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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 18, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Magic34%8898
8Celtics66%94102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.0
39.5
34.4
12
47%
9
0
1
1
0
2
5
4
4-4
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
48%
0-4
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.8
36.5
31.0
13
65%
4
5
0
1
0
3
1
3
8-9
89%
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
1-3
33%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.2
36.5
30.8
21
51%
4
9
1
1
0
1
2
2
4-4
100%
4-13
4-8
31%
47%
3-6
50%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.3
35.2
15.6
27
72%
7
0
3
0
1
3
4
3
3-6
50%
12-16
3-6
75%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.2
25.3
28.8
11
43%
6
1
1
1
0
1
0
6
0-2
0%
4-7
3-5
57%
47%
1-5
20%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 32.0
22.7
17.5
3
30%
5
0
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
1-4
25%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.6
11.5
13.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.7
11.4
14.3
6
47%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
3-4
2-3
75%
47%
0-2
0%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.7
10.9
18.4
3
54%
4
0
0
1
0
1
3
1
1-4
25%
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.3
10.3
23.7
2
50%
3
0
0
0
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
41%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.8
6.8
0
1-2
39%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.0
3.1
0
0-1
42%
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.6
2.9
0
0-1
43%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.4
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.0
37.4
32.8
21
72%
2
3
0
1
0
2
1
1
7-8
88%
7-11
5-10
64%
50%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.4
36.5
34.0
23
75%
1
1
1
1
0
4
0
1
2-3
67%
9-12
4-8
75%
48%
1-2
50%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.5
35.0
30.9
29
75%
5
14
2
1
0
3
0
5
11-12
92%
9-12
4-9
75%
49%
0-2
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 35.9
34.0
26.9
15
45%
9
1
1
1
1
3
1
8
3-4
75%
6-15
6-12
40%
51%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 28.4
23.6
14.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.6
24.1
18.6
2
33%
5
1
1
1
4
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
53%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.9
23.4
10.6
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.3
13.0
5.0
4
50%
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.1
12.9
2.3
5
83%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.2
37.0
2
4-8
49%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 36.7
22.6
1
2-3
50%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.5
6.4
0
1-1
55%
JaJuan Johnson
F · 6'10" 221 · 23.2
2.9
0
1-1
49%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 33.5
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.