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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 18, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Bucks65%102112
26Wizards35%97121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.5
41.5
35.0
31
60%
3
6
3
2
2
3
0
3
2-2
100%
13-19
7-13
68%
49%
1-6
17%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 22.6
37.5
38.1
25
58%
5
4
0
2
0
0
0
5
6-6
100%
5-13
5-12
38%
47%
3-6
50%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 30.6
34.3
22.7
21
53%
12
6
2
1
0
1
6
6
7-9
78%
7-16
4-9
44%
48%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.9
31.9
23.3
14
56%
11
1
3
1
0
4
5
6
7-8
88%
2-7
3-7
29%
51%
1-2
50%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 29.6
13.9
24.8
4
40%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
46%
0-2
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 31.6
34.7
22.6
8
67%
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-4
2-5
100%
52%
0-2
0%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.6
15.5
18.0
6
75%
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
50%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 24.9
13.0
18.3
2
20%
4
0
0
1
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 26.6
10.9
4.0
1
27%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.8
6.1
13.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 25.1
0.6
2.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.4
16.3
1
2-5
49%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.8
2.3
0
0-1
50%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 22.9
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.6
35.1
33.8
14
44%
3
10
0
1
1
4
0
3
4-7
57%
5-13
5-12
38%
45%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 23.5
33.6
30.7
32
72%
4
3
1
1
0
3
1
3
9-12
75%
10-14
5-11
71%
46%
1-3
33%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 22.4
28.7
36.7
14
54%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
6-12
7-13
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 22.0
26.4
25.3
8
67%
10
3
1
1
0
1
3
7
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 22.4
16.9
18.6
10
83%
5
0
2
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
42%
2-3
67%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.4
23.5
12.7
7
41%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-1
0%
2-5
1-2
40%
48%
1-3
33%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.7
21.4
19.8
11
69%
5
0
2
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
52%
1-2
50%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.6
18.2
7.9
14
56%
4
1
0
0
2
0
0
4
0-1
0%
7-12
2-3
58%
56%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.4
17.0
20.7
7
122%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
43%
2-2
100%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 22.0
12.9
13.7
2
33%
0
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-0
-
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 27.2
5.7
0.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 31.4
0.5
8.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.4
7.6
0
1-2
53%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 25.7
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.