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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 14, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Celtics63%9594
21Nets37%9082
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.4
38.1
30.9
18
60%
4
2
1
1
0
0
3
1
1-2
50%
4-10
4-8
40%
50%
3-4
75%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.1
32.4
36.9
4
23%
4
15
1
2
0
4
1
3
0-2
0%
2-7
4-8
29%
50%
0-1
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.5
31.2
34.2
17
47%
5
4
0
1
2
2
2
3
4-5
80%
5-12
5-10
42%
50%
1-4
25%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 35.9
30.3
30.7
21
56%
12
3
2
1
1
1
3
9
5-6
83%
8-16
7-14
50%
52%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.0
29.5
33.4
18
63%
11
2
0
1
2
1
2
9
4-5
80%
7-12
5-10
58%
51%
0-0
-
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
29.1
18.6
6
75%
9
0
2
1
2
2
0
9
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
53%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.2
25.9
21.0
5
43%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
0-2
0%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 28.4
12.9
11.5
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.5
3.5
4.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
56%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.1
3.5
1.8
5
83%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
46%
1-1
100%
JaJuan Johnson
F · 6'10" 221 · 23.2
3.5
1.7
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.9
5.9
0
0-1
47%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.3
4.4
0
1-1
49%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 36.7
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 33.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.2
36.5
31.9
13
38%
5
3
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
5-14
4-9
36%
46%
1-3
33%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.8
34.1
33.7
12
40%
0
14
0
1
0
4
0
0
6-7
86%
3-8
5-10
38%
47%
0-4
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
34.0
34.8
6
33%
10
0
0
1
1
0
1
9
0-0
-
3-9
6-12
33%
48%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.5
16.6
17.7
0
0%
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.0
15.2
16.6
5
46%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
37%
0-2
0%
Jordan Williams
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.5
29.0
21.3
12
55%
14
0
3
1
1
1
6
8
0-0
-
6-11
2-5
55%
47%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.2
28.7
27.5
15
54%
1
0
0
1
2
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
52%
3-6
50%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.5
17.1
21.4
5
28%
0
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-3
3-6
0%
46%
1-5
20%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.2
16.1
9.0
4
67%
8
1
0
0
0
1
4
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
42%
0-0
-
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 26.0
7.6
6.7
4
52%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.1
5.2
7.7
6
61%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
41%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.7
13.2
1
2-3
48%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.4
6.0
0
1-1
45%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 24.0
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.