| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90.1 | 91 | 91.9 | |
| 118.0 | 89 | 88.1 |
Scoring Opportunities
Scoring Efficiency
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | CHA | MIA |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | CHA | 82 | 105 | |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | CHA | Bobcats Rebound | 82 | 105 |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | CHA | MISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 82 | 105 |
| Q4 - 0:04.0 | MIA | Curry 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Cole 4 AST) | 82 | 105 |
| Q4 - 0:28.0 | CHA | Brown 1' Layup (21 PTS) (Mullens 5 AST) | 82 | 103 |
| Q4 - 0:39.0 | MIA | Harris Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T11) | 80 | 103 |
| Q4 - 0:44.0 | MIA | Harris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 80 | 103 |
| Q4 - 0:45.0 | MIA | MISS Howard 1' Driving Layup | 80 | 103 |
| Q4 - 0:50.0 | MIA | Cole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 80 | 103 |
| Q4 - 0:51.0 | CHA | MISS Mullens 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 80 | 103 |
| Q4 - 1:00 | CHA | Walker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 80 | 103 |
| Q4 - 1:01 | MIA | MISS Cole 19' Jump Shot | 80 | 103 |
| Q4 - 1:16 | MIA | Howard REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2) | 80 | 103 |
| Q4 - 1:17 | CHA | MISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 2 | 80 | 103 |
| Q4 - 1:17 | CHA | Brown Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS) | 80 | 103 |
| Q4 - 1:17 | MIA | Curry S.FOUL (P1.T3) | 79 | 103 |
| Q4 - 1:27 | CHA | Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 79 | 103 |
| Q4 - 1:28 | MIA | MISS Harris 2' Layup | 79 | 103 |
| Q4 - 1:42 | CHA | Mullens Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T20) | 79 | 103 |
| Q4 - 2:02 | MIA | Harris 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 2 AST) | 79 | 103 |
| Q4 - 2:05 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 79 | 101 |
| Q4 - 2:06 | MIA | MISS Curry Driving Layup | 79 | 101 |
| Q4 - 2:21 | CHA | Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Brown 2 AST) | 79 | 101 |
| Q4 - 2:45 | MIA | Harris 1' Layup (6 PTS) | 76 | 101 |
| Q4 - 2:48 | CHA | SUB: Mullens FOR Biyombo | 76 | 99 |
| Q4 - 2:48 | CHA | Bobcats Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0) | 76 | 99 |
| Q4 - 3:01 | CHA | Walker 16' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 76 | 99 |
| Q4 - 3:08 | MIA | Howard P.FOUL (P1.T2) | 74 | 99 |
| Q4 - 3:15 | MIA | Cole P.FOUL (P2.T1) | 74 | 99 |
| Q4 - 3:15 | CHA | Biyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 74 | 99 |
| Q4 - 3:16 | CHA | MISS Williams 14' Jump Shot | 74 | 99 |
| Q4 - 3:28 | CHA | Bobcats Rebound | 74 | 99 |
| Q4 - 3:29 | MIA | MISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 74 | 99 |
| Q4 - 3:53 | CHA | Brown 14' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Walker 3 AST) | 74 | 99 |
| Q4 - 4:09 | CHA | Biyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 72 | 99 |
| Q4 - 4:10 | MIA | MISS Curry 7' Hook Shot | 72 | 99 |
| Q4 - 4:20 | CHA | SUB: Williams FOR Carroll | 72 | 99 |
| Q4 - 4:20 | CHA | SUB: Brown FOR Henderson | 72 | 99 |
| Q4 - 4:20 | MIA | SUB: Curry FOR Pittman | 72 | 99 |
| Q4 - 4:20 | CHA | Biyombo P.FOUL (P4.T4) | 72 | 99 |
| Q4 - 4:29 | MIA | Howard REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1) | 72 | 99 |
| Q4 - 4:30 | MIA | MISS Pittman 9' Hook Shot | 72 | 99 |
| Q4 - 4:45 | MIA | Harris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 72 | 99 |
| Q4 - 4:48 | CHA | MISS Henderson 19' Jump Shot | 72 | 99 |
| Q4 - 4:57 | MIA | Howard 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 72 | 99 |
| Q4 - 4:59 | MIA | Howard REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1) | 72 | 97 |
| Q4 - 5:03 | MIA | MISS Pittman 2' Layup | 72 | 97 |
| Q4 - 5:04 | MIA | Pittman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 72 | 97 |
| Q4 - 5:05 | MIA | MISS Pittman 6' Hook Shot | 72 | 97 |
| Q4 - 5:25 | CHA | Biyombo 1' Layup (10 PTS) | 72 | 97 |
| Q4 - 5:46 | MIA | Pittman Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS) | 70 | 97 |
| Q4 - 5:46 | MIA | SUB: Howard FOR Battier | 70 | 96 |
| Q4 - 5:46 | MIA | SUB: Jones FOR Bosh | 70 | 96 |
