Final Win Prob. pScore
936%98
98
464%103
84
ORTG#PossPace
LAL logo Lakers
114.08673.5
SAS logo Spurs
94.489107.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventLALSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0LAL98
100%
84
0%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASAnderson 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Green 2 AST)98
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)98
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0LALMISS Gasol 17' Jump Shot98
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)98
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0LALBlake 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)98
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:13LALLakers Rebound95
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:13SASMISS Mills 26' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:28LALGasol 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Sessions 5 AST)95
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:47LALBynum REBOUND (Off:8 Def:22)93
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:48SASMISS Mills 9' Running Jump Shot93
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:57LALBlake 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (World Peace 3 AST)93
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:59LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)90
99.6%
79
0.4%
Q4 - 2:02LALGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)90
99.6%
79
0.4%
Q4 - 2:02LALMISS Gasol 2' Layup90
99.5%
79
0.5%
Q4 - 2:04LALLeonard BLOCK (2 BLK)90
99.5%
79
0.5%
Q4 - 2:25SASGreen 18' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)90
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 2:42SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)90
77
Q4 - 2:42LALBlake Foul Turnover (P2.T12)90
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 2:42LALBlake OFF.Foul (P2)90
77
Q4 - 2:55SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)90
99.7%
77
0.3%
Q4 - 3:01SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)90
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:02LALLeonard BLOCK (1 BLK)90
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:23LALBynum REBOUND (Off:8 Def:21)90
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:23SASMISS Mills 21' Jump Shot90
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:32LALSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)90
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q4 - 3:32LALLakers Rebound89
74
Q4 - 3:32LALMISS Sessions Free Throw 1 of 289
99.5%
74
0.5%
Q4 - 3:32SASGreen P.FOUL (P3.PN)89
74
Q4 - 3:43SASMills 17' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)89
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q4 - 3:56SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 3:57LALMISS Bynum Free Throw 2 of 289
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 3:57LALLakers Rebound89
72
Q4 - 3:57LALMISS Bynum Free Throw 1 of 289
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 3:57SASDiaw P.FOUL (P3.PN)89
72
Q4 - 4:00SASLeonard P.FOUL (P2.T4)89
72
Q4 - 4:16LALBynum REBOUND (Off:8 Def:20)89
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 4:17SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 4:30SASSUB: Leonard FOR Jackson89
72
Q4 - 4:30LALGasol L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)89
72
Q4 - 4:30SASSPURS Rebound89
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 4:30LALMISS Gasol 8' Jump Shot89
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 4:48LALBynum REBOUND (Off:8 Def:19)89
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 4:49SASMISS Anderson 5' Running Jump Shot89
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 5:01SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
99.4%
72
0.6%
Q4 - 5:02LALMISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot89
99.5%
72
0.5%
Q4 - 5:17LALBynum REBOUND (Off:8 Def:18)89
99.6%
72
0.4%
Q4 - 5:18SASMISS Mills 10' Jump Shot89
99.6%
