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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 11, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Knicks44%100111
13Bucks56%102107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 21.8
42.0
34.6
16
47%
6
5
3
2
0
1
2
4
4-5
80%
6-14
3-7
43%
45%
0-1
0%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.9
41.4
36.4
32
57%
10
2
0
1
1
3
3
7
4-5
80%
11-22
7-16
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 29.5
39.0
35.4
19
105%
11
1
1
1
0
5
0
11
7-7
100%
6-6
4-6
100%
62%
0-0
-
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.8
30.6
26.1
11
70%
5
6
2
1
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
5-6
3-6
83%
52%
0-1
0%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 33.0
19.3
22.7
5
51%
1
3
2
1
0
5
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
0-1
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26.6
26.8
31.7
14
50%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
3-9
3-7
33%
46%
2-4
50%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.8
22.4
18.4
10
73%
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
2-5
40%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.9
9.3
3.1
0
0%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.4
9.1
11.5
4
52%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.1
10.4
0
1-3
43%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.5
6.6
0
0-1
53%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 23.2
5.2
0
0-1
48%
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 25.5
1.5
0
0-0
49%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.6
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.5
40.7
32.5
35
64%
6
10
4
1
0
5
0
6
4-5
80%
11-18
6-13
61%
48%
3-7
43%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 22.5
40.6
31.1
22
54%
4
7
0
1
0
3
2
2
0-1
0%
8-11
5-10
73%
45%
2-9
22%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 29.6
22.4
25.1
2
29%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-1
0%
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.9
13.7
28.4
3
50%
2
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
4-8
0%
51%
1-1
100%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 30.5
5.0
16.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 31.6
36.1
22.7
19
51%
6
3
1
1
0
1
2
4
7-8
88%
3-9
2-5
33%
51%
2-6
33%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.6
31.9
19.6
8
43%
8
1
2
1
1
2
4
4
2-5
40%
3-7
3-5
43%
50%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 24.9
22.7
21.1
8
69%
5
0
0
1
3
1
2
3
2-4
50%
3-4
2-5
75%
44%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.8
14.6
18.2
6
60%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
51%
0-1
0%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.4
11.8
12.3
4
100%
2
0
1
0
3
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 26.6
0.4
11.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 25.1
4.3
0
0-1
47%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.7
4.1
0
1-1
48%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 22.9
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.