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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 18, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Thunder58%102109
17Suns42%9997
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.6
40.9
35.7
29
62%
11
5
1
1
2
5
0
11
8-8
100%
9-18
7-13
50%
52%
1-2
50%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.0
30.9
24.4
0
0%
1
1
0
1
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-2
0%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.4
30.7
32.1
15
42%
6
5
2
1
0
3
2
4
3-4
75%
6-16
7-15
38%
47%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.4
27.6
26.9
5
46%
9
0
0
0
0
1
4
5
1-1
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
53%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.6
18.1
24.2
9
51%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
1-2
50%
4-7
4-7
57%
53%
0-1
0%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 22.6
35.8
25.8
40
92%
7
3
4
1
0
3
1
6
11-11
100%
7-9
2-4
78%
55%
5-8
63%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.5
21.1
22.3
6
71%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
4-5
80%
1-2
2-4
50%
58%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.7
17.3
18.8
5
30%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
1-5
1-3
20%
40%
0-2
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 34.6
10.3
9.0
0
0%
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.0
7.1
9.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.3
5.2
0
0-0
41%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 23.5
3.2
0
0-1
51%
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.4
2.4
0
0-0
44%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.9
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.8
36.5
25.2
21
57%
6
1
0
1
0
0
2
4
5-10
50%
5-9
3-6
56%
52%
2-5
40%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.2
33.9
27.4
9
29%
12
2
1
1
1
0
2
10
5-6
83%
2-13
6-10
15%
56%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.2
28.4
24.3
12
73%
1
5
0
0
1
5
0
1
5-5
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
54%
1-2
50%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 28.9
27.3
22.7
13
47%
8
2
0
1
1
1
3
5
2-2
100%
4-9
2-5
44%
47%
1-4
25%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 26.4
26.4
26.4
7
39%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
46%
1-3
33%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 28.8
23.1
16.2
8
67%
8
1
1
0
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
4-5
2-3
80%
57%
0-1
0%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 26.9
19.6
19.9
4
29%
2
4
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-6
50%
43%
0-3
0%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.6
16.9
23.3
5
53%
2
1
0
1
0
4
1
1
2-4
50%
0-2
3-6
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.0
14.1
17.3
11
81%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
3-4
75%
4-5
3-5
80%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 32.7
13.9
18.5
7
47%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-1
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 39.5
10.8
0
2-3
48%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.8
6.7
0
0-1
41%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 29.8
4.3
0
1-1
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.