72
0.4%
Q4 - 5:30SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
99.5%
72
0.5%
Q4 - 5:31LALMISS Bynum 7' Jump Shot89
99.5%
72
0.5%
Q4 - 5:48LALLakers Rebound89
99.6%
72
0.4%
Q4 - 5:49SASMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
99.6%
72
0.4%
Q4 - 5:55LALGreen STEAL (2 STL)89
99.5%
72
0.5%
Q4 - 6:15SASAnderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)89
99.3%
72
0.7%
Q4 - 6:22SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
99.6%
69
0.4%
Q4 - 6:23LALMISS Sessions 6' Jump Shot89
99.6%
69
0.4%
Q4 - 6:30LALSUB: Bynum FOR McRoberts89
69
Q4 - 6:30LALSUB: Sessions FOR Barnes89
69
Q4 - 6:30LALLakers Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)89
69
Q4 - 6:38SASGreen 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)89
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 6:48SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 6:49LALMISS Gasol 16' Turnaround Jump Shot89
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 7:01SASSUB: Anderson FOR Bonner89
66
Q4 - 7:01SASGreen P.FOUL (P2.T3)89
66
Q4 - 7:12SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)89
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 7:21SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 7:22LALMISS Barnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 7:40SASJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)89
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 7:54LALWorld Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Barnes 4 AST)89
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 8:12LALBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)86
99.6%
63
0.4%
Q4 - 8:14SASMISS Jackson 2' Layup86
99.6%
63
0.4%
Q4 - 8:32LALGasol 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Blake 3 AST)86
99.5%
63
0.5%
Q4 - 8:44SASSUB: Green FOR Ginobili84
63
Q4 - 8:44SASSUB: Diaw FOR Splitter84
63
Q4 - 8:4484
63
Q4 - 8:44SASSplitter P.FOUL (P2.T2)84
63
Q4 - 9:01SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)84
99.1%
63
0.9%
Q4 - 9:15LALGasol 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)84
99.3%
61
0.7%
Q4 - 9:31LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
99.1%
61
0.9%
Q4 - 9:32SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
99.1%
61
0.9%
Q4 - 9:47LALGasol 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Barnes 3 AST)82
98.9%
61
1.1%
Q4 - 10:03SASSUB: Bonner FOR Diaw80
61
Q4 - 10:03SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T6)80
98.2%
61
1.8%
Q4 - 10:07SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
97.7%
61
2.3%
Q4 - 10:08LALMISS World Peace 18' Jump Shot80
97.9%
61
2.1%
Q4 - 10:31SASSplitter 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)80
98.2%
61
1.8%
Q4 - 10:40LALWorld Peace 27' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Barnes 2 AST)80
98.6%
59
1.4%
Q4 - 10:57SASSUB: Diaw FOR Bonner77
59
Q4 - 10:57SASJackson P.FOUL (P2.T1)77
59
Q4 - 11:16LALBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
97.2%
59
2.8%
Q4 - 11:17SASMISS Bonner 21' Jump Shot77
97.0%
59
3.0%
Q4 - 11:30LALMcRoberts 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)77
96.6%
59
3.4%
Q4 - 11:46LALBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
95.8%
59
4.2%
Q4 - 11:47SASMISS Mills 19' Jump Shot75
95.5%
59
4.5%
Q4 - 12:0075
59
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS75
94.9%
59
5.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
94.9%
59
5.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0LALMISS World Peace 3PT Fadeaway Jumper75
94.2%
59
5.8%
Q3 - 0:15.0LALBynum REBOUND (Off:8 Def:17)75
94.9%
59
5.1%
Q3 - 0:16.0SASMISS Splitter 2' Layup75
94.6%
59
5.4%
Q3 - 0:29.0LALBlake 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)75
94.0%
59
6.0%
Q3 - 0:43.0LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
92.6%
59
7.4%
Q3 - 0:45.0LALMISS Barnes 3PT Jump Shot73
91.7%
59
8.3%
Q3 - 1:00LALLakers Rebound73
59
Q3 - 1:00SASJump Ball Splitter vs. Bynum: Tip to Blake73
92.6%
59
7.4%
Q3 - 1:00SASMISS Ginobili 2' Driving Layup73
92.2%
59
