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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 16, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Spurs68%105120
22Warriors32%9999
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.0
19.4
17.5
10
60%
5
0
2
1
0
0
1
4
2-3
67%
4-7
3-6
57%
53%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
18.8
20.5
11
50%
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
47%
3-7
43%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.8
16.2
21.6
7
88%
7
2
1
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
54%
1-2
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.9
14.5
24.6
8
46%
2
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
2-7
5-10
29%
51%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.0
11.3
25.1
13
67%
2
0
1
1
1
0
2
0
3-4
75%
5-8
6-11
63%
50%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.5
25.1
16.3
17
72%
3
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
47%
3-3
100%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.0
22.2
16.7
5
42%
9
1
0
0
1
2
5
4
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
53%
1-1
100%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.0
22.1
22.7
8
40%
6
4
1
1
0
2
1
5
8-9
89%
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
0-4
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.3
21.8
15.7
15
53%
8
2
0
0
2
5
3
5
9-12
75%
3-9
3-5
33%
59%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.1
18.7
8.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.0
18.5
18.2
8
57%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
2-5
40%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.7
16.8
14.3
6
34%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
0-2
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 34.7
14.6
23.0
12
72%
3
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-3
67%
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
2-3
67%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.2
42.7
33.9
29
61%
8
5
2
1
0
3
0
8
3-4
75%
10-17
4-9
59%
46%
2-5
40%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 26.4
33.3
27.7
17
62%
6
1
1
1
1
0
1
5
4-4
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
49%
3-6
50%
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 20.8
32.5
18.2
11
40%
10
2
1
0
0
3
5
5
1-2
50%
5-13
3-6
38%
47%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.1
23.4
19.0
2
11%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-8
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Mickell Gladness
C · 6'11" 220 · 25.7
13.8
7.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 27.9
30.9
27.0
30
68%
2
7
1
1
0
2
0
2
5-5
100%
8-13
3-7
62%
47%
3-7
43%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.8
23.3
28.9
6
60%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-5
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Chris Wright
F · 6'9" 226 · 23.5
16.4
5.1
0
0%
7
0
1
0
3
1
5
2
0-0
-
0-4
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
15.1
19.4
2
25%
4
3
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 36.4
8.5
2
50%
4
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.0
24.8
1
6-11
51%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 31.8
15.6
0
1-2
45%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.0
13.0
0
1-1
56%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.4
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.