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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 14, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Suns25%9891
2Spurs75%107105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.8
22.4
25.9
6
77%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
3-6
50%
50%
1-1
100%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.2
20.1
31.1
6
25%
7
0
0
1
2
0
4
3
0-0
-
3-12
6-11
25%
55%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 26.4
17.2
29.1
6
38%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
45%
0-1
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 28.9
15.7
24.8
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
45%
0-1
0%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.2
5.9
31.4
2
25%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
52%
0-1
0%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.6
32.3
20.7
10
40%
9
4
1
1
3
1
2
7
4-6
67%
3-8
2-5
38%
44%
0-2
0%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 26.8
31.0
15.4
21
46%
6
4
3
1
1
2
2
4
3-4
75%
9-18
2-4
50%
42%
0-3
0%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 28.8
22.4
11.7
2
20%
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
56%
0-2
0%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.8
20.2
3.3
7
47%
1
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-5
0-1
60%
40%
0-2
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.0
19.7
15.1
8
57%
9
1
1
0
0
2
8
1
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 32.6
17.3
18.3
13
53%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
4-5
80%
3-7
2-5
43%
45%
1-3
33%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 29.8
8.2
3.6
6
75%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
46%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 39.5
7.7
16.2
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.8
23.8
20.5
14
109%
5
2
2
1
0
3
3
2
1-1
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
54%
3-3
100%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.0
23.6
25.9
19
66%
11
1
0
1
0
2
1
10
1-1
100%
9-14
6-11
64%
51%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.0
22.4
14.5
10
63%
4
1
2
1
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
5-8
3-5
63%
54%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.9
21.0
26.5
14
64%
4
5
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
6-10
5-11
60%
52%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
11.7
25.3
3
50%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
1-3
33%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.0
24.2
22.3
9
47%
4
1
4
1
0
4
0
4
4-6
67%
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
1-3
33%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 34.7
21.4
23.8
7
48%
1
4
0
1
0
3
0
1
3-3
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.5
18.6
14.7
7
88%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
47%
1-1
100%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.0
16.9
16.8
5
83%
2
1
2
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
53%
1-1
100%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.7
16.4
13.0
8
51%
2
3
1
0
0
4
1
1
2-2
100%
0-4
2-3
0%
47%
2-3
67%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.3
15.3
15.9
4
67%
7
0
0
0
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
59%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.1
12.7
4.8
3
32%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
0-2
0-1
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.0
12.1
21.4
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.