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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 15, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Trail Blazers53%104103
24Kings47%103104
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 25.5
38.2
35.3
31
89%
3
3
1
1
1
4
1
2
3-3
100%
2-6
4-7
33%
48%
8-10
80%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.3
36.0
30.4
14
64%
4
3
0
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
53%
2-5
40%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 23.6
35.1
33.4
10
51%
13
2
1
1
2
1
3
10
2-4
50%
4-8
6-11
50%
49%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 27.8
29.0
32.5
19
54%
2
4
1
1
0
4
0
2
1-1
100%
6-10
4-8
60%
47%
2-7
29%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 32.5
26.4
19.4
2
50%
4
0
0
0
2
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
56%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.8
22.4
18.3
9
57%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.7
20.9
8.7
7
88%
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
1-1
100%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.2
19.0
9.4
9
50%
4
5
0
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
43%
1-4
25%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.2
13.1
5.2
2
50%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 32.1
27.5
1
4-8
46%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.7
18.1
0
4-8
52%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 28.4
3.6
0
1-1
55%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 39.5
3.0
0
0-1
49%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.2
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.6
42.3
26.0
20
45%
3
3
1
1
0
2
3
0
2-3
67%
9-21
4-9
43%
48%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.2
39.5
27.3
18
48%
3
8
1
1
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
5-14
3-6
36%
49%
2-4
50%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 24.9
37.8
26.8
20
56%
5
1
0
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
7-11
4-7
64%
49%
2-7
29%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.7
31.6
27.7
23
61%
7
1
1
1
0
1
2
5
1-2
50%
11-17
6-14
65%
46%
0-1
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 25.7
27.2
26.0
3
52%
5
1
2
1
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
1-2
3-7
50%
52%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 28.8
19.2
16.5
2
25%
7
6
1
1
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
49%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.8
10.8
24.0
5
83%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 27.6
10.2
7.8
6
100%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
2-2
100%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.1
8.3
22.1
7
58%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 24.1
7.1
18.3
0
0%
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-1
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.3
6.0
7.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 21.8
7.5
0
1-2
47%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.8
4.3
0
1-1
50%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 32.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.