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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 14, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Jazz31%9698
12Grizzlies69%102103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.2
37.8
35.0
17
54%
7
1
3
2
0
0
2
5
0-2
0%
7-14
7-14
50%
50%
1-1
100%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.3
37.5
34.1
20
59%
8
4
1
1
0
0
1
7
0-0
-
10-17
7-15
59%
48%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.1
37.0
36.9
17
65%
4
5
0
1
0
1
2
2
7-7
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
48%
2-3
67%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.1
36.2
28.0
20
54%
1
6
1
1
0
4
0
1
4-6
67%
5-11
2-5
45%
46%
2-5
40%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.7
22.2
15.6
6
50%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
42%
0-1
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 20.8
28.4
24.3
10
46%
14
0
0
1
2
3
7
7
2-2
100%
4-10
4-8
40%
49%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 20.7
13.4
16.5
4
50%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.1
11.8
19.4
2
33%
1
3
2
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
41%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 19.9
10.5
11.5
2
100%
0
0
1
0
2
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Blake Ahearn
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.9
5.1
1.3
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
35%
0-1
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 32.0
7.0
0
1-2
43%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.6
6.5
0
0-1
44%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.5
4.6
0
0-1
53%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.1
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 32.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.7
40.4
38.5
26
64%
12
1
1
1
2
1
4
8
9-10
90%
7-12
7-13
58%
50%
1-4
25%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.2
39.2
32.0
17
63%
9
4
0
1
3
1
1
8
5-8
63%
6-10
5-10
60%
53%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.5
36.0
32.1
17
58%
1
6
1
2
1
4
0
1
4-4
100%
5-11
4-7
45%
48%
1-2
50%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.3
23.9
10.2
6
44%
3
2
0
1
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
52%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 24.7
18.3
22.6
4
40%
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
49%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.7
29.5
26.4
7
51%
6
2
0
1
0
1
2
4
1-2
50%
3-6
5-10
50%
50%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.4
24.2
26.0
20
73%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
6-6
100%
1-6
3-7
17%
46%
4-5
80%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 30.3
12.1
13.1
5
83%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.0
7.1
12.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.1
6.7
23.9
1
57%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 26.9
2.7
2.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 26.1
3.0
0
0-1
45%
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.1
1.3
0
0-0
47%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.