Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Suns	26%	98	91	95.8	95	88.9
	2	Spurs	74%	107	105	107.1	98	105.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jared Dudley F · 6'7" 240 · 27	22.4	6	75%	2	1	1	0	1	0	1	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 28	20.1	6	25%	7	0	0	2	0	1	4	3	0-0	-	3-12	25%	0-0	-
Shannon Brown G · 6'3" 215 · 26	17.2	6	38%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Channing Frye F · 6'11" 255 · 29	15.7	0	0%	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Steve Nash G · 6'3" 178 · 38	5.9	2	25%	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%

Markieff Morris F · 6'10" 245 · 23	32.3	10	38%	9	4	1	3	1	2	2	7	4-6	67%	3-8	38%	0-2	0%
Sebastian Telfair G · 6'0" 170 · 27	31.0	21	46%	6	4	3	1	2	4	2	4	3-4	75%	9-18	50%	0-3	0%
Josh Childress F-G · 6'8" 210 · 29	22.4	2	20%	4	1	1	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Ronnie Price G · 6'2" 190 · 29	20.2	7	50%	1	1	2	0	1	5	0	1	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Robin Lopez C · 7'0" 277 · 24	19.7	8	57%	9	1	1	0	2	0	8	1	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Michael Redd G · 6'6" 215 · 33	17.3	13	65%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	4-5	80%	3-7	43%	1-3	33%
Hakim Warrick F · 6'9" 219 · 30	8.2	6	75%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Grant Hill F · 6'8" 225 · 40	7.7	4	50%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	43%	44	15	10	6	12	0	18	26	13-18	72%	36-80	45%	2-16	13%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

15 Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jared Dudley F · 6'7" 240 · 27	22.4	6	75%	2	1	1	0	1	0	1	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 28	20.1	6	25%	7	0	0	2	0	1	4	3	0-0	-	3-12	25%	0-0	-
Shannon Brown G · 6'3" 215 · 26	17.2	6	38%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Channing Frye F · 6'11" 255 · 29	15.7	0	0%	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Steve Nash G · 6'3" 178 · 38	5.9	2	25%	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%

Markieff Morris F · 6'10" 245 · 23	32.3	10	38%	9	4	1	3	1	2	2	7	4-6	67%	3-8	38%	0-2	0%
Sebastian Telfair G · 6'0" 170 · 27	31.0	21	46%	6	4	3	1	2	4	2	4	3-4	75%	9-18	50%	0-3	0%
Josh Childress F-G · 6'8" 210 · 29	22.4	2	20%	4	1	1	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Ronnie Price G · 6'2" 190 · 29	20.2	7	50%	1	1	2	0	1	5	0	1	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Robin Lopez C · 7'0" 277 · 24	19.7	8	57%	9	1	1	0	2	0	8	1	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Michael Redd G · 6'6" 215 · 33	17.3	13	65%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	4-5	80%	3-7	43%	1-3	33%
Hakim Warrick F · 6'9" 219 · 30	8.2	6	75%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Grant Hill F · 6'8" 225 · 40	7.7	4	50%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	43%	44	15	10	6	12	0	18	26	13-18	72%	36-80	45%	2-16	13%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

2 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 21	23.8	14	117%	5	2	2	0	3	1	3	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	3-3	100%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 36	23.6	19	68%	11	1	0	0	2	1	1	10	1-1	100%	9-14	64%	0-0	-
DeJuan Blair C · 6'7" 270 · 23	22.4	10	63%	4	1	2	0	3	1	2	2	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 30	21.0	14	64%	4	5	0	0	0	0	0	4	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 25	11.7	3	50%	4	2	1	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%

Stephen Jackson G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34	24.2	9	45%	4	1	4	0	4	4	0	4	4-6	67%	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 35	21.4	7	50%	1	4	0	0	3	3	0	1	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Gary Neal G · 6'4" 210 · 28	18.6	7	88%	1	2	0	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30	16.9	5	83%	2	1	2	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 24	16.4	8	50%	2	3	1	0	4	1	1	1	2-2	100%	0-4	0%	2-3	67%
Tiago Splitter C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27	15.3	4	67%	7	0	0	1	1	3	2	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
James Anderson G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23	12.7	3	30%	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32	12.1	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Cory Joseph #5 · G · 6'2" 200 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	61%	49	24	12	1	24	0	10	39	16-19	84%	31-58	53%	9-18	50%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	PHX	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	PHX	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHX

0.86 42.9%

SAS

1.22 61.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

PHX

22

41

54%

SAS

23

30

77%

Midrange

PHX

14

39

36%

SAS

8

28

29%

3PT | Effective 3PT

PHX

2

3.0

16

13%

19%

SAS

9

13.5

18

50%

75%

Free Throws

PHX

13

18

72%

SAS

16

19

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Suns

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Telfair	21	46%	10.5 / 23
M. Redd	13	65%	6.5 / 10
M. Morris	10	38%	5.0 / 13
R. Lopez	8	57%	4.0 / 7
R. Price	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Dudley	6	75%	3.0 / 4
M. Gortat	6	25%	3.0 / 12
S. Brown	6	38%	3.0 / 8
H. Warrick	6	75%	3.0 / 4
G. Hill	4	50%	2.0 / 4
S. Nash	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Childress	2	20%	1.0 / 5
C. Frye	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Duncan	19	68%	9.5 / 14
K. Leonard	14	117%	7.0 / 6
T. Parker	14	64%	7.0 / 11
D. Blair	10	63%	5.0 / 8
S. Jackson	9	45%	4.5 / 10
P. Mills	8	50%	4.0 / 8
M. Ginobili	7	50%	3.5 / 7
G. Neal	7	88%	3.5 / 4
B. Diaw	5	83%	2.5 / 3
T. Splitter	4	67%	2.0 / 3
D. Green	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Anderson	3	30%	1.5 / 5
M. Bonner	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 106.4 1 110.9	PHX 95.8 SAS 107.1 +11.4
Pace	10 92.5 7 93.0	PHX 88.9 SAS 105.2 +16.3
Avg. Poss. Time	21 15.4 20 15.5	PHX 16.2 SAS 13.7 −2.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	9 49.9% 1 52.8%	PHX 40.6% SAS 58.6% +18.0%
TO %	11 14.6% 3 14.1%	PHX 11.1% −11.0% SAS 22.1%
ORB %	23 25.8% 24 25.1%	PHX 31.6% +3.8% SAS 27.8%
FTrt	23 25.7 20 26.1	PHX 18.8 SAS 25.0 +6.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 59.6% 13 58.5%	PHX 39.5% SAS 60.0% +20.5%
STL %	27 7.0% 21 8.0%	PHX 10.5% SAS 12.2% +1.7%
BLK %	12 8.4% 27 6.7%	PHX 10.3% +9.0% SAS 1.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 52.3% 2 54.9%	PHX 42.9% SAS 61.0% +18.1%
Rim FG%	2 60.9% 5 60.6%	PHX 53.7% SAS 76.7% +23.0%
Mid FG%	4 41.2% 2 41.4%	PHX 35.9% +7.3% SAS 28.6%
3P %	17 34.3% 1 39.3%	PHX 12.5% SAS 50.0% +37.5%
FT %	14 75.8% 19 74.8%	PHX 72.2% SAS 84.2% +12.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 31.7% 18 36.1%	PHX 42.7% +3.2% SAS 39.5%
Mid Att. %	23 44.5% 9 38.2%	PHX 40.6% SAS 36.8% −3.8%
3P Att. %	14 23.8% 7 25.7%	PHX 16.7% SAS 23.7% +7.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Game Totals	PHX	SAS
Possessions	95	98
Possession Minutes	25.6	22.4
Points	91	105
Rebounds	44	49
Assists	15	24
Steals	10	12
Blocks	6	1
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	24 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	18 (2)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (0)	39 (1)
Field Goals	38-96	40-76
At-the-Rim FG	22-41	23-30
Midrange FG	14-39	8-28
2-Point FG	36-80	31-58
3-Point FG	2-16	9-18
Free Throws	13-18	16-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg