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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 17, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Pacers35%91102
1176ers65%9697
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.0
37.0
26.0
12
51%
4
7
1
1
1
1
2
2
2-2
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
2-5
40%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.0
34.5
29.0
24
60%
6
3
0
1
0
2
3
3
2-2
100%
2-11
4-9
18%
44%
6-8
75%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.6
32.9
25.8
13
36%
3
1
1
1
2
2
1
2
3-5
60%
5-16
4-9
31%
48%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 25.3
32.1
27.7
15
49%
13
0
0
0
1
1
4
9
3-3
100%
6-14
4-9
43%
47%
0-0
-
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.0
27.1
25.5
9
90%
7
5
4
1
1
2
1
6
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
48%
3-4
75%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 29.4
21.1
22.1
9
50%
1
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 26.5
19.9
21.6
9
61%
4
0
2
1
1
1
2
2
3-3
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
41%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.3
13.8
17.0
9
85%
3
1
2
0
0
0
1
2
2-3
67%
2-2
1-3
100%
43%
1-2
50%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.5
11.0
12.2
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
40%
0-2
0%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.4
10.6
13.8
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 25.3
5.1
0
0-1
45%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.0
3.5
0
0-1
48%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 21.6
2.9
0
0-1
42%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 35.2
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.2
36.6
34.7
23
76%
7
6
1
1
0
3
1
6
4-7
57%
5-8
3-6
63%
49%
3-4
75%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.1
35.2
25.6
11
45%
8
1
1
1
3
0
4
4
3-5
60%
4-10
4-8
40%
50%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 21.8
30.8
32.6
8
45%
5
3
1
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
3-6
5-10
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.7
19.8
26.9
4
41%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 21.5
11.5
9.2
2
17%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
1-5
2-3
20%
50%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.5
29.8
28.0
18
51%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
7-8
88%
4-9
4-8
44%
45%
1-5
20%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.5
27.5
24.1
0
0%
7
4
0
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
0-3
4-8
0%
47%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.8
25.5
27.2
19
81%
6
0
0
1
0
1
4
2
4-4
100%
6-9
5-10
67%
52%
1-1
100%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.0
23.5
25.9
12
55%
8
1
0
0
1
5
3
5
2-2
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
50%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 26.9
2.9
0
0-1
46%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23.2
2.6
0
0-1
48%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 36.2
2.2
0
0-0
44%
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.5
1.6
0
0-0
49%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.