7.8%
Q3 - 1:11LALSUB: World Peace FOR Ebanks73
59
Q3 - 1:11LALBlake Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)73
90.1%
59
9.9%
Q3 - 1:31LALBynum REBOUND (Off:8 Def:16)73
91.7%
59
8.3%
Q3 - 1:32SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
91.2%
59
8.8%
Q3 - 1:39SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
90.2%
59
9.8%
Q3 - 1:40LALMISS Bynum 10' Turnaround Jump Shot73
90.7%
59
9.3%
Q3 - 2:12SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)73
90.4%
59
9.6%
Q3 - 2:21LALBonner STEAL (1 STL)73
93.2%
56
6.8%
Q3 - 2:45SASSplitter 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)73
94.3%
56
5.7%
Q3 - 2:55LALBarnes 1' Dunk (13 PTS) (Blake 2 AST)73
95.2%
54
4.8%
Q3 - 3:05LALSUB: Blake FOR Sessions71
54
Q3 - 3:05SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)71
93.4%
54
6.6%
Q3 - 3:05SASSUB: Bonner FOR Diaw71
53
Q3 - 3:05SASSPURS Rebound71
53
Q3 - 3:05SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 271
93.5%
53
6.5%
Q3 - 3:05LALEbanks Shooting Block Foul (P2.T2)71
53
Q3 - 3:12LALGinobili STEAL (1 STL)71
93.4%
53
6.6%
Q3 - 3:18LALSUB: Barnes FOR World Peace71
53
Q3 - 3:18LALSUB: Murphy FOR Gasol71
53
Q3 - 3:18SASSUB: Jackson FOR Leonard71
53
Q3 - 3:18SASSUB: Splitter FOR Duncan71
53
Q3 - 3:18SASSUB: Mills FOR Parker71
53
Q3 - 3:18LALLakers Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)71
53
Q3 - 3:32SASDuncan 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)71
94.5%
53
5.5%
Q3 - 3:51LALWorld Peace 6' Step Back Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)71
95.3%
51
4.7%
Q3 - 4:13LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)69
93.9%
51
6.1%
Q3 - 4:14SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot69
93.5%
51
6.5%
Q3 - 4:28LALSessions 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)69
92.6%
51
7.4%
Q3 - 4:38LALBynum REBOUND (Off:8 Def:15)67
91.6%
51
8.4%
Q3 - 4:40SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Bank Shot67
91.1%
51
8.9%
Q3 - 4:53LALWorld Peace 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS)67
89.9%
51
10.1%
Q3 - 5:17SASGinobili Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)65
87.2%
51
12.8%
Q3 - 5:30LALWorld Peace 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Sessions 4 AST)65
85.0%
51
15.0%
Q3 - 5:47LALBynum REBOUND (Off:8 Def:14)63
83.1%
51
16.9%
Q3 - 5:48SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot63
82.3%
51
17.7%
Q3 - 6:07LALWorld Peace Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)63
78.8%
51
21.2%
Q3 - 6:23SASDuncan 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)63
81.6%
51
18.4%
Q3 - 6:35LALWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)63
83.7%
49
16.3%
Q3 - 6:35SASDiaw S.FOUL (P2.T3)62
49
Q3 - 6:35LALWorld Peace 9' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)62
49
Q3 - 6:38SASSUB: Leonard FOR Green60
49
Q3 - 6:38SASDiaw P.FOUL (P1.T2)60
49
Q3 - 6:44LALBynum REBOUND (Off:8 Def:13)60
79.1%
49
20.9%
Q3 - 6:45SASMISS Parker 9' Floating Jump Shot60
78.2%
49
21.8%
Q3 - 6:56LALBynum 1' Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Sessions 3 AST)60
76.1%
49
23.9%
Q3 - 7:13SASGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)58
71.4%
49
28.6%
Q3 - 7:13SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Leonard58
48
Q3 - 7:13SASGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)58
72.0%
48
28.0%
Q3 - 7:13LALWorld Peace S.FOUL (P2.T1)58
47
Q3 - 7:16LALParker STEAL (1 STL)58
74.3%
47
25.7%
Q3 - 7:31SASParker 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)58
77.4%
47
22.6%
Q3 - 7:34SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
79.8%
45
20.2%
Q3 - 7:35SASMISS Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
81.6%
45
18.4%
Q3 - 7:45SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
79.9%
45
20.1%
Q3 - 7:46LALMISS Bynum 3' Layup58
80.6%
45
19.4%
Q3 - 8:09LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)58
81.5%
45
18.5%
Q3 - 8:10SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot58
80.7%
45
19.3%
Q3 - 8:24SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)58
