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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 13, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Jazz57%9785
23Hornets43%9596
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.1
40.9
35.6
8
40%
3
5
1
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
2-5
4-8
40%
50%
1-4
25%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.2
38.6
33.6
27
57%
8
3
3
2
1
2
3
5
5-6
83%
11-20
7-13
55%
52%
0-1
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.3
33.8
35.1
19
64%
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
3-4
75%
8-13
8-16
62%
50%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.1
31.4
26.4
3
23%
1
8
1
1
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
0-2
0%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.7
15.5
15.9
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 20.7
23.8
25.0
12
61%
13
0
0
1
2
3
7
6
4-4
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.1
21.6
18.5
2
33%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
43%
0-2
0%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 20.7
20.6
13.7
9
51%
7
1
0
0
0
2
4
3
2-2
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
46%
1-1
100%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 19.9
13.7
9.9
5
64%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 32.0
7.0
0
1-2
45%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.6
6.7
0
0-1
46%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.5
6.0
0
1-1
56%
Blake Ahearn
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.9
0.6
0
0-0
38%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.1
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 32.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.3
37.4
13.9
25
63%
0
6
1
0
0
2
0
0
1-4
25%
9-13
2-4
69%
49%
2-5
40%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.6
35.0
26.7
11
81%
7
2
2
1
2
3
0
7
2-4
50%
3-3
3-6
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.0
33.0
29.4
19
53%
4
2
1
1
0
2
2
2
3-4
75%
8-16
6-12
50%
48%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.2
31.6
32.1
11
81%
1
6
1
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
2-4
4-8
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.1
30.7
26.8
8
58%
8
4
0
1
1
1
4
4
2-2
100%
3-6
5-9
50%
51%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.1
21.5
28.9
7
50%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.6
19.9
23.0
5
56%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
2-4
4-8
50%
51%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.1
12.5
21.4
6
77%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
3-6
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.0
12.4
11.0
2
50%
6
1
1
0
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jerome Dyson
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.0
6.2
14.9
2
33%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.8
11.0
1
1-2
46%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
9.7
0
1-3
48%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.0
8.4
0
1-2
48%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.5
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 26.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.