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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 15, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Rockets44%10386
13Nuggets56%105101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.5
34.4
31.2
8
40%
4
2
3
1
1
1
1
3
0-2
0%
1-5
3-7
20%
47%
2-4
50%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.5
32.5
29.1
12
38%
9
0
0
1
0
2
4
5
3-6
50%
3-10
3-6
30%
51%
1-3
33%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.9
28.1
35.6
12
47%
4
6
2
1
0
4
2
2
3-4
75%
3-6
4-8
50%
51%
1-5
20%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 32.0
27.9
30.7
19
64%
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
3-4
75%
8-13
7-13
62%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 38.1
7.7
25.3
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
44%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.9
34.9
26.4
19
59%
6
1
2
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
48%
5-10
50%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.1
29.8
20.5
1
7%
2
1
0
0
1
2
2
0
1-2
50%
0-6
4-8
0%
47%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.9
18.6
10.5
4
33%
7
0
1
0
2
3
1
6
0-0
-
2-6
2-3
33%
50%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.1
13.7
22.2
3
25%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 35.9
6.2
4.0
4
69%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
6.2
2.1
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.2
6.8
0
1-2
46%
Diamon Simpson
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.6
Courtney Fortson
G · 5'11" 185 · 23.9
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 24.4
34.2
30.2
20
57%
2
5
1
1
0
1
1
1
6-6
100%
7-11
4-8
64%
53%
0-4
0%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.5
33.6
36.4
20
67%
4
2
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
7-12
5-9
58%
51%
2-3
67%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.7
29.3
25.3
10
56%
5
3
1
1
0
3
0
5
1-2
50%
3-4
3-5
75%
48%
1-4
25%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.4
29.3
23.8
10
71%
11
1
1
1
2
3
2
9
6-7
86%
2-4
4-7
50%
55%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.1
20.0
13.0
9
65%
6
0
0
0
1
1
3
3
1-2
50%
4-6
2-3
67%
53%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.1
24.0
19.5
14
58%
0
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
7-11
2-4
64%
47%
0-1
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.1
22.0
28.1
6
33%
7
11
1
1
1
2
1
6
0-0
-
3-9
4-7
33%
48%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.2
20.6
23.8
5
28%
4
1
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
51%
1-4
25%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.2
17.9
22.0
7
74%
6
0
0
0
1
0
1
5
1-4
25%
3-3
4-8
100%
54%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.9
7.1
17.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21.5
1.9
6.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 25.7
8.4
0
1-2
52%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.8
4.6
0
1-1
56%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.4
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 27.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.