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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 15, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Grizzlies57%9575
21Hornets43%9388
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.7
36.7
38.6
24
64%
4
0
1
1
1
4
2
2
4-4
100%
7-13
6-13
54%
49%
2-4
50%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.5
29.3
33.2
5
28%
5
3
0
2
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
0-6
4-8
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.2
28.4
34.2
11
55%
7
3
0
1
1
2
2
5
7-9
78%
2-6
5-10
33%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.3
26.1
16.1
4
41%
2
0
0
1
0
2
2
0
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 24.7
25.3
21.1
8
40%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
4-10
3-7
40%
48%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.4
27.1
25.3
11
35%
4
2
1
1
0
6
0
4
5-8
63%
3-5
3-6
60%
44%
0-7
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.7
22.9
27.3
2
50%
13
3
1
1
0
0
2
11
0-0
-
1-2
5-10
50%
48%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.1
20.6
17.9
4
33%
3
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 30.3
10.7
12.8
6
100%
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
2-3
67%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.0
9.3
10.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 26.9
1.2
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 26.1
1.2
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.1
1.2
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
44%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.2
37.1
31.2
8
37%
1
9
3
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
0-5
3-7
0%
48%
2-5
40%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.6
28.8
29.3
12
56%
7
2
3
1
0
1
3
4
4-4
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.3
28.3
23.5
18
72%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
8-8
100%
5-9
4-7
56%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.1
26.9
27.8
14
54%
10
4
0
1
0
1
3
7
0-0
-
7-13
5-9
54%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.0
19.9
30.1
4
69%
3
0
1
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
6-12
50%
47%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.6
26.1
21.6
16
68%
11
0
1
0
0
1
1
10
4-4
100%
6-10
4-7
60%
51%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.1
22.2
17.7
4
40%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.1
21.5
25.7
6
32%
0
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
46%
1-7
14%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.0
15.9
11.6
4
50%
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jerome Dyson
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.0
12.0
10.8
2
50%
1
2
1
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.0
1.2
6.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
9.3
0
1-3
48%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.8
9.2
0
1-2
46%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 26.7
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.