45
Q3 - 8:24LALWorld Peace 1' Layup (11 PTS)58
78.9%
45
21.1%
Q3 - 8:28SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)56
76.5%
45
23.5%
Q3 - 8:46LALGasol 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)56
73.5%
45
26.5%
Q3 - 9:03LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)54
69.4%
45
30.6%
Q3 - 9:04SASMISS Duncan 11' Jump Shot54
68.4%
45
31.6%
Q3 - 9:07SASSPURS Rebound54
66.2%
45
33.8%
Q3 - 9:08SASMISS Leonard 5' Turnaround Jump Shot54
68.5%
45
31.5%
Q3 - 9:33LALBynum 5' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)54
66.2%
45
33.8%
Q3 - 9:55LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)52
63.0%
45
37.0%
Q3 - 9:56SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot52
61.9%
45
38.1%
Q3 - 10:17LALBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)52
58.2%
45
41.8%
Q3 - 10:17SASSUB: Diaw FOR Blair51
45
Q3 - 10:17LALBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)51
57.3%
45
42.7%
Q3 - 10:17SASBlair S.FOUL (P1.T1)50
45
Q3 - 10:34LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
54.9%
45
45.1%
Q3 - 10:35SASMISS Parker 15' Pullup Jump Shot50
53.8%
45
46.2%
Q3 - 10:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
51.2%
45
48.8%
Q3 - 10:44LALMISS Ebanks 2' Layup50
52.3%
45
47.7%
Q3 - 10:55LALBynum REBOUND (Off:8 Def:12)50
55.0%
45
45.0%
Q3 - 10:56SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot50
53.8%
45
46.2%
Q3 - 11:10SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
50.6%
45
49.4%
Q3 - 11:11LALMISS Gasol 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
51.7%
45
48.3%
Q3 - 11:28SASDuncan 5' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS)50
54.2%
45
45.8%
Q3 - 11:44LALSessions 8' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)50
57.4%
43
42.6%
Q3 - 12:0048
43
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS48
54.2%
43
45.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0LALJackson STEAL (1 STL)48
50.6%
43
49.4%
Q2 - 0:10.0SASParker 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)48
52.9%
43
47.1%
Q2 - 0:13.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
57.1%
41
42.9%
Q2 - 0:15.0LALBynum REBOUND (Off:8 Def:11)48
59.4%
41
40.6%
Q2 - 0:15.0LALMISS Bynum 2' Tip Shot48
57.8%
41
42.2%
Q2 - 0:17.0LALMISS Bynum 4' Jump Shot48
57.8%
41
42.2%
Q2 - 0:21.0LALBynum REBOUND (Off:7 Def:11)48
59.5%
41
40.5%
Q2 - 0:22.0LALMISS Gasol 8' Jump Shot48
57.8%
41
42.2%
Q2 - 0:45.0LALBynum REBOUND (Off:6 Def:11)48
59.5%
41
40.5%
Q2 - 0:46.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 248
59.2%
41
40.8%
Q2 - 0:46.0SASSUB: Bonner FOR Blair48
41
Q2 - 0:46.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)48
56.7%
41
43.3%
Q2 - 0:46.0LALBarnes S.FOUL (P2.T4)48
40
Q2 - 1:03LALGasol 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Sessions 2 AST)48
59.6%
40
40.4%
Q2 - 1:21SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)46
55.5%
40
44.5%
Q2 - 1:31SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
62.7%
37
37.3%
Q2 - 1:32LALMISS Gasol 3PT Jump Shot46
63.4%
37
36.6%
Q2 - 2:00SASDuncan 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Blair 2 AST)46
64.8%
37
35.2%
Q2 - 2:10LALBynum REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)46
66.9%
35
33.1%
Q2 - 2:10LALBynum 1' Tip Shot (10 PTS)46
66.9%
35
33.1%
Q2 - 2:12LALMISS Gasol 8' Hook Shot44
62.1%
35
37.9%
Q2 - 2:35LALBynum REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)44
64.2%
35
35.8%
Q2 - 2:36SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot44
63.3%
35
36.7%
Q2 - 2:55LALSUB: World Peace FOR Blake44
35
Q2 - 2:55SASSUB: Jackson FOR Green44
35
Q2 - 2:5544
35
Q2 - 2:55SASSPURS Rebound44
61.3%
35
38.7%
Q2 - 2:55SASMISS Green 1' Layup44
63.3%
35
36.7%
Q2 - 3:00LALBlair STEAL (1 STL)44
61.3%
35
38.7%
Q2 - 3:19SASDuncan 2' Dunk (6 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)44
63.5%
35
36.5%
Q2 - 3:30LALSUB: Gasol FOR McRoberts44
33
Q2 - 3:30SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
65.9%
33
34.1%
