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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 18, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Hornets28%8991
9Grizzlies72%96103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.1
35.7
27.9
16
50%
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
5-11
3-6
45%
45%
2-5
40%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.6
31.3
31.5
5
32%
2
0
2
1
1
3
0
2
3-4
75%
1-6
3-7
17%
44%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.3
26.0
34.1
9
48%
1
9
2
1
0
7
1
0
1-1
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
47%
0-2
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.1
18.4
28.6
12
75%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
6-8
5-10
75%
49%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.0
14.4
7.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Darryl Watkins
C · 6'11" 258 · 27.4
28.5
0.1
2
35%
13
1
0
0
2
2
6
7
2-2
100%
0-2
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jerome Dyson
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.0
26.6
12.7
24
85%
3
2
3
0
0
3
0
3
14-16
88%
5-7
1-3
71%
40%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.1
24.8
18.7
3
32%
2
1
0
1
0
5
0
2
1-4
25%
1-3
2-5
33%
42%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.6
21.1
22.8
16
100%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
8-9
89%
4-4
4-8
100%
50%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.0
13.2
16.6
4
41%
4
0
0
1
0
0
3
1
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
50%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.3
18.9
1
3-6
48%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.0
18.6
0
3-7
46%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.8
7.8
0
1-2
45%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.6
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.5
30.4
33.6
20
81%
2
5
1
2
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
6-7
4-8
86%
47%
2-4
50%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.7
30.1
37.5
26
80%
5
4
1
1
2
1
3
2
5-5
100%
6-9
7-13
67%
49%
3-5
60%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.2
23.2
32.3
6
100%
3
4
2
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
5-9
100%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.3
19.1
23.0
4
29%
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-7
3-5
29%
50%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 24.7
14.7
19.4
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
48%
0-1
0%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.5
32.1
25.0
15
54%
1
2
3
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
6-8
3-6
75%
45%
1-6
17%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.8
23.5
27.5
10
56%
6
3
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
5-8
5-10
63%
49%
0-1
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.0
18.8
9.5
6
51%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
51%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.1
16.0
14.3
6
50%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
50%
2-4
50%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 26.9
15.7
6.3
4
69%
3
1
0
0
4
2
2
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 26.1
15.4
2.3
4
27%
0
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
2-6
0-1
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.1
0.9
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 30.3
9.8
0
1-2
46%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.