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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 16, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Nuggets42%102105
13Rockets58%105102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.5
42.3
34.9
26
70%
3
5
0
1
0
0
0
3
5-6
83%
9-14
5-9
64%
50%
1-2
50%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 24.5
35.6
31.6
25
67%
4
1
2
1
1
2
1
3
5-8
63%
7-13
4-9
54%
52%
2-2
100%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.7
34.4
26.8
11
51%
5
2
1
1
0
3
0
5
3-4
75%
1-6
3-6
17%
48%
2-3
67%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.4
22.1
25.7
4
40%
4
1
1
1
2
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
4-7
40%
53%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.1
13.6
16.1
0
0%
7
1
0
0
1
0
3
4
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.2
27.7
22.5
15
59%
9
1
3
1
0
2
0
9
4-4
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
50%
3-9
33%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.1
25.6
25.6
4
25%
2
13
1
1
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
2-8
3-7
25%
47%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.1
17.9
21.3
11
87%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
3-3
2-5
100%
46%
1-2
50%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.2
16.8
20.3
9
67%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1-4
25%
4-5
4-7
80%
53%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 25.8
3.9
6.4
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21.5
5.2
0
1-1
46%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.8
4.8
0
1-1
55%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.4
3.3
0
0-0
47%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.9
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 27.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 32.0
42.4
29.4
14
44%
13
7
0
1
0
2
5
8
2-2
100%
6-14
7-13
43%
51%
0-1
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.9
38.4
32.2
21
52%
4
7
1
1
0
2
2
2
3-3
100%
6-12
4-7
50%
51%
2-7
29%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.5
35.9
32.0
18
60%
5
2
0
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
6-9
3-7
67%
48%
2-6
33%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.5
34.1
30.0
21
61%
3
3
3
1
1
1
0
3
3-3
100%
6-9
3-7
67%
51%
2-7
29%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.9
24.4
13.8
5
35%
9
1
1
0
7
0
3
6
3-5
60%
1-5
2-4
20%
51%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.1
29.1
24.1
9
41%
7
2
1
0
0
3
4
3
1-2
50%
4-10
4-9
40%
48%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.1
19.8
19.1
10
51%
2
1
0
1
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
2-6
33%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.9
15.9
29.3
4
40%
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 38.1
18.3
1
2-4
44%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.2
6.9
0
1-2
47%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 35.9
5.4
0
1-2
44%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
4.3
0
1-1
48%
Diamon Simpson
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.6
Courtney Fortson
G · 5'11" 185 · 23.9
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.