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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 16, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Wizards18%8887
4Bulls82%10084
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 22.4
42.9
34.4
21
52%
13
0
1
1
5
3
8
5
1-3
33%
10-19
5-11
53%
49%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.6
36.1
33.5
16
44%
2
5
1
1
2
1
0
2
6-7
86%
5-13
5-11
38%
42%
0-2
0%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 23.5
31.3
31.4
9
29%
2
6
0
1
0
4
0
2
5-6
83%
2-10
5-11
20%
44%
0-3
0%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 22.0
21.6
27.9
6
38%
4
1
2
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 22.4
15.6
20.5
0
0%
4
0
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
39%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.4
26.5
4.1
14
75%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
4-6
0-1
67%
44%
1-2
50%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.4
19.5
21.8
5
25%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
40%
1-6
17%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 22.0
16.5
12.1
4
29%
3
4
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
40%
0-1
0%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.7
16.3
22.5
6
60%
5
0
2
1
2
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
49%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 31.4
13.8
5.1
6
75%
8
1
1
0
0
0
1
7
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
2-4
50%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.6
8.0
0
1-3
53%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.4
7.5
0
1-2
51%
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 27.2
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.7
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 25.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.0
35.4
18.5
17
54%
2
8
1
1
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
3-9
2-4
33%
44%
3-6
50%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.2
34.0
18.8
22
52%
5
5
0
0
0
4
3
2
3-3
100%
8-17
3-7
47%
47%
1-3
33%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 30.4
33.8
32.2
16
45%
13
4
0
1
0
0
3
10
4-6
67%
6-15
7-13
40%
54%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.1
29.6
29.4
6
43%
11
0
0
1
5
2
5
6
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
53%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.1
28.0
14.7
6
30%
4
2
5
1
1
2
2
2
0-2
0%
3-9
2-3
33%
51%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.1
29.1
22.2
3
26%
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
3-4
75%
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-4
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.8
18.7
17.7
8
58%
3
1
0
0
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
52%
0-0
-
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.8
13.6
12.9
2
43%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
2-3
67%
0-1
1-2
0%
54%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 29.4
12.8
6.9
2
17%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
46%
0-1
0%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 22.6
4.9
2.9
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.0
38.8
1
4-9
49%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.1
2.0
0
0-0
46%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 36.8
0.8
0
0-0
44%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.