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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 18, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs67%107127
23Kings33%101102
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.8
27.5
19.2
13
65%
5
4
2
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
54%
1-3
33%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.9
24.8
24.4
15
50%
5
8
0
1
0
0
2
3
7-9
78%
4-10
5-10
40%
52%
0-1
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.0
24.1
18.7
8
80%
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
52%
2-2
100%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.0
22.9
13.8
9
78%
5
2
3
1
0
0
2
3
3-4
75%
3-4
3-5
75%
53%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
20.4
21.3
11
85%
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
47%
2-3
67%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.0
30.2
23.1
13
63%
1
2
0
1
0
4
0
1
3-3
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
2-5
40%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.3
22.1
18.2
17
77%
7
0
0
1
1
1
3
4
5-7
71%
6-8
3-6
75%
58%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.0
17.5
20.3
2
25%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-3
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 34.7
16.8
22.3
13
90%
2
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-5
80%
3-4
2-5
75%
52%
1-1
100%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.5
15.3
17.9
17
90%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
8-9
2-4
89%
47%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.7
13.6
11.8
9
60%
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
4-5
1-3
80%
46%
0-2
0%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.1
5.0
9.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.0
25.0
1
6-11
50%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.6
38.0
31.5
5
28%
3
1
0
1
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
2-7
6-12
29%
47%
0-1
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 25.7
30.5
26.1
10
56%
6
1
1
1
2
2
2
4
2-2
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.2
30.3
31.2
21
70%
2
8
0
1
0
1
0
2
8-9
89%
5-7
4-7
71%
48%
1-4
25%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 24.9
28.7
30.4
20
63%
3
0
0
1
0
1
3
0
0-0
-
7-9
4-9
78%
49%
2-7
29%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.7
26.9
28.8
18
41%
9
1
1
1
1
1
4
5
0-2
0%
9-21
7-14
43%
45%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.8
21.9
19.0
8
45%
2
8
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
2-6
2-5
33%
43%
1-2
50%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 28.9
21.0
17.4
3
104%
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
1-1
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.1
17.8
16.8
9
50%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
42%
1-3
33%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.3
12.2
8.0
5
50%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
1-4
25%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 24.2
6.4
14.2
2
33%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 21.8
6.3
5.1
1
17%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 27.6
8.9
0
1-2
42%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.8
3.4
0
0-1
49%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 32.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.