| Q4 - 5:46 | MIA | HEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0) | 70 | 96 |
| Q4 - 5:46 | CHA | Biyombo S.FOUL (P3.T3) | 70 | 96 |
| Q4 - 5:46 | MIA | Pittman 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Cole 3 AST) | 70 | 96 |
| Q4 - 6:04 | CHA | Henderson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Walker 2 AST) | 70 | 94 |
| Q4 - 6:18 | MIA | Cole 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS) | 68 | 94 |
| Q4 - 6:41 | CHA | Carroll 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 68 | 92 |
| Q4 - 7:05 | CHA | Bobcats Rebound | 66 | 92 |
| Q4 - 7:06 | MIA | MISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 66 | 92 |
| Q4 - 7:29 | MIA | Battier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 66 | 92 |
| Q4 - 7:30 | CHA | MISS Higgins 18' Jump Shot | 66 | 92 |
| Q4 - 7:47 | CHA | SUB: Biyombo FOR Mullens | 66 | 92 |
| Q4 - 7:47 | 66 | 92 | ||
| Q4 - 7:47 | MIA | Battier Foul Turnover (P2.T10) | 66 | 92 |
| Q4 - 7:47 | MIA | Battier OFF.Foul (P1) | 66 | 92 |
| Q4 - 7:52 | MIA | Harris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 66 | 92 |
| Q4 - 7:53 | CHA | MISS Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 66 | 92 |
| Q4 - 8:16 | MIA | Bosh 1' Dunk (18 PTS) (Cole 2 AST) | 66 | 92 |
| Q4 - 8:29 | CHA | Bosh STEAL (3 STL) | 66 | 90 |
| Q4 - 8:44 | MIA | Battier 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST) | 66 | 90 |
| Q4 - 9:00 | CHA | Higgins 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Henderson 2 AST) | 66 | 88 |
| Q4 - 9:08 | CHA | Henderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 63 | 88 |
| Q4 - 9:09 | MIA | MISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 63 | 88 |
| Q4 - 9:28 | CHA | Walker 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 63 | 88 |
| Q4 - 9:50 | MIA | Pittman Dunk (13 PTS) (Harris 4 AST) | 61 | 88 |
| Q4 - 10:02 | CHA | Carroll Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18) | 61 | 86 |
| Q4 - 10:14 | MIA | Pittman Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T9) | 61 | 86 |
| Q4 - 10:37 | CHA | Higgins L.B.FOUL (P1.T2) | 61 | 86 |
| Q4 - 10:37 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 61 | 86 |
| Q4 - 10:37 | CHA | MISS Higgins 1' Layup | 61 | 86 |
| Q4 - 10:51 | MIA | Battier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8) | 61 | 86 |
| Q4 - 11:03 | CHA | Higgins 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Mullens 4 AST) | 61 | 86 |
| Q4 - 11:19 | MIA | Pittman Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS) | 59 | 86 |
| Q4 - 11:19 | CHA | Henderson S.FOUL (P4.T1) | 59 | 85 |
| Q4 - 11:19 | MIA | Pittman 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Battier 3 AST) | 59 | 85 |
| Q4 - 11:26 | MIA | Harris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 59 | 83 |
| Q4 - 11:27 | CHA | MISS Higgins 12' Jump Shot | 59 | 83 |
| Q4 - 11:40 | MIA | Pittman 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Battier 2 AST) | 59 | 83 |
| Q4 - 12:00 | 59 | 81 | ||
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | CHA | 59 | 81 | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | CHA | Bobcats Rebound | 59 | 81 |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | CHA | MISS Williams 39' 3PT Jump Shot | 59 | 81 |
| Q3 - 0:02.0 | MIA | Pittman 1' Dunk (6 PTS) | 59 | 81 |
| Q3 - 0:13.0 | CHA | Walker 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 59 | 79 |
| Q3 - 0:33.0 | MIA | James 1' Running Dunk (19 PTS) (Harris 3 AST) | 57 | 79 |
| Q3 - 0:37.0 | CHA | Battier STEAL (1 STL) | 57 | 77 |
| Q3 - 0:44.0 | CHA | Carroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 57 | 77 |
| Q3 - 0:45.0 | MIA | MISS Pittman 7' Hook Shot | 57 | 77 |
| Q3 - 1:02 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 57 | 77 |
| Q3 - 1:03 | CHA | MISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 2 | 57 | 77 |
| Q3 - 1:03 | CHA | Bobcats Rebound | 57 | 77 |
| Q3 - 1:03 | CHA | MISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 2 | 57 | 77 |
| Q3 - 1:03 | MIA | Pittman S.FOUL (P3.PN) | 57 | 77 |
| Q3 - 1:19 | MIA | Battier Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 57 | 77 |
| Q3 - 1:19 | MIA | Battier Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 57 | 76 |
