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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 11, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Kings36%9696
23Hornets64%101105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 24.9
39.2
20.8
25
60%
4
2
3
1
0
2
2
2
4-4
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
48%
3-9
33%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.6
39.1
30.7
19
54%
5
8
4
1
0
0
1
4
5-6
83%
7-14
5-11
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 25.7
32.1
23.3
18
68%
7
1
1
0
1
1
3
4
2-3
67%
8-12
3-6
67%
50%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.2
20.9
33.3
2
20%
2
7
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
48%
0-2
0%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.7
20.0
32.1
7
27%
4
2
4
1
0
4
2
2
1-2
50%
3-12
7-16
25%
45%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.8
23.0
22.3
16
63%
5
1
0
1
0
2
0
5
4-4
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
43%
2-4
50%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.1
22.7
22.6
4
34%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
0-1
2-5
0%
42%
1-4
25%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 28.8
21.7
14.4
2
50%
3
2
0
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 24.1
19.9
16.6
3
75%
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
49%
1-2
50%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.8
1.3
7.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.3
11.2
0
1-2
48%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 27.6
7.7
0
1-2
42%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 21.7
2.0
0
0-0
44%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 32.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.2
35.5
31.2
15
56%
3
5
1
1
1
4
1
2
2-3
67%
5-10
4-7
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.0
35.0
26.7
8
40%
10
1
0
1
3
1
0
10
2-2
100%
3-9
6-11
33%
50%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.0
29.8
29.1
21
81%
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
8-9
89%
2-3
3-7
67%
48%
3-6
50%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.6
27.7
27.0
7
61%
6
4
2
1
2
3
2
4
3-4
75%
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.1
26.9
27.4
22
80%
6
1
1
1
0
5
3
3
2-4
50%
10-12
5-10
83%
51%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.1
23.9
20.2
14
89%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
6-7
3-6
86%
46%
0-0
-
Jerome Dyson
G · 6'3" 180 · 24.9
23.5
3.1
3
24%
3
5
1
0
0
2
0
3
1-3
33%
1-4
0-1
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.6
21.1
24.5
8
42%
3
2
0
0
0
2
0
3
4-8
50%
2-6
5-9
33%
53%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.0
12.4
9.9
5
73%
6
1
0
0
0
0
2
4
1-1
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
54%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.0
4.2
10.8
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.3
18.0
1
3-6
51%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.8
14.1
1
2-3
48%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
10.5
0
2-3
50%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 26.7
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.