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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 18, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Knicks63%102104
22Nets37%9795
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 29.5
37.1
34.9
18
76%
10
2
3
1
2
2
6
4
8-11
73%
5-7
4-6
71%
64%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.9
36.3
16.1
8
40%
3
8
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
43%
2-6
33%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.9
35.1
37.3
33
70%
7
4
0
1
1
1
0
7
6-6
100%
6-14
8-17
43%
48%
5-7
71%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 21.8
28.2
29.3
8
67%
3
5
4
2
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-4
2-5
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.8
19.4
23.5
3
26%
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
1-4
3-5
25%
54%
0-1
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26.6
30.3
32.3
15
47%
8
2
1
1
0
1
0
8
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
47%
3-9
33%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.8
26.7
23.4
9
56%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
3-8
38%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.5
8.6
5.9
3
44%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
57%
0-1
0%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 23.2
8.1
4.6
2
25%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.1
7.8
5.2
3
40%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
0-2
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 25.6
2.4
1.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
53%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 33.0
20.9
1
2-4
46%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.4
9.8
0
1-2
46%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.7
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
38.4
35.3
8
31%
15
4
1
1
2
4
7
8
4-4
100%
2-11
6-12
18%
49%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.7
31.4
10.0
21
60%
5
1
0
0
0
3
1
4
6-8
75%
6-11
1-2
55%
49%
1-3
33%
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 26.0
28.5
17.3
18
69%
6
6
1
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
42%
4-5
80%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.2
20.9
33.6
5
39%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
2-5
5-10
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Jordan Williams
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.5
12.5
26.2
4
100%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
49%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.0
33.1
13.7
9
90%
5
2
0
0
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
3-5
60%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.6
31.4
21.3
10
46%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
47%
2-8
25%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.2
25.2
29.5
12
47%
7
2
0
1
0
2
0
7
2-2
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
52%
0-3
0%
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.1
11.9
8.3
6
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
43%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.2
6.7
9.2
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.8
22.4
1
3-7
48%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.5
15.0
0
1-2
48%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.4
5.9
0
1-1
46%
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.5
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.