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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 13, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Suns38%99112
11Rockets62%103105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.2
35.8
28.8
20
67%
15
0
1
1
2
1
1
14
0-0
-
10-15
5-10
67%
56%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.2
34.3
30.3
18
75%
3
10
0
1
0
5
1
2
9-9
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
54%
1-2
50%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 28.9
28.5
22.5
7
60%
4
4
1
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
47%
1-4
25%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 26.4
27.9
30.5
10
46%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
4-4
100%
3-7
4-9
43%
46%
0-2
0%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.8
25.8
26.0
19
71%
3
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
2-3
67%
4-7
3-6
57%
52%
3-5
60%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 39.5
25.5
8.4
4
25%
6
0
1
0
0
2
0
6
0-2
0%
2-6
1-2
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 32.6
19.8
17.4
13
55%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
4-4
100%
3-9
2-5
33%
47%
1-1
100%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.6
16.5
23.7
7
56%
2
2
1
1
1
2
0
2
5-5
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 26.8
14.1
16.1
12
89%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-4
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
2-2
100%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.0
11.8
16.7
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 28.8
17.2
1
2-3
57%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 29.8
3.9
0
1-1
48%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.8
3.5
0
0-1
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.9
35.7
36.8
22
79%
2
7
2
2
0
4
0
2
11-11
100%
4-5
4-9
80%
51%
1-4
25%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.5
34.0
30.1
8
33%
3
3
2
1
2
2
2
1
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
48%
0-4
0%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.5
32.1
27.9
6
43%
5
0
0
1
1
4
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
52%
0-2
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 38.1
31.1
22.6
14
44%
18
4
2
1
3
0
6
12
0-0
-
7-15
2-5
47%
45%
0-1
0%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 32.0
30.7
31.4
21
53%
6
0
0
1
0
0
3
3
7-9
78%
7-16
7-13
44%
51%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.9
30.6
24.3
13
51%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
2-6
2-5
33%
49%
2-5
40%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.1
25.6
19.7
11
68%
0
7
1
1
0
1
0
0
6-7
86%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.1
15.3
24.2
6
43%
2
1
1
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
4-9
43%
49%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.9
4.9
13.9
4
106%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.2
6.6
0
1-1
48%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 35.9
4.5
0
1-1
44%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
2.2
0
0-1
49%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.3
Courtney Fortson
G · 5'11" 185 · 23.9
Diamon Simpson
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.