Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Hawks	37%	86	86	84.3	102	93.0
	6	Celtics	63%	90	88	85.4	103	92.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 26	42.4	20	50%	11	5	0	2	6	1	0	11	1-2	50%	8-15	53%	1-4	25%
Joe Johnson F · 6'7" 240 · 31	42.2	14	37%	3	5	0	0	2	1	1	2	4-5	80%	5-12	42%	0-5	0%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 24	41.3	21	75%	3	5	2	1	5	2	0	3	4-4	100%	7-11	64%	1-1	100%
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 28	39.5	13	59%	7	2	1	0	0	3	2	5	3-7	43%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Kirk Hinrich G · 6'4" 190 · 31	22.8	5	50%	1	3	3	0	1	3	0	1	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%

Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 26	29.4	4	29%	6	0	1	0	0	2	0	6	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Tracy McGrady G-F · 6'8" 225 · 33	14.1	5	63%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Ivan Johnson F · 6'8" 255 · 28	13.4	4	50%	5	0	2	0	0	1	2	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Willie Green G · 6'3" 205 · 31	10.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Jannero Pargo G · 6'1" 185 · 32	9.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Jason Collins C · 7'0" 255 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jerry Stackhouse F · 6'6" 218 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Vladimir Radmanovic F · 6'10" 235 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Al Horford #15 · C-F · 6'8" 240 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Erick Dampier #25 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	86	45%	39	20	9	3	16	0	6	33	16-23	70%	32-63	51%	2-20	10%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

17 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 26	42.4	20	50%	11	5	0	2	6	1	0	11	1-2	50%	8-15	53%	1-4	25%
Joe Johnson F · 6'7" 240 · 31	42.2	14	37%	3	5	0	0	2	1	1	2	4-5	80%	5-12	42%	0-5	0%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 24	41.3	21	75%	3	5	2	1	5	2	0	3	4-4	100%	7-11	64%	1-1	100%
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 28	39.5	13	59%	7	2	1	0	0	3	2	5	3-7	43%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Kirk Hinrich G · 6'4" 190 · 31	22.8	5	50%	1	3	3	0	1	3	0	1	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%

Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 26	29.4	4	29%	6	0	1	0	0	2	0	6	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Tracy McGrady G-F · 6'8" 225 · 33	14.1	5	63%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Ivan Johnson F · 6'8" 255 · 28	13.4	4	50%	5	0	2	0	0	1	2	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Willie Green G · 6'3" 205 · 31	10.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Jannero Pargo G · 6'1" 185 · 32	9.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Jason Collins C · 7'0" 255 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jerry Stackhouse F · 6'6" 218 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Vladimir Radmanovic F · 6'10" 235 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Al Horford #15 · C-F · 6'8" 240 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Erick Dampier #25 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	86	45%	39	20	9	3	16	0	6	33	16-23	70%	32-63	51%	2-20	10%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

6 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rajon Rondo G · 6'1" 186 · 26	47.0	10	28%	10	20	2	0	6	3	2	8	4-4	100%	3-14	21%	0-2	0%
Brandon Bass F · 6'8" 250 · 27	42.4	21	58%	10	1	1	1	3	0	4	6	1-2	50%	10-17	59%	0-0	-
Paul Pierce F · 6'7" 235 · 34	40.5	14	37%	5	4	2	0	4	3	0	5	1-1	100%	5-11	45%	1-8	13%
Kevin Garnett C · 6'11" 240 · 36	33.0	22	52%	12	2	3	0	1	6	3	9	4-4	100%	9-20	45%	0-0	-
Avery Bradley G · 6'2" 180 · 21	30.9	7	50%	4	0	0	0	2	3	1	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-1	100%

