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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 11, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Lakers36%9898
4Spurs64%10384
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.8
40.1
36.2
21
41%
11
3
1
1
1
2
3
8
3-3
100%
9-22
7-14
41%
51%
0-2
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.4
40.0
29.5
26
80%
4
3
1
1
0
1
2
2
1-3
33%
5-7
2-5
71%
44%
5-8
63%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.5
36.7
31.5
16
37%
30
2
0
0
2
0
8
22
2-4
50%
7-20
7-13
35%
55%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.0
30.9
30.1
10
51%
3
5
0
1
0
4
0
3
1-2
50%
3-7
3-8
43%
44%
1-2
50%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.5
22.8
17.0
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.1
26.8
21.8
10
71%
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
41%
2-4
50%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 32.1
23.5
26.1
13
81%
6
4
0
1
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
51%
3-6
50%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.1
13.3
16.1
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31.9
6.0
9.9
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.6
20.0
1
4-8
46%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.3
2.1
0
0-1
42%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.7
2.0
0
0-1
47%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.3
1.4
0
0-0
42%
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
26.6
26.8
22
89%
3
2
2
1
2
0
0
3
3-3
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
5-6
83%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.9
26.6
19.7
4
17%
2
8
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-12
4-8
17%
51%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.0
24.2
19.8
14
47%
2
0
0
0
3
2
0
2
0-2
0%
7-14
4-8
50%
50%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.8
18.4
23.7
2
25%
5
1
0
1
2
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
53%
0-1
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.0
13.4
16.3
0
0%
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
53%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 34.7
26.1
17.8
9
46%
4
5
1
1
0
4
0
4
2-4
50%
2-4
2-3
50%
51%
1-4
25%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.0
24.8
20.0
6
75%
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
2-3
67%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.7
21.4
16.2
7
32%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
46%
1-4
25%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.0
19.5
22.0
9
64%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
51%
3-4
75%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.0
16.8
19.3
0
0%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.3
15.1
18.7
6
75%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
58%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.0
7.0
4.6
5
63%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.5
21.9
0
2-5
47%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.