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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 11, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Jazz35%98103
10Rockets65%10391
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.2
40.5
30.5
21
49%
7
4
3
1
1
1
0
7
3-6
50%
9-19
6-12
47%
52%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.1
39.3
34.8
29
85%
2
6
2
1
0
2
0
2
7-7
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
50%
4-5
80%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.3
37.4
35.1
15
49%
8
1
0
1
3
0
0
8
3-3
100%
6-14
8-17
43%
49%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.7
26.3
10.3
10
56%
7
0
2
0
1
1
4
3
2-2
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
44%
0-1
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.1
21.5
29.7
6
43%
0
5
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
0-2
0%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.1
28.0
13.6
7
50%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
42%
1-4
25%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 20.7
25.9
25.2
10
74%
11
2
0
1
3
2
2
9
2-4
50%
4-5
4-8
80%
49%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 20.7
10.6
15.4
5
63%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 19.9
10.6
9.5
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.5
8.6
0
1-2
55%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 32.0
7.3
0
1-2
45%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.6
7.2
0
0-1
46%
Blake Ahearn
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.9
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.1
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 32.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.9
41.4
35.6
19
50%
4
7
1
1
0
4
2
2
13-14
93%
3-8
4-8
38%
52%
0-5
0%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 31.9
33.4
31.0
10
38%
8
4
0
1
1
3
2
6
0-0
-
5-13
7-13
38%
51%
0-0
-
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.5
29.5
27.6
13
57%
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
3
1-1
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
52%
2-3
67%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.5
28.6
31.8
9
39%
2
0
2
1
1
0
1
1
1-1
100%
4-9
3-7
44%
48%
0-2
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 38.1
25.9
21.3
9
57%
13
1
1
1
2
0
4
9
1-2
50%
4-7
2-5
57%
45%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.1
26.6
23.2
10
42%
6
1
1
0
0
0
4
2
0-0
-
5-12
4-8
42%
49%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.9
24.1
25.0
6
25%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-4
3-5
25%
49%
1-7
14%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.0
20.5
18.7
15
63%
4
5
0
1
0
1
0
4
8-9
89%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
1-3
33%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.9
10.1
16.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.2
6.7
0
1-1
48%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 35.9
5.5
0
1-2
43%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
2.4
0
0-1
48%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.3
Courtney Fortson
G · 5'11" 185 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.