| Q3 - 1:19 | CHA | Carroll P.FOUL (P1.PN) | 57 | 75 |
| Q3 - 1:28 | CHA | Brown Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 57 | 75 |
| Q3 - 1:28 | CHA | Brown Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 56 | 75 |
| Q3 - 1:28 | MIA | James S.FOUL (P1.T3) | 55 | 75 |
| Q3 - 1:46 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS) | 55 | 75 |
| Q3 - 1:46 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS) | 55 | 74 |
| Q3 - 1:46 | CHA | Williams S.FOUL (P1.T3) | 55 | 73 |
| Q3 - 1:49 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 55 | 73 |
| Q3 - 1:50 | CHA | MISS Carroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 55 | 73 |
| Q3 - 2:05 | CHA | Brown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 55 | 73 |
| Q3 - 2:06 | MIA | MISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 55 | 73 |
| Q3 - 2:23 | MIA | SUB: Battier FOR Chalmers | 55 | 73 |
| Q3 - 2:23 | MIA | SUB: Pittman FOR Jones | 55 | 73 |
| Q3 - 2:23 | MIA | SUB: Cole FOR Anthony | 55 | 73 |
| Q3 - 2:23 | CHA | SUB: Walker FOR Augustin | 55 | 73 |
| Q3 - 2:23 | CHA | Bobcats Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0) | 55 | 73 |
| Q3 - 2:23 | CHA | Augustin Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16) | 55 | 73 |
| Q3 - 2:32 | CHA | Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 55 | 73 |
| Q3 - 2:33 | MIA | MISS Harris 2' Driving Layup | 55 | 73 |
| Q3 - 2:50 | CHA | Brown 2' Layup (14 PTS) | 55 | 73 |
| Q3 - 3:02 | CHA | Carroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 53 | 73 |
| Q3 - 3:03 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot | 53 | 73 |
| Q3 - 3:11 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 53 | 73 |
| Q3 - 3:12 | CHA | MISS Augustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 53 | 73 |
| Q3 - 3:21 | CHA | Brown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 53 | 73 |
| Q3 - 3:22 | MIA | MISS Harris 1' Driving Layup | 53 | 73 |
| Q3 - 3:40 | CHA | SUB: Williams FOR Mullens | 53 | 73 |
| Q3 - 3:40 | CHA | Bobcats Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15) | 53 | 73 |
| Q3 - 3:41 | CHA | Biyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 53 | 73 |
| Q3 - 3:42 | CHA | Anthony BLOCK (4 BLK) | 53 | 73 |
| Q3 - 4:04 | CHA | Carroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 53 | 73 |
| Q3 - 4:05 | MIA | MISS James 18' Fadeaway Jumper | 53 | 73 |
| Q3 - 4:28 | MIA | SUB: Harris FOR Bosh | 53 | 73 |
| Q3 - 4:28 | CHA | SUB: Carroll FOR Henderson | 53 | 73 |
| Q3 - 4:28 | MIA | HEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0) | 53 | 73 |
| Q3 - 4:39 | CHA | Biyombo 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Henderson 1 AST) | 53 | 73 |
| Q3 - 5:00 | MIA | James 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST) | 51 | 73 |
| Q3 - 5:05 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 51 | 71 |
| Q3 - 5:06 | CHA | MISS Mullens 22' Jump Shot | 51 | 71 |
| Q3 - 5:21 | CHA | Biyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 51 | 71 |
| Q3 - 5:22 | MIA | MISS Anthony 8' Jump Shot | 51 | 71 |
| Q3 - 5:40 | CHA | Brown 5' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Augustin 6 AST) | 51 | 71 |
| Q3 - 5:55 | MIA | Anthony 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST) | 49 | 71 |
| Q3 - 6:07 | CHA | Henderson Foul Turnover (P2.T14) | 49 | 69 |
| Q3 - 6:07 | CHA | Henderson Offensive Charge Foul (P3.T2) | 49 | 69 |
| Q3 - 6:17 | CHA | Biyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 49 | 69 |
| Q3 - 6:18 | MIA | MISS Anthony 5' Jump Shot | 49 | 69 |
| Q3 - 6:30 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 49 | 69 |
| Q3 - 6:31 | CHA | MISS Henderson 21' Jump Shot | 49 | 69 |
| Q3 - 6:50 | MIA | Chalmers 10' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 49 | 69 |
| Q3 - 7:00 | CHA | Augustin Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13) | 49 | 67 |
| Q3 - 7:02 | CHA | Brown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 49 | 67 |
| Q3 - 7:03 | MIA | MISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot | 49 | 67 |
| Q3 - 7:13 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 49 | 67 |
| Q3 - 7:14 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2 | 49 | 67 |
| Q3 - 7:14 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 49 | 67 |