Q2 - 3:32LALBynum REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)44
69.0%
33
31.0%
Q2 - 3:32LALDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)44
66.9%
33
33.1%
Q2 - 3:36LALDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)44
66.9%
33
33.1%
Q2 - 3:55SASGinobili 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)44
69.0%
33
31.0%
Q2 - 4:11LALBarnes 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)44
70.1%
31
29.9%
Q2 - 4:25LALBynum REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)41
65.1%
31
34.9%
Q2 - 4:27SASMISS Parker 13' Jump Shot41
64.2%
31
35.8%
Q2 - 4:52LALBynum 7' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)41
62.2%
31
37.8%
Q2 - 5:13LALBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
58.7%
31
41.3%
Q2 - 5:13SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 239
58.3%
31
41.7%
Q2 - 5:13SASSPURS Rebound39
31
Q2 - 5:13SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 239
56.6%
31
43.4%
Q2 - 5:13LALBarnes S.FOUL (P1.T3)39
31
Q2 - 5:20LALBlake P.FOUL (P1.T2)39
31
Q2 - 5:28SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Jackson39
31
Q2 - 5:28LALSUB: McRoberts FOR Gasol39
31
Q2 - 5:33SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
56.0%
31
44.0%
Q2 - 5:35LALMISS Sessions 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
56.8%
31
43.2%
Q2 - 5:58LALBynum REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)39
58.7%
31
41.3%
Q2 - 5:59SASMISS Parker 10' Jump Shot39
57.9%
31
42.1%
Q2 - 6:11LALGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)39
54.7%
31
45.3%
Q2 - 6:11LALSUB: Sessions FOR World Peace38
31
Q2 - 6:11LALSUB: Bynum FOR McRoberts38
31
Q2 - 6:11SASSUB: Blair FOR Bonner38
31
Q2 - 6:11SASSUB: Duncan FOR Splitter38
31
Q2 - 6:11SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)38
31
Q2 - 6:11LALGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)38
54.2%
31
45.8%
Q2 - 6:11SASSplitter S.FOUL (P1.T1)37
31
Q2 - 6:29LALBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
52.5%
31
47.5%
Q2 - 6:30SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
51.5%
31
48.5%
Q2 - 6:40LALMcRoberts P.FOUL (P1.T1)37
31
Q2 - 6:45LALSplitter STEAL (1 STL)37
49.2%
31
50.8%
Q2 - 7:00LALBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
52.5%
31
47.5%
Q2 - 7:01SASMISS Green 19' Jump Shot37
50.6%
31
49.4%
Q2 - 7:20LALBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
48.6%
31
51.4%
Q2 - 7:20LALBarnes 1' Layup (8 PTS)37
48.6%
31
51.4%
Q2 - 7:22LALMISS McRoberts 5' Jump Shot35
44.1%
31
55.9%
Q2 - 7:31SASSUB: Parker FOR Mills35
31
Q2 - 7:39LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
46.2%
31
53.8%
Q2 - 7:41SASMISS Bonner 3PT Jump Shot35
45.3%
31
54.7%
Q2 - 7:51SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
43.2%
31
56.8%
Q2 - 7:52LALMISS Blake 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
44.1%
31
55.9%
Q2 - 8:02SASSUB: Green FOR Ginobili35
31
Q2 - 8:02LALLakers Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)35
31
Q2 - 8:08LALBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
45.5%
31
54.5%
Q2 - 8:09SASMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
44.7%
31
55.3%
Q2 - 8:18SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
42.8%
31
57.2%
Q2 - 8:19LALMISS Blake 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
43.7%
31
56.3%
Q2 - 8:44SASJackson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)35
45.6%
31
54.4%
Q2 - 8:52SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
50.8%
28
49.2%
Q2 - 8:53LALMISS World Peace 20' Jump Shot35
51.6%
28
48.4%
Q2 - 9:15LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
52.6%
28
47.4%
Q2 - 9:16SASMISS Bonner 4' Jump Shot35
51.8%
28
48.2%
Q2 - 9:31LALBlake 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)35
49.9%
28
50.1%
Q2 - 9:54LALBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
47.5%
28
52.5%
Q2 - 9:56SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
46.7%
28
53.3%
Q2 - 10:06SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
44.4%
28
55.6%
Q2 - 10:07LALMISS World Peace 3PT Jump Shot33
