
25.8
26.1
7
47%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
3-3
2-3
100%
48%
0-4
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 21.5
19.9
14.2
12
61%
5
3
0
0
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
5-9
2-5
56%
49%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.8
25.8
27.2
17
64%
5
1
1
1
1
0
1
4
1-3
33%
8-12
5-10
67%
51%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.5
23.9
24.5
6
50%
8
6
0
1
0
0
0
8
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
46%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.5
23.1
25.4
10
56%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
45%
0-2
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.0
22.4
22.1
10
56%
4
2
0
0
4
2
0
4
0-0
-
5-9
4-7
56%
50%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 26.9
2.5
5.3
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23.2
5.0
0
1-1
49%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 36.2
2.5
0
0-0
45%
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.5
1.9
0
0-1
49%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 29.5
34.4
21.9
13
46%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
4-5
80%
3-8
2-4
38%
41%
1-4
25%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.7
30.7
34.4
11
58%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
5-7
6-14
71%
46%
0-2
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 24.9
26.0
22.4
2
13%
6
0
0
1
3
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-8
3-4
13%
57%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.5
22.2
31.2
9
77%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
49%
1-2
50%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.3
12.6
21.4
0
0%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.9
33.0
18.7
13
47%
13
5
0
0
0
1
5
8
3-4
75%
5-12
2-4
42%
53%
0-0
-
Justin Dentmon
G · 5'11" 185 · 26.6
21.1
5.1
5
83%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
39%
1-1
100%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.1
20.7
17.7
5
23%
5
2
0
1
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-9
2-5
11%
47%
1-2
50%
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.1
19.4
16.0
10
50%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
46%
2-4
50%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.3
13.7
17.6
5
50%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 24.1
3.6
0.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.1
2.5
13.2
2
100%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
41%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.9
5.5
0
0-1
46%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.5
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.