| Q3 - 7:14 | CHA | Mullens S.FOUL (P3.T1) | 49 | 66 |
| Q3 - 7:15 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 49 | 66 |
| Q3 - 7:16 | CHA | MISS Augustin 11' Turnaround Jump Shot | 49 | 66 |
| Q3 - 7:27 | CHA | Henderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 49 | 66 |
| Q3 - 7:28 | MIA | MISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 49 | 66 |
| Q3 - 7:38 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 49 | 66 |
| Q3 - 7:39 | CHA | MISS Brown 2' Driving Layup | 49 | 66 |
| Q3 - 8:04 | MIA | Anthony 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 5 AST) | 49 | 66 |
| Q3 - 8:22 | CHA | Augustin 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 49 | 64 |
| Q3 - 8:48 | MIA | Bosh 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Jones 1 AST) | 47 | 64 |
| Q3 - 9:02 | CHA | Augustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 47 | 62 |
| Q3 - 9:02 | CHA | Augustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 46 | 62 |
| Q3 - 9:02 | MIA | Chalmers S.FOUL (P1.T2) | 45 | 62 |
| Q3 - 9:27 | MIA | Bosh 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 45 | 62 |
| Q3 - 9:52 | CHA | Henderson 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Augustin 5 AST) | 45 | 60 |
| Q3 - 10:05 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7) | 43 | 60 |
| Q3 - 10:19 | CHA | Henderson 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Augustin 4 AST) | 43 | 60 |
| Q3 - 10:42 | MIA | Anthony 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (James 4 AST) | 41 | 60 |
| Q3 - 10:54 | CHA | Henderson 13' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 41 | 58 |
| Q3 - 11:03 | CHA | Brown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 39 | 58 |
| Q3 - 11:04 | MIA | MISS Jones 20' Jump Shot | 39 | 58 |
| Q3 - 11:22 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 39 | 58 |
| Q3 - 11:23 | CHA | MISS Henderson Free Throw 2 of 2 | 39 | 58 |
| Q3 - 11:23 | CHA | Bobcats Rebound | 39 | 58 |
| Q3 - 11:23 | CHA | MISS Henderson Free Throw 1 of 2 | 39 | 58 |
| Q3 - 11:23 | MIA | Anthony S.FOUL (P3.T1) | 39 | 58 |
| Q3 - 11:32 | CHA | Henderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 39 | 58 |
| Q3 - 11:33 | MIA | MISS James 7' Running Hook Shot | 39 | 58 |
| Q3 - 11:40 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 39 | 58 |
| Q3 - 11:42 | CHA | MISS Augustin 18' Fadeaway Jumper | 39 | 58 |
| Q3 - 12:00 | 39 | 58 | ||
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 39 | 58 | |
| Q2 - 0:04.0 | CHA | Bobcats Turnover: Backcourt (T#12) | 39 | 58 |
| Q2 - 0:23.0 | MIA | Chalmers 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 39 | 58 |
| Q2 - 0:27.0 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 39 | 56 |
| Q2 - 0:30.0 | MIA | MISS James Alley Oop Dunk | 39 | 56 |
| Q2 - 0:35.0 | MIA | Howard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1) | 39 | 56 |
| Q2 - 0:36.0 | MIA | MISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 39 | 56 |
| Q2 - 0:43.0 | MIA | Howard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 39 | 56 |
| Q2 - 0:44.0 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 1 of 1 | 39 | 56 |
| Q2 - 0:44.0 | CHA | Henderson S.FOUL (P2.T2) | 39 | 56 |
| Q2 - 0:44.0 | MIA | James 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS) | 39 | 56 |
| Q2 - 0:52.0 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 39 | 54 |
| Q2 - 0:54.0 | CHA | Anthony BLOCK (3 BLK) | 39 | 54 |
| Q2 - 1:14 | MIA | Howard 2' Layup (2 PTS) | 39 | 54 |
| Q2 - 1:15 | MIA | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 39 | 52 |
| Q2 - 1:16 | MIA | MISS James 2' Driving Layup | 39 | 52 |
| Q2 - 1:35 | MIA | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 39 | 52 |
| Q2 - 1:36 | CHA | Anthony BLOCK (2 BLK) | 39 | 52 |
| Q2 - 1:37 | CHA | Walker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 39 | 52 |
| Q2 - 1:38 | CHA | MISS Mullens 2' Dunk | 39 | 52 |
| Q2 - 1:42 | CHA | Walker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 39 | 52 |
| Q2 - 1:44 | MIA | MISS James 16' Fadeaway Jumper | 39 | 52 |
| Q2 - 2:09 | CHA | Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mullens 3 AST) | 39 | 52 |
| Q2 - 2:15 | CHA | Henderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 36 | 52 |