45.3%
28
54.7%
Q2 - 10:25SASSplitter 3' Layup (2 PTS)33
47.2%
28
52.8%
Q2 - 10:43LALBarnes 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)33
49.5%
26
50.5%
Q2 - 10:49SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)30
44.7%
26
55.3%
Q2 - 11:02LALBarnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST)30
41.7%
26
58.3%
Q2 - 11:12SASMills 2' Layup (5 PTS)27
37.2%
26
62.8%
Q2 - 11:14LALMills STEAL (1 STL)27
39.4%
24
60.6%
Q2 - 11:20SASMills 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)27
41.9%
24
58.1%
Q2 - 11:36LALWorld Peace 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS)27
46.6%
21
53.4%
Q2 - 12:0024
21
Q1 - 0:00.0LAL24
41.9%
21
58.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0LALLakers Rebound24
41.9%
21
58.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0LALMISS Bynum 9' Jump Shot24
39.8%
21
60.2%
Q1 - 0:18.0LALMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
41.1%
21
58.9%
Q1 - 0:19.0LALMISS Blake 20' Jump Shot24
39.8%
21
60.2%
Q1 - 0:44.0SASJackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)24
41.1%
21
58.9%
Q1 - 0:54.0LALBynum 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)24
46.3%
18
53.7%
Q1 - 1:15LALBynum REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)22
43.0%
18
57.0%
Q1 - 1:16SASMISS Mills 14' Jump Shot22
42.5%
18
57.5%
Q1 - 1:30LALBynum 8' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)22
41.4%
18
58.6%
Q1 - 1:37SASSUB: Mills FOR Parker20
18
Q1 - 1:37SASJackson P.FOUL (P1.T4)20
18
Q1 - 1:53LALBynum REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)20
38.5%
18
61.5%
Q1 - 1:54SASMISS Bonner 11' Jump Shot20
38.0%
18
62.0%
Q1 - 2:14SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
36.7%
18
63.3%
Q1 - 2:15LALMISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
37.3%
18
62.7%
Q1 - 2:30LALMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
38.6%
18
61.4%
Q1 - 2:32SASMISS Ginobili 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup20
38.0%
18
62.0%
Q1 - 2:40LALSUB: Murphy FOR Gasol20
18
Q1 - 2:40LALSUB: Barnes FOR World Peace20
18
Q1 - 2:40LALSUB: Blake FOR Sessions20
18
Q1 - 2:40SASSUB: Splitter FOR Duncan20
18
Q1 - 2:40LALLakers Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)20
18
Q1 - 2:40LALWorld Peace P.FOUL (P1.T2)20
18
Q1 - 2:54LALSessions 1' Layup (5 PTS)20
36.7%
18
63.3%
Q1 - 2:58LALSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
34.4%
18
65.6%
Q1 - 3:00SASMISS Parker 3' Driving Layup18
33.8%
18
66.2%
Q1 - 3:16LALGasol 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Sessions 1 AST)18
32.3%
18
67.7%
Q1 - 3:35LALBynum REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)16
30.4%
18
69.6%
Q1 - 3:36SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot16
29.8%
18
70.2%
Q1 - 3:52LALWorld Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)16
28.5%
18
71.5%
Q1 - 4:00SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)13
25.8%
18
74.2%
Q1 - 4:07SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
24.1%
18
75.9%
Q1 - 4:08LALMISS Sessions 17' Jump Shot13
24.6%
18
75.4%
Q1 - 4:23SASBonner 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)13
25.8%
18
74.2%
Q1 - 4:34SASSUB: Jackson FOR Green13
15
Q1 - 4:34SASSPURS Rebound13
28.8%
15
71.2%
Q1 - 4:35LALEbanks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
30.7%
15
69.3%
Q1 - 4:35LALMISS Ebanks 1' Tip Shot13
29.4%
15
70.6%
Q1 - 4:36LALMISS Bynum 2' Reverse Layup13
29.4%
15
70.6%
Q1 - 4:57SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)13
30.7%
15
69.3%
Q1 - 5:03SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
33.9%
12
66.1%
Q1 - 5:05LALBynum REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)13
35.8%
12
64.2%
Q1 - 5:05LALDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)13
34.4%
12
65.6%
Q1 - 5:07LALMISS Ebanks 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
34.4%
12
65.6%
Q1 - 5:28SASDuncan 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)13
35.8%
12
64.2%
Q1 - 5:45LALGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)13
37.3%
10
62.7%
Q1 - 5:45SASSUB: Bonner FOR Blair12
10
Q1 - 5:45SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)12
10
Q1 - 5:45SASDuncan S.FOUL (P1.T3)12
10
Q1 - 5:45LALGasol 2' Layup (4 PTS)12
10
Q1 - 5:47SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
34.1%
10
65.9%
Q1 - 5:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
32.3%
10
67.7%
Q1 - 5:50LALMISS Gasol 12' Jump Bank Shot10
32.8%
10
67.2%
Q1 - 5:58LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
34.1%
10
65.9%
Q1 - 5:59SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
33.6%
10
66.4%
Q1 - 6:05LALGreen STEAL (1 STL)10
32.2%
10
67.8%
Q1 - 6:13SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Leonard10
10
Q1 - 6:13SASGreen P.FOUL (P1.T2)10
10
Q1 - 6:26LALBynum REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)10
33.9%
10
66.1%
Q1 - 6:27SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot10
33.4%
10
66.6%
Q1 - 6:42LALWorld Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ebanks 1 AST)10
32.3%
10
67.7%
Q1 - 6:59LALBynum REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)7
29.7%
10
70.3%
Q1 - 7:00SASMISS Leonard 4' Driving Reverse Layup7
29.3%
10
70.7%
Q1 - 7:15LALBynum 1' Layup (2 PTS)7
28.4%
10
71.6%
Q1 - 7:18LALBynum REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)5
27.4%
10
72.6%
Q1 - 7:19LALMISS World Peace Free Throw 2 of 25
26.3%
10
73.7%
Q1 - 7:19LALLakers Rebound5
10
Q1 - 7:19LALMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 25
26.9%
10
73.1%
Q1 - 7:19SASLeonard S.FOUL (P1.T1)5
10
Q1 - 7:35SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)5
27.6%
10
72.4%
Q1 - 7:42SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
29.9%
7
70.1%
Q1 - 7:44LALGreen BLOCK (2 BLK)5
30.4%
7
69.6%
Q1 - 7:57LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)5
31.4%
7
68.6%
Q1 - 7:59SASMISS Blair 8' Turnaround Bank Shot5
31.0%
7
69.0%
Q1 - 8:10SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
30.3%
7
69.7%
Q1 - 8:11LALMISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot5
30.6%
7
69.4%
Q1 - 8:29SASDuncan 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)5
31.6%
7
68.4%
Q1 - 8:34SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
32.8%
5
67.2%
Q1 - 8:35LALMISS Sessions 8' Jump Shot5
33.1%
5
66.9%
Q1 - 8:51SASGreen Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
34.0%
5
66.0%
Q1 - 8:51LALEbanks S.FOUL (P1.T1)5
4
Q1 - 8:51SASGreen 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)5
4
Q1 - 9:08LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)5
36.2%
2
63.8%
Q1 - 9:08LALGasol 1' Layup (2 PTS)5
36.2%
2
63.8%
Q1 - 9:10LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
35.1%
2
64.9%
Q1 - 9:10LALMISS Gasol 1' Tip Shot3
34.4%
2
65.6%
Q1 - 9:11LALMISS Bynum 5' Jump Shot3
34.4%
2
65.6%
Q1 - 9:13LALBynum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)3
35.1%
2
64.9%
Q1 - 9:15LALMISS World Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
34.4%
2
65.6%
Q1 - 9:41SASLeonard 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)3
35.2%
2
64.8%
Q1 - 10:06LALSessions 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)3
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 10:20LALSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
34.6%
0
65.4%
Q1 - 10:21SASMISS Parker 5' Running Jump Shot0
34.4%
0
65.6%
Q1 - 10:32SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.0%
0
66.0%
Q1 - 10:33LALMISS Sessions 9' Floating Jump Shot0
34.2%
0
65.8%
Q1 - 10:46LALSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.8%
0
65.2%
Q1 - 10:47SASMISS Blair 14' Jump Bank Shot0
34.6%
0
65.4%
Q1 - 10:58SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.4%
0
65.6%
Q1 - 10:59LALMISS Gasol 20' Jump Shot0
34.6%
0
65.4%
Q1 - 11:17LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)0
35.0%
0
65.0%
Q1 - 11:19SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Bank Shot0
35.0%
0
65.0%
Q1 - 11:27SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.9%
0
65.1%
Q1 - 11:29LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
