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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 15, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Bulls76%100100
27Pistons24%9094
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.0
44.7
38.5
2
13%
8
4
2
1
0
2
0
8
0-0
-
1-4
5-9
25%
49%
0-4
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 30.4
41.9
28.0
15
54%
9
0
1
1
1
3
0
9
1-2
50%
7-13
6-11
54%
54%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
41.1
23.6
24
47%
4
9
2
1
2
7
1
3
5-8
63%
8-18
5-10
44%
50%
1-4
25%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.1
40.3
23.1
20
60%
17
3
1
1
2
1
13
4
4-4
100%
8-15
3-6
53%
52%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.2
20.6
19.2
13
54%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-10
3-7
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.1
27.3
20.1
13
89%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
2-4
50%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.1
13.2
16.5
3
26%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-5
2-4
20%
51%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.0
12.1
25.2
4
34%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
2-6
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.8
12.0
23.7
4
41%
4
0
0
1
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
1-4
4-7
25%
51%
0-0
-
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.8
11.3
14.9
2
100%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
53%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 22.6
0.6
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 29.4
9.0
0
1-2
45%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 36.8
0.6
0
0-0
38%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 21.9
41.7
27.0
13
44%
8
0
1
1
1
2
3
5
3-4
75%
5-13
5-9
38%
52%
0-0
-
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.4
38.0
29.4
13
60%
5
7
1
1
0
7
2
3
2-2
100%
4-9
3-7
44%
43%
1-1
100%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.0
35.0
20.9
32
59%
4
1
3
1
0
0
1
3
13-18
72%
5-14
3-6
36%
44%
3-5
60%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.1
34.8
27.1
4
25%
5
4
2
0
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
2-8
4-9
25%
44%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.2
32.5
24.2
6
33%
9
0
0
1
1
2
2
7
0-0
-
3-9
3-6
33%
48%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.0
29.3
23.5
9
67%
3
3
1
1
2
3
0
3
4-4
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
45%
1-1
100%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 27.6
19.9
5.6
13
43%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-9
1-1
56%
45%
1-6
17%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.3
18.2
15.8
2
33%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 37.6
11.0
17.2
0
0%
3
1
1
1
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.3
4.6
18.1
2
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.1
20.8
1
2-5
50%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.9
6.8
0
1-2
41%
Walker Russell
G · 6'0" 170 · 29.5
3.3
0
0-1
37%
Vernon Macklin
F · 6'10" 227 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.