| Q2 - 2:16 | CHA | MISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 2 | 36 | 52 |
| Q2 - 2:16 | CHA | Bobcats Rebound | 36 | 52 |
| Q2 - 2:16 | CHA | MISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 2 | 36 | 52 |
| Q2 - 2:16 | MIA | Anthony S.FOUL (P2.T4) | 36 | 52 |
| Q2 - 2:25 | MIA | SUB: James FOR Jones | 36 | 52 |
| Q2 - 2:25 | MIA | Jones P.FOUL (P3.T3) | 36 | 52 |
| Q2 - 2:35 | CHA | Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 36 | 52 |
| Q2 - 2:36 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 19' Jump Shot | 36 | 52 |
| Q2 - 2:56 | CHA | SUB: Brown FOR Biyombo | 36 | 52 |
| Q2 - 2:56 | CHA | SUB: Walker FOR Augustin | 36 | 52 |
| Q2 - 2:56 | CHA | Bobcats Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0) | 36 | 52 |
| Q2 - 2:56 | CHA | Mullens Foul Turnover (P3.T11) | 36 | 52 |
| Q2 - 2:56 | CHA | Mullens OFF.Foul (P2) | 36 | 52 |
| Q2 - 3:00 | MIA | Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harris 2 AST) | 36 | 52 |
| Q2 - 3:16 | MIA | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 36 | 49 |
| Q2 - 3:18 | MIA | MISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 36 | 49 |
| Q2 - 3:29 | MIA | SUB: Chalmers FOR Cole | 36 | 49 |
| Q2 - 3:29 | MIA | SUB: Howard FOR Bosh | 36 | 49 |
| Q2 - 3:36 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 36 | 49 |
| Q2 - 3:36 | MIA | MISS Bosh 3' Driving Layup | 36 | 49 |
| Q2 - 3:36 | MIA | Jump Ball Anthony vs. Biyombo: Tip to Jones | 36 | 49 |
| Q2 - 3:46 | MIA | Harris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 36 | 49 |
| Q2 - 3:48 | CHA | MISS Henderson 19' Jump Shot | 36 | 49 |
| Q2 - 3:51 | MIA | Anthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6) | 36 | 49 |
| Q2 - 3:52 | CHA | Anthony STEAL (1 STL) | 36 | 49 |
| Q2 - 4:10 | CHA | Bobcats Rebound | 36 | 49 |
| Q2 - 4:12 | MIA | MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 36 | 49 |
| Q2 - 4:16 | CHA | Cole STEAL (1 STL) | 36 | 49 |
| Q2 - 4:22 | CHA | Mullens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 36 | 49 |
| Q2 - 4:23 | MIA | MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 36 | 49 |
| Q2 - 4:44 | CHA | Henderson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Biyombo 1 AST) | 36 | 49 |
| Q2 - 5:04 | MIA | Cole 10' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 34 | 49 |
| Q2 - 5:17 | CHA | Biyombo 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS) | 34 | 47 |
| Q2 - 5:19 | CHA | Biyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 32 | 47 |
| Q2 - 5:21 | CHA | MISS Henderson 8' Running Hook Shot | 32 | 47 |
| Q2 - 5:36 | MIA | Bosh P.FOUL (P1.T2) | 32 | 47 |
| Q2 - 5:48 | MIA | Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 32 | 47 |
| Q2 - 5:48 | MIA | Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 32 | 46 |
| Q2 - 5:48 | MIA | SUB: Jones FOR Battier | 32 | 45 |
| Q2 - 5:48 | CHA | SUB: Henderson FOR Walker | 32 | 45 |
| Q2 - 5:48 | CHA | SUB: Biyombo FOR White | 32 | 45 |
| Q2 - 5:48 | 32 | 45 | ||
| Q2 - 5:48 | CHA | White S.FOUL (P1.T1) | 32 | 45 |
| Q2 - 6:00 | MIA | SUB: Anthony FOR Pittman | 32 | 45 |
| Q2 - 6:00 | CHA | Bobcats Turnover: Backcourt (T#8) | 32 | 45 |
| Q2 - 6:24 | MIA | Harris 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Battier 1 AST) | 32 | 45 |
| Q2 - 6:31 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 32 | 43 |
| Q2 - 6:32 | CHA | MISS Augustin 2' Driving Layup | 32 | 43 |
| Q2 - 6:55 | MIA | Battier 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST) | 32 | 43 |
| Q2 - 7:06 | CHA | SUB: Mullens FOR Biyombo | 32 | 41 |
| Q2 - 7:06 | CHA | Biyombo Foul Turnover (P1.T7) | 32 | 41 |
| Q2 - 7:06 | CHA | Biyombo OFF.Foul (P2) | 32 | 41 |
| Q2 - 7:16 | MIA | Pittman 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 32 | 41 |
| Q2 - 7:35 | CHA | Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Walker 1 AST) | 32 | 39 |
| Q2 - 7:43 | CHA | Walker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 29 | 39 |
| Q2 - 7:45 | MIA | MISS Bosh 1' Layup | 29 | 39 |
| Q2 - 7:48 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 29 | 39 |
| Q2 - 7:49 | MIA | MISS Cole 11' Jump Shot | 29 | 39 |
| Q2 - 8:00 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 29 | 39 |
| Q2 - 8:01 | CHA | MISS Walker 16' Jump Shot | 29 | 39 |
| Q2 - 8:14 | CHA | SUB: Biyombo FOR Mullens | 29 | 39 |
| Q2 - 8:14 | CHA | SUB: Augustin FOR Brown | 29 | 39 |
| Q2 - 8:14 | MIA | Harris Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5) | 29 | 39 |
| Q2 - 8:32 | CHA | White 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST) | 29 | 39 |
| Q2 - 8:57 | MIA | Cole 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 27 | 39 |
| Q2 - 9:14 | CHA | Brown 2' Putback Dunk (10 PTS) | 27 | 37 |
| Q2 - 9:15 | CHA | Brown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 25 | 37 |
| Q2 - 9:16 | CHA | MISS Brown 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup | 25 | 37 |
| Q2 - 9:22 | CHA | Brown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 25 | 37 |
| Q2 - 9:23 | MIA | MISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 25 | 37 |
| Q2 - 9:41 | MIA | HEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0) | 25 | 37 |
| Q2 - 9:41 | MIA | SUB: Bosh FOR James | 25 | 37 |
| Q2 - 9:46 | CHA | Brown 1' Driving Dunk (8 PTS) | 25 | 37 |
| Q2 - 9:54 | CHA | White REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 | 37 |
| Q2 - 9:55 | MIA | MISS Harris 2' Tip Shot | 23 | 37 |
| Q2 - 9:56 | MIA | Harris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 23 | 37 |
| Q2 - 9:57 | MIA | MISS James 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup | 23 | 37 |
| Q2 - 10:01 | CHA | James STEAL (2 STL) | 23 | 37 |
| Q2 - 10:16 | MIA | Pittman 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (James 3 AST) | 23 | 37 |
| Q2 - 10:38 | CHA | Brown 1' Putback Dunk (6 PTS) | 23 | 35 |
| Q2 - 10:39 | CHA | Brown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 21 | 35 |
| Q2 - 10:40 | CHA | MISS Mullens 6' Jump Shot | 21 | 35 |
| Q2 - 10:57 | MIA | Cole 16' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) | 21 | 35 |
| Q2 - 11:15 | MIA | Battier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 21 | 33 |
| Q2 - 11:16 | CHA | MISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 1 | 21 | 33 |
| Q2 - 11:16 | MIA | Pittman S.FOUL (P2.T1) | 21 | 33 |
| Q2 - 11:16 | CHA | Williams 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 21 | 33 |
| Q2 - 11:21 | CHA | Bobcats Rebound | 19 | 33 |
| Q2 - 11:22 | CHA | MISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 19 | 33 |
| Q2 - 11:35 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4) | 19 | 33 |
| Q2 - 11:40 | MIA | Battier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 19 | 33 |
| Q2 - 11:42 | CHA | MISS Mullens 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 19 | 33 |
| Q2 - 12:00 | 19 | 33 | ||
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | CHA | 19 | 33 | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | CHA | Bobcats Rebound | 19 | 33 |
| Q1 - 0:02.0 | CHA | MISS White 10' Jump Shot | 19 | 33 |
| Q1 - 0:22.0 | MIA | James 1' Running Dunk (10 PTS) | 19 | 33 |
| Q1 - 0:26.0 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 19 | 31 |
| Q1 - 0:27.0 | CHA | James BLOCK (1 BLK) | 19 | 31 |
| Q1 - 0:36.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 19 | 31 |
| Q1 - 0:36.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 19 | 30 |
| Q1 - 0:36.0 | CHA | Walker S.FOUL (P1.T4) | 19 | 29 |
| Q1 - 0:38.0 | CHA | Walker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 19 | 29 |
| Q1 - 0:38.0 | CHA | Walker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 18 | 29 |
| Q1 - 0:38.0 | MIA | Cole S.FOUL (P1.PN) | 17 | 29 |
| Q1 - 0:56.0 | MIA | James 1' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Harris 1 AST) | 17 | 29 |
| Q1 - 1:00 | MIA | Pittman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 17 | 27 |
| Q1 - 1:01 | CHA | MISS White 6' Jump Shot | 17 | 27 |
| Q1 - 1:16 | CHA | Biyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 17 | 27 |
| Q1 - 1:17 | MIA | MISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 17 | 27 |
| Q1 - 1:30 | CHA | Bobcats Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5) | 17 | 27 |
| Q1 - 1:30 | CHA | Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 17 | 27 |
| Q1 - 1:31 | CHA | MISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 17 | 27 |
| Q1 - 1:55 | MIA | Battier 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST) | 17 | 27 |