Mickael Pietrus F · 6'6" 215 · 30	28.8	8	67%	6	0	0	1	1	2	1	5	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Greg Stiemsma C · 6'11" 260 · 27	24.1	6	60%	8	0	1	1	2	6	4	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Sasha Pavlovic G-F · 6'7" 235 · 28	14.2	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Keyon Dooling G · 6'3" 195 · 32	4.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ryan Hollins C · 7'0" 240 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Marquis Daniels F · 6'6" 200 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
E'Twaun Moore F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
JaJuan Johnson F · 6'10" 221 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jermaine O'Neal #7 · C-F · 6'11" 255 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Ray Allen #20 · G · 6'5" 205 · 37	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	88	44%	56	28	9	3	19	0	15	41	11-13	85%	34-76	45%	3-13	23%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	BOS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

0.91 45.3%

BOS

0.87 43.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

17

26

65%

BOS

15

32

47%

Midrange

ATL

15

37

41%

BOS

19

44

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

2

3.0

20

10%

15%

BOS

3

4.5

13

23%

35%

Free Throws

ATL

16

23

70%

BOS

11

13

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Teague	21	75%	10.5 / 14
J. Smith	20	50%	10.0 / 20
J. Johnson	14	37%	7.0 / 19
Z. Pachulia	13	59%	6.5 / 11
K. Hinrich	5	50%	2.5 / 5
T. McGrady	5	63%	2.5 / 4
M. Williams	4	29%	2.0 / 7
I. Johnson	4	50%	2.0 / 4
W. Green	0	-	0.0 / 4
J. Pargo	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Garnett	22	52%	11.0 / 21
B. Bass	21	58%	10.5 / 18
P. Pierce	14	37%	7.0 / 19
R. Rondo	10	28%	5.0 / 18
M. Pietrus	8	67%	4.0 / 6
A. Bradley	7	50%	3.5 / 7
G. Stiemsma	6	60%	3.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 105.3 28 100.6	ATL 84.3 BOS 85.4 +1.1
Pace	23 89.9 19 90.8	ATL 93.0 +0.3 BOS 92.7
Avg. Poss. Time	14 15.8 17 15.8	ATL 15.5 −0.0 BOS 15.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 50.0% 10 49.6%	ATL 42.2% BOS 43.3% +1.1%
TO %	6 14.5% 17 15.4%	ATL 14.7% −4.8% BOS 19.5%
ORB %	26 23.9% 30 19.9%	ATL 12.8% BOS 31.3% +18.5%
FTrt	21 25.9 22 25.7	ATL 27.7 +13.1 BOS 14.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 61.0% 1 66.5%	ATL 58.8% BOS 75.7% +16.9%
STL %	9 8.8% 16 8.3%	ATL 8.8% +0.1% BOS 8.7%
BLK %	23 7.2% 7 8.7%	ATL 3.9% BOS 4.8% +0.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.75 and 2.75.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	7 52.1% 9 51.8%	ATL 45.3% +1.7% BOS 43.6%
Rim FG%	7 60.0% 15 57.7%	ATL 65.4% +18.5% BOS 46.9%
Mid FG%	20 38.2% 1 41.9%	ATL 40.5% BOS 43.2% +2.7%
3P %	5 37.0% 7 36.7%	ATL 10.0% BOS 23.1% +13.1%
FT %	23 74.0% 5 77.8%	ATL 69.6% BOS 84.6% +15.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 34.6% 26 32.5%	ATL 31.3% BOS 36.0% +4.6%
Mid Att. %	13 40.6% 27 48.0%	ATL 44.6% −4.9% BOS 49.4%
3P Att. %	10 24.9% 24 19.4%	ATL 24.1% +9.5% BOS 14.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	BOS
Possessions	102	103
Possession Minutes	26.3	26.7
Points	86	88
Rebounds	39	56
Assists	20	28
Steals	9	9
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	19 (4)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (3)	15 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (2)	41 (4)
Field Goals	34-83	37-89
At-the-Rim FG	17-26	15-32
Midrange FG	15-37	19-44
2-Point FG	32-63	34-76
3-Point FG	2-20	3-13
Free Throws	16-23	11-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg