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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 18, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Pistons23%9184
16Hawks77%101116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.9
29.8
6.8
4
15%
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
2-5
40%
1-9
1-2
11%
40%
0-2
0%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.4
26.9
30.0
5
28%
2
3
0
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
43%
1-6
17%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 21.9
24.8
28.8
17
58%
5
1
1
1
0
1
2
3
3-4
75%
7-13
5-10
54%
51%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.0
20.5
25.7
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
4-8
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.2
14.2
23.6
4
40%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
0-0
-
Vernon Macklin
F · 6'10" 227 · 25.6
23.2
1.9
8
51%
9
2
0
0
1
1
4
5
2-2
100%
3-7
0-0
43%
43%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 27.6
19.9
15.1
14
59%
6
1
0
0
1
2
3
3
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
2-5
40%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.3
19.1
13.4
0
0%
5
1
2
0
0
0
2
3
0-2
0%
0-4
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.1
18.9
17.5
7
70%
8
1
0
1
0
1
0
8
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
1-1
100%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.3
15.5
12.2
2
20%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
0-2
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.0
14.8
21.0
8
36%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
44%
2-6
33%
Walker Russell
G · 6'0" 170 · 29.5
12.4
4.5
15
77%
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
1
4-4
100%
4-7
0-1
57%
37%
1-1
100%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.1
28.8
0
4-9
44%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 37.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.8
22.3
32.5
13
60%
4
2
2
1
0
0
1
3
4-4
100%
3-4
4-8
75%
51%
1-5
20%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.9
20.5
28.5
6
50%
3
5
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
53%
0-2
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.4
19.3
31.8
12
61%
9
3
0
1
1
2
1
8
4-4
100%
4-7
7-14
57%
51%
0-1
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.3
16.9
22.3
6
75%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
2-3
67%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.4
15.1
7.8
7
90%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
3-3
0-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.0
32.9
24.0
16
63%
10
0
1
1
0
1
1
9
4-6
67%
6-10
4-7
60%
52%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.5
27.5
14.8
9
50%
2
8
2
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
44%
1-5
20%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.7
25.7
10.2
10
46%
3
3
0
0
1
0
1
2
3-4
75%
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
1-5
20%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.8
18.8
30.0
10
46%
7
0
2
1
1
0
1
6
4-4
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
50%
0-1
0%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.9
17.4
13.9
17
70%
4
4
1
0
1
1
1
3
4-5
80%
5-8
1-3
63%
47%
1-2
50%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.5
12.4
4.8
3
38%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.4
11.1
11.9
7
88%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.8
1.6
0
0-0
56%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.2
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.