| Q1 - 2:07 | CHA | Brown Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 17 | 25 |
| Q1 - 2:07 | CHA | Brown Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 16 | 25 |
| Q1 - 2:07 | MIA | Pittman S.FOUL (P1.PN) | 15 | 25 |
| Q1 - 2:15 | MIA | SUB: Pittman FOR Bosh | 15 | 25 |
| Q1 - 2:24 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 15 | 25 |
| Q1 - 2:24 | CHA | SUB: Williams FOR Henderson | 15 | 24 |
| Q1 - 2:24 | CHA | SUB: Walker FOR Augustin | 15 | 24 |
| Q1 - 2:24 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 15 | 24 |
| Q1 - 2:24 | CHA | Biyombo S.FOUL (P1.T3) | 15 | 23 |
| Q1 - 2:35 | CHA | Henderson Traveling Turnover (P1.T4) | 15 | 23 |
| Q1 - 2:48 | MIA | Harris P.FOUL (P1.T4) | 15 | 23 |
| Q1 - 2:59 | MIA | SUB: Cole FOR Anthony | 15 | 23 |
| Q1 - 2:59 | CHA | SUB: White FOR Mullens | 15 | 23 |
| Q1 - 2:59 | CHA | Bobcats Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0) | 15 | 23 |
| Q1 - 3:07 | MIA | James 9' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) | 15 | 23 |
| Q1 - 3:15 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 15 | 21 |
| Q1 - 3:16 | CHA | MISS Brown 20' Jump Shot | 15 | 21 |
| Q1 - 3:38 | MIA | Bosh 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS) | 15 | 21 |
| Q1 - 3:59 | CHA | Mullens 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Augustin 3 AST) | 15 | 19 |
| Q1 - 4:16 | MIA | Bosh 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 12 | 19 |
| Q1 - 4:34 | CHA | Brown 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 12 | 17 |
| Q1 - 4:53 | MIA | Bosh 2' Driving Dunk (6 PTS) | 10 | 17 |
| Q1 - 5:01 | MIA | SUB: Battier FOR Chalmers | 10 | 15 |
| Q1 - 5:01 | MIA | HEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0) | 10 | 15 |
| Q1 - 5:01 | CHA | Mullens P.FOUL (P1.T2) | 10 | 15 |
| Q1 - 5:14 | CHA | Bosh STEAL (2 STL) | 10 | 15 |
| Q1 - 5:40 | MIA | James 9' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) | 10 | 15 |
| Q1 - 5:53 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 10 | 13 |
| Q1 - 5:54 | CHA | MISS Augustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 10 | 13 |
| Q1 - 6:11 | MIA | Harris 2' Layup (2 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 10 | 13 |
| Q1 - 6:18 | CHA | James STEAL (1 STL) | 10 | 11 |
| Q1 - 6:20 | MIA | Harris Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3) | 10 | 11 |
| Q1 - 6:29 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 10 | 11 |
| Q1 - 6:30 | CHA | Anthony BLOCK (1 BLK) | 10 | 11 |
| Q1 - 6:39 | MIA | SUB: Harris FOR Jones | 10 | 11 |
| Q1 - 6:39 | MIA | Anthony P.FOUL (P1.T3) | 10 | 11 |
| Q1 - 6:39 | CHA | Bobcats Rebound | 10 | 11 |
| Q1 - 6:40 | CHA | MISS Mullens 19' Jump Shot | 10 | 11 |
| Q1 - 6:56 | MIA | Jones L.B.FOUL (P2.T2) | 10 | 11 |
| Q1 - 6:58 | MIA | Bosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 10 | 11 |
| Q1 - 7:06 | CHA | Henderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 10 | 11 |
| Q1 - 7:06 | CHA | Henderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 9 | 11 |
| Q1 - 7:06 | MIA | Jones S.FOUL (P1.T1) | 8 | 11 |
| Q1 - 7:27 | MIA | Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 8 | 11 |
| Q1 - 7:27 | MIA | Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 8 | 10 |
| Q1 - 7:27 | CHA | Henderson S.FOUL (P1.T1) | 8 | 9 |
| Q1 - 7:31 | CHA | Bosh STEAL (1 STL) | 8 | 9 |
| Q1 - 7:42 | CHA | Brown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 8 | 9 |
| Q1 - 7:43 | MIA | MISS James 13' Jump Shot | 8 | 9 |
| Q1 - 8:01 | CHA | Mullens 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST) | 8 | 9 |
| Q1 - 8:16 | MIA | Bosh 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST) | 6 | 9 |
| Q1 - 8:26 | CHA | Biyombo 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST) | 6 | 7 |
| Q1 - 8:37 | CHA | Augustin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 4 | 7 |
| Q1 - 8:38 | CHA | MISS Mullens 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 4 | 7 |
| Q1 - 9:00 | MIA | Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 4 | 7 |
| Q1 - 9:08 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 | 4 |
| Q1 - 9:09 | CHA | MISS Brown 1' Tip Shot | 4 | 4 |
| Q1 - 9:10 | CHA | Brown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 4 | 4 |
| Q1 - 9:11 | CHA | MISS Brown 1' Layup | 4 | 4 |
