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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 18, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Raptors17%8872
4Heat83%10196
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 29.5
45.4
26.9
15
40%
2
3
1
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
7-10
2-5
70%
39%
0-8
0%
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.1
33.7
24.1
3
31%
5
2
1
1
0
2
1
4
1-2
50%
1-4
3-7
25%
40%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.7
30.3
33.9
12
39%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
5-12
6-13
42%
45%
0-2
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.0
21.3
24.9
3
34%
4
1
0
1
0
3
2
2
1-1
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
56%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.4
13.9
16.0
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.9
31.5
26.5
8
58%
4
1
1
1
3
0
2
2
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.1
28.7
14.0
9
41%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
44%
0-4
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.2
25.3
22.3
18
68%
6
2
3
1
0
1
2
4
3-3
100%
6-10
3-7
60%
46%
1-2
50%
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 24.1
10.1
9.7
2
33%
6
0
0
0
2
2
2
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.3
16.1
0
2-3
47%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.6
12.8
0
1-2
47%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.9
2.5
0
0-0
43%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.5
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.5
32.8
21.7
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
42%
0-4
0%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.3
30.2
35.1
28
84%
5
4
2
2
0
5
0
5
3-4
75%
11-14
8-15
79%
56%
1-1
100%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.9
24.7
26.0
9
92%
2
7
2
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
53%
1-1
100%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.9
23.4
18.6
10
67%
7
1
1
0
1
0
1
6
0-1
0%
5-7
2-4
71%
48%
0-0
-
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.1
15.5
4.8
8
43%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
2-3
67%
3-8
1-1
38%
52%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.6
25.0
21.4
7
72%
6
2
2
1
0
2
4
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
51%
2-4
50%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.5
22.2
12.3
2
13%
1
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
2-3
17%
46%
0-2
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.2
21.6
18.9
13
81%
1
6
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
3-4
75%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29.7
19.2
17.2
6
60%
5
0
0
0
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
54%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 39.2
13.2
2.6
7
55%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
1-3
33%
3-5
0-1
60%
46%
0-0
-
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.7
8.9
15.6
2
50%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.4
3.5
2.1
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
56%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.3
23.2
1
5-10
54%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.1
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.