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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 12, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Mavericks70%102112
22Warriors30%95103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 33.8
36.5
32.3
27
52%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
6-7
86%
9-18
6-12
50%
51%
1-5
20%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 39.1
33.0
24.0
9
75%
10
12
3
1
2
2
0
10
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
3-5
60%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 33.9
25.2
27.0
7
36%
12
3
3
1
1
1
5
7
3-4
75%
2-7
4-8
29%
51%
0-1
0%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.7
15.3
22.8
8
44%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 32.4
11.3
17.1
4
58%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-1
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
55%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.5
32.3
24.4
16
82%
9
0
1
1
2
1
4
5
4-4
100%
6-8
4-7
75%
58%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.6
31.0
33.2
16
62%
1
4
2
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
50%
2-6
33%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.2
24.9
25.4
12
86%
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-3
2-5
100%
47%
2-4
50%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.1
20.7
21.4
11
61%
2
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
51%
1-2
50%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 25.4
9.8
10.1
2
26%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-2
0%
1-3
1-2
33%
57%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.9
0.1
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
33%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 24.5
4.8
0
1-2
43%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.5
1.8
0
0-0
47%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 28.3
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.0
40.1
34.2
30
63%
8
1
1
1
0
5
6
2
8-9
89%
11-20
8-16
55%
50%
0-0
-
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.2
39.8
27.4
24
63%
7
8
2
1
1
2
0
7
5-5
100%
5-11
3-8
45%
44%
3-6
50%
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.1
23.8
23.1
8
58%
5
4
1
1
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 26.4
18.4
22.7
6
38%
6
2
0
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
0-3
0%
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 20.8
12.5
16.9
2
25%
5
1
2
0
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
46%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.8
29.6
24.3
9
64%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
46%
1-3
33%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 27.9
24.2
23.2
10
63%
1
6
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
2-3
67%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 31.8
23.9
21.9
7
53%
6
3
0
0
0
0
0
6
4-6
67%
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
12.0
17.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Mickell Gladness
C · 6'11" 220 · 25.7
9.1
4.7
3
34%
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
2
1-1
100%
1-4
0-1
25%
46%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.0
6.7
17.2
2
100%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
55%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.1
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.4
Chris Wright
F · 6'9" 226 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.