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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 17, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Spurs38%98112
7Lakers62%10291
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.0
35.1
20.3
19
66%
8
3
2
0
0
0
1
7
1-1
100%
9-14
4-9
64%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.9
30.6
21.2
29
71%
3
13
1
1
0
7
0
3
1-1
100%
14-19
4-8
74%
50%
0-1
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
24.1
20.0
11
110%
0
1
2
1
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
45%
3-4
75%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.3
18.4
18.1
5
48%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
1-5
20%
2-3
3-6
67%
56%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.8
17.9
19.7
3
30%
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
1-3
33%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 34.7
26.4
20.1
15
51%
6
4
1
1
0
0
2
4
2-4
50%
5-8
2-4
63%
50%
1-5
20%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.0
25.2
22.4
8
50%
3
1
0
1
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
43%
0-2
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.0
23.5
18.5
5
63%
8
2
0
0
1
0
2
6
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.0
18.9
18.7
4
100%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.5
13.8
19.7
10
56%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-9
2-4
56%
45%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.7
3.7
15.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
43%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.1
2.5
12.2
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
1-1
100%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.0
18.5
1
3-7
51%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.8
34.0
37.2
16
53%
7
5
0
1
1
3
1
6
0-0
-
8-15
7-14
53%
52%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.5
32.9
35.9
21
58%
7
2
0
1
0
2
0
7
5-5
100%
8-16
9-16
50%
56%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.4
32.2
34.8
11
45%
3
3
3
1
0
2
3
0
3-3
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.5
26.1
18.5
9
53%
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
2
1-1
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
48%
0-1
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.0
25.8
32.8
10
63%
3
4
1
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
5-8
4-8
63%
46%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 32.1
31.3
27.5
16
67%
6
4
0
1
0
3
1
5
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
53%
2-4
50%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.1
25.0
21.1
2
20%
1
7
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
0-2
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.1
13.4
14.8
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
53%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 32.0
12.0
5.8
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.7
3.7
2.0
4
100%
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.3
3.7
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
46%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.7
12.1
0
2-5
48%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.4
2.0
0
0-1
44%
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.