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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 13, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Bucks66%101113
27Pistons34%9697
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 22.6
41.4
34.1
20
67%
2
10
0
2
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
6-9
5-11
67%
47%
2-5
40%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.5
36.7
34.6
18
60%
3
7
0
1
0
0
0
3
4-7
57%
7-11
6-13
64%
49%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 30.6
35.3
12.7
26
69%
5
8
1
0
1
1
2
3
2-2
100%
12-17
2-5
71%
48%
0-1
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 29.6
29.1
23.9
16
78%
5
4
1
1
0
0
0
5
5-5
100%
4-5
1-3
80%
45%
1-3
33%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.9
26.8
22.9
14
50%
7
2
0
1
2
2
2
5
1-2
50%
5-12
3-6
42%
51%
1-1
100%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 24.9
19.8
21.4
2
50%
4
0
0
1
3
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 31.6
17.9
27.4
9
46%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
52%
1-4
25%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.8
16.5
16.7
2
20%
4
2
3
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
52%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.4
12.7
12.1
4
33%
7
0
1
0
2
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 26.6
1.4
7.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 25.1
1.4
3.1
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.7
1.0
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.6
24.1
1
3-6
51%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.1
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.4
34.1
27.8
25
69%
5
8
1
1
0
2
0
5
5-5
100%
7-12
3-6
58%
44%
2-4
50%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 21.9
31.3
25.6
16
67%
10
2
1
1
2
2
4
6
0-0
-
8-12
5-9
67%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.1
28.0
22.6
6
40%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-1
0%
3-7
3-6
43%
50%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.1
24.2
29.2
4
25%
0
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-7
5-10
14%
46%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.0
15.8
23.9
7
54%
0
1
0
1
0
5
0
0
1-1
100%
3-6
3-8
50%
46%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.0
30.8
20.3
24
80%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
7-7
100%
7-11
2-5
64%
46%
1-1
100%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.3
22.6
16.2
7
40%
2
2
2
1
0
4
0
2
3-4
75%
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.1
20.0
21.8
4
26%
7
1
0
1
0
0
1
6
2-4
50%
1-4
3-5
25%
51%
0-2
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 37.6
16.7
17.8
0
0%
4
1
1
1
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.3
15.1
16.7
4
40%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
45%
0-0
-
Walker Russell
G · 6'0" 170 · 29.5
1.4
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.9
9.0
0
1-2
42%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 27.6
7.6
0
1-2
47%
Vernon Macklin
F · 6'10" 227 · 25.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.