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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 12, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat45%9586
3Bulls55%9796
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.3
47.3
36.3
30
55%
6
5
1
2
1
4
1
5
5-7
71%
8-18
8-15
44%
53%
3-6
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.1
41.3
33.5
20
54%
8
2
0
1
4
0
1
7
4-6
67%
8-15
6-12
53%
48%
0-1
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.2
41.0
36.2
21
48%
5
4
2
2
2
2
0
5
1-2
50%
10-21
8-15
48%
50%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.9
27.9
29.2
4
27%
3
3
2
1
0
3
1
2
0-1
0%
2-6
2-4
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.8
11.4
19.6
4
100%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
44%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.6
31.1
21.6
2
50%
2
1
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.2
29.5
17.1
0
0%
8
0
0
0
1
3
5
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.1
28.6
19.1
3
17%
6
2
1
0
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
0-6
1-2
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29.7
6.9
8.3
2
100%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.5
12.5
0
0-0
38%
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.7
9.1
0
1-1
43%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.5
7.5
0
1-2
41%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 39.2
2.2
0
0-0
43%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.4
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.0
42.6
39.6
16
54%
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
5
1-4
25%
3-8
5-10
38%
47%
3-5
60%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 30.4
30.9
28.7
19
48%
11
2
1
1
0
1
2
9
1-2
50%
9-19
6-11
47%
52%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
25.5
22.6
2
8%
3
8
1
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-10
4-9
10%
49%
0-3
0%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.2
24.2
17.8
7
58%
1
1
0
0
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.1
22.7
25.0
5
53%
4
0
1
1
0
1
2
2
3-4
75%
1-3
3-7
33%
50%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.8
28.7
22.5
11
53%
5
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
3-3
100%
4-9
4-7
44%
50%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.0
27.3
26.1
16
68%
3
9
3
1
0
1
1
2
2-4
50%
4-5
3-6
80%
41%
2-5
40%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.8
22.6
10.7
0
0%
8
0
1
0
2
1
2
6
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.1
20.5
14.9
3
52%
3
2
3
1
0
2
3
0
1-2
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.1
18.9
22.6
17
106%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
5-6
83%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 22.6
1.3
6.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 29.4
12.8
0
2-4
43%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 36.8
0.6
0
0-0
38%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.