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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 15, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Celtics78%9694
30Bobcats22%8582
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.1
43.2
35.3
20
50%
6
16
1
2
0
8
2
4
4-7
57%
8-17
4-8
47%
51%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.0
37.0
31.8
22
52%
9
1
0
1
3
1
1
8
4-5
80%
9-19
5-10
47%
52%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.4
35.1
32.6
22
74%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
7-11
4-9
64%
51%
2-3
67%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.2
34.9
22.3
11
37%
6
0
0
1
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
51%
3-11
27%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.6
27.9
21.7
8
100%
5
1
4
1
6
1
2
3
0-0
-
4-4
2-3
100%
54%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.5
20.0
4.4
2
69%
4
0
1
0
0
2
0
4
0-1
0%
1-1
0-1
100%
56%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 28.4
15.3
12.0
1
27%
7
0
0
0
0
1
0
7
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-1
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.9
14.3
4.8
2
25%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
47%
0-0
-
JaJuan Johnson
F · 6'10" 221 · 23.2
6.0
2.6
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
53%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.3
5.0
3.8
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.1
1.3
2.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.5
33.0
1
5-10
51%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 35.9
30.3
1
7-14
53%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 36.7
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 33.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.4
35.0
29.8
22
55%
3
5
0
1
0
2
2
1
2-2
100%
10-18
5-10
56%
46%
0-1
0%
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 24.6
35.0
30.0
15
69%
7
0
3
1
1
1
0
7
2-2
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
51%
1-1
100%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 19.6
29.0
29.2
9
36%
7
0
0
1
2
2
2
5
5-6
83%
2-10
3-6
20%
47%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.6
28.4
17.4
13
58%
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2
3-5
60%
5-9
3-6
56%
48%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 24.4
26.9
23.4
2
20%
4
10
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 21.9
24.2
24.3
8
36%
3
3
1
1
1
1
0
3
3-5
60%
1-5
3-7
20%
40%
1-4
25%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.2
22.1
27.8
6
50%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
4-10
60%
44%
0-1
0%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.6
15.0
15.9
3
38%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
49%
1-4
25%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 31.8
13.0
9.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.7
11.5
7.4
4
40%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
43%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 31.6
13.4
0
1-3
43%
Cory Higgins
G · 6'5" 180 · 22.8
10.5
0
1-3
40%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 30.2
5.0
0
0-1
43%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.8
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 32.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.