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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 11, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Timberwolves29%103107
14Nuggets71%110113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.8
36.3
28.0
12
43%
6
15
1
1
0
4
0
6
1-2
50%
4-11
4-8
36%
45%
1-2
50%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 25.4
32.1
24.4
12
76%
4
3
2
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
2-4
50%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
29.8
23.3
11
69%
4
3
0
1
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
46%
1-3
33%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.3
18.6
25.4
12
87%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
5-6
5-9
83%
54%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 23.6
8.0
36.3
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-5
7-14
0%
48%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.9
37.9
18.8
27
62%
8
0
1
0
1
5
0
8
4-4
100%
7-11
2-5
64%
48%
3-9
33%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 22.7
31.3
7.4
28
72%
6
1
0
0
5
2
4
2
6-8
75%
11-16
1-3
69%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.9
21.9
10.1
3
30%
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
1-5
20%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.9
14.2
17.4
2
100%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
9.9
22.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
4-8
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.4
19.1
0
2-4
43%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 36.0
4.1
0
0-1
45%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 26.8
4.0
0
1-1
46%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.2
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 21.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.5
37.3
36.6
21
63%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
4-6
67%
4-9
5-9
44%
51%
3-5
60%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.4
35.5
23.7
16
64%
12
2
2
1
2
1
4
8
6-8
75%
5-9
4-7
56%
55%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 24.4
35.3
29.2
24
61%
5
8
0
1
0
2
1
4
6-6
100%
9-14
4-7
64%
54%
0-3
0%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.7
35.3
16.8
18
53%
4
4
1
0
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
4-9
2-4
44%
49%
3-7
43%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.1
14.5
17.5
7
72%
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
1
1-2
50%
3-4
2-5
75%
54%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.1
26.7
26.3
0
0%
2
7
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
49%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.1
22.1
22.2
11
69%
4
1
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
51%
3-5
60%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.2
17.2
20.4
8
69%
4
1
0
0
3
1
0
4
2-4
50%
3-4
4-7
75%
54%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.1
16.1
22.9
8
48%
0
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
0-2
0%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21.5
12.3
0
1-3
48%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 25.7
6.3
0
1-2
52%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.3
6.1
0
0-1
49%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.8
4.5
0
1-1
56%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 27.0
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.