| Q1 - 9:22 | MIA | Chalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 4 | 4 |
| Q1 - 9:30 | CHA | Biyombo 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mullens 2 AST) | 4 | 4 |
| Q1 - 9:45 | MIA | Chalmers 8' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST) | 2 | 4 |
| Q1 - 10:00 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 10:01 | CHA | MISS Henderson 3PT Jump Shot | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 10:20 | CHA | Mullens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 10:21 | MIA | MISS James 17' Fadeaway Jumper | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 10:46 | CHA | Henderson 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Mullens 1 AST) | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 11:05 | MIA | Bosh 1' Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 0 | 2 |
| Q1 - 11:27 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 | 0 |
| Q1 - 11:28 | CHA | Bosh BLOCK (1 BLK) | 0 | 0 |
| Q1 - 11:42 | CHA | Biyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 | 0 |
| Q1 - 11:43 | MIA | MISS Jones 21' Jump Shot | 0 | 0 |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIA | Jump Ball Anthony vs. Biyombo: Tip to James | 0 | 0 |
| Q1 - 12:00 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Clock | Team | Event | CHA | MIA |
Score / WinProb | ||||
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
Scoring by Shot Type
Total Points
|| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Brown | 21 | 53% | 10.5 / 20 | |
| G. Henderson | 14 | 54% | 7.0 / 13 | |
| K. Walker | 11 | 61% | 5.5 / 9 | |
| B. Biyombo | 10 | 83% | 5.0 / 6 | |
| R. Williams | 8 | 67% | 4.0 / 6 | |
| B. Mullens | 5 | 28% | 2.5 / 9 | |
| C. Higgins | 5 | 50% | 2.5 / 5 | |
| D. Augustin | 4 | 25% | 2.0 / 8 | |
| M. Carroll | 2 | 33% | 1.0 / 3 | |
| D. White | 2 | 25% | 1.0 / 4 |
Total Points
|| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. James | 19 | 50% | 9.5 / 19 | |
| C. Bosh | 18 | 75% | 9.0 / 12 | |
| D. Pittman | 16 | 73% | 8.0 / 11 | |
| J. Anthony | 10 | 83% | 5.0 / 6 | |
| T. Harris | 8 | 31% | 4.0 / 13 | |
| N. Cole | 8 | 50% | 4.0 / 8 | |
| S. Battier | 8 | 100% | 4.0 / 4 | |
| J. Jones | 6 | 43% | 3.0 / 7 | |
| M. Chalmers | 6 | 60% | 3.0 / 5 | |
| J. Howard | 4 | 67% | 2.0 / 3 | |
| E. Curry | 2 | 33% | 1.0 / 3 |
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
Scoring Efficiency
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 95.4 106.6 | CHA 90.1 MIA 118.0 +27.9 |
| Pace | 90.9 91.3 | CHA 91.9 +3.8 MIA 88.1 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.3 15.8 | CHA 15.7 −0.7 MIA 16.3 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 43.9% 50.5% | CHA 48.0% MIA 52.9% +4.9% |
| TO % | 14.9% 15.9% | CHA 19.5% MIA 10.6% −8.9% |
| ORB % | 23.6% 26.6% | CHA 25.0% MIA 31.6% +6.6% |
| FTrt | 27.6 30.7 | CHA 25.7 +5.7 MIA 20.0 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 60.5% 53.8% | CHA 57.6% +0.8% MIA 56.8% |
| STL % | 6.6% 9.6% | CHA 3.3% MIA 9.0% +5.7% |
| BLK % | 8.5% 9.0% | CHA 5.6% MIA 10.5% +4.9% |
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 46.9% 53.5% | CHA 45.6% MIA 56.5% +10.9% |
| Rim FG% | 54.8% 61.1% | CHA 52.2% MIA 67.5% +15.3% |
| Mid FG% | 36.1% 40.0% | CHA 47.1% MIA 48.4% +1.3% |
| 3P % | 29.5% 35.9% | CHA 29.4% +15.1% MIA 14.3% |
| FT % | 74.6% 77.5% | CHA 57.9% MIA 88.2% +30.3% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 34.4% 36.7% | CHA 31.1% MIA 47.1% +16.0% |
| Mid Att. % | 48.8% 43.6% | CHA 45.9% MIA 36.5% −9.5% |
| 3P Att. % | 16.9% 19.8% | CHA 23.0% +6.5% MIA 16.5% |
| Game Totals | CHA | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 91 | 89 |
| Possession Minutes | 23.8 | 24.2 |
| Points | 82 | 105 |
| Rebounds | 36 | 42 |
| Assists | 19 | 25 |
| Steals | 3 | 8 |
| Blocks | 4 | 6 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 16 (4) | 11 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 10 (5) | 12 (2) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 26 (2) | 30 (1) |
| Field Goals | 33-74 | 44-85 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 12-23 | 27-40 |
| Midrange FG | 16-34 | 15-31 |
| 2-Point FG | 28-57 | 42-71 |
| 3-Point FG | 5-17 | 2-14 |
| Free Throws | 11-19 | 15-17 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.