35.2%
0
64.8%
Q1 - 11:29LALGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)0
35.1%
0
64.9%
Q1 - 11:31LALMISS Bynum 2' Alley Oop Layup0
35.1%
0
64.9%
Q1 - 11:43LALBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.4%
0
64.6%
Q1 - 11:44SASMISS Green 22' Step Back Jump Shot0
35.4%
0
64.6%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Bynum: Tip to Parker0
35.7%
0
64.3%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventLALSAS
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.02 51.0%
SAS
0.97 48.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
LAL
12
27
44%
SAS
15
27
56%
Midrange
LAL
17
39
44%
SAS
5
30
17%
3PT | Effective 3PT
LAL
11
16.5
23
48%
72%
SAS
13
19.5
24
54%
81%
Free Throws
LAL
7
12
58%
SAS
5
9
56%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. World Peace2681%13.0 / 16
P. Gasol2142%10.5 / 25
A. Bynum1636%8.0 / 22
M. Barnes1381%6.5 / 8
R. Sessions1050%5.0 / 10
S. Blake1071%5.0 / 7
J. McRoberts250%1.0 / 2
D. Ebanks0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Green2292%11.0 / 12
T. Duncan1447%7.0 / 15
M. Ginobili945%4.5 / 10
M. Bonner964%4.5 / 7
P. Mills732%3.5 / 11
S. Jackson675%3.0 / 4
T. Splitter675%3.0 / 4
J. Anderson563%2.5 / 4
T. Parker417%2.0 / 12
K. Leonard225%1.0 / 4
D. Blair0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAL
74
+17
-12
91
SAS
82
+3
-7
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.02 51.0%
SAS
0.97 48.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
110.9
LAL 114.0 +19.6
SAS 94.4
Pace
90.6
93.0
LAL 73.5
SAS 107.3 +33.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.5
LAL 19.6
SAS 13.4 −6.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
52.8%
LAL 51.1% +2.3%
SAS 48.8%
TO %
15.8%
14.1%
LAL 11.3%
SAS 7.6% −3.7%
ORB %
29.2%
25.1%
LAL 33.3% +31.1%
SAS 2.2%
FTrt
29.9
26.1
LAL 13.5 +2.4
SAS 11.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.1%
58.5%
LAL 57.5%
SAS 78.8% +21.3%
STL %
6.4%
8.0%
LAL 4.7%
SAS 10.1% +5.4%
BLK %
7.9%
6.7%
LAL 7.0%
SAS 10.6% +3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
54.9%
LAL 51.0% +2.7%
SAS 48.3%
Rim FG%
59.2%
60.6%
LAL 44.4%
SAS 55.6% +11.2%
Mid FG%
41.1%
41.4%
LAL 43.6% +26.9%
SAS 16.7%
3P %
32.6%
39.3%
LAL 47.8%
SAS 54.2% +6.4%
FT %
75.6%
74.8%
LAL 58.3% +2.7%
SAS 55.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.2%
36.1%
LAL 30.3%
SAS 33.3% +3.0%
Mid Att. %
43.9%
38.2%
LAL 43.8%
SAS 37.0% −6.8%
3P Att. %
20.9%
25.7%
LAL 25.8%
SAS 29.6% +3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.
Game TotalsLALSAS
Possessions8689
Possession Minutes28.119.9
Points9884
Rebounds6033
Assists2326
Steals49
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)7 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (1)1 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)44 (3)32 (2)
Field Goals40-8933-81
At-the-Rim FG12-2715-27
Midrange FG17-395-30
2-Point FG29-6620-57
3-Point FG11-2313-24
Free Throws7-125-9
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 7'0" 250 · 32
40.1
21
42%
11
3
1
1
2
1
3
8
3-3
100%
9-22
41%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 260 · 32
40.0
26
81%
4
3
1
0
1
2
2
2
1-3
33%
5-7
71%
5-8
63%
C · 7'0" 285 · 24
36.7
16
36%
30
2
0
2
0
0
8
22
2-4
50%
7-20
35%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 26
30.9
10
50%
3
5
0
0
4
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
1-2
50%
G · 6'9" 215 · 22
22.8
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 172 · 32
26.8
10
71%
3
3
1
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-4
50%
F · 6'7" 226 · 32
23.5
13
81%
6
4
0
1
2
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
· 6'10" 240 · 25
13.3
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 32
6.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 34
G · 6'3" 200 · 23
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25
G · 6'4" 195 · 21
#88 · F · 6'7" 210 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
51%
60
23
4
4
12
0
16
44
7-12
58%
29-66
44%
11-23
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.