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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 18, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Jazz57%103112
24Trail Blazers43%10191
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.1
33.8
37.2
23
90%
4
1
2
1
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
49%
3-4
75%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.1
29.6
32.9
27
77%
4
4
0
1
0
1
0
4
5-6
83%
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
6-10
60%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.3
29.3
36.0
11
35%
10
4
2
1
1
0
4
6
3-4
75%
4-14
8-16
29%
50%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.7
25.1
22.8
8
37%
4
1
2
1
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
3-10
2-5
30%
46%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.2
24.7
36.3
6
34%
8
2
2
2
0
2
0
8
2-2
100%
2-8
7-14
25%
52%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 20.7
27.3
13.2
17
68%
5
5
0
0
0
2
1
4
6-8
75%
4-8
2-4
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.1
18.4
15.3
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 20.8
17.4
19.7
5
87%
4
2
0
0
1
2
2
2
1-2
50%
2-2
3-6
100%
50%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 19.9
17.2
9.2
10
85%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
50%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.5
11.9
3.3
5
64%
6
3
1
0
1
0
2
4
1-2
50%
2-3
0-1
67%
56%
0-0
-
Blake Ahearn
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.9
5.3
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
38%
0-2
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 32.0
6.8
0
1-2
45%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.6
6.1
0
0-1
46%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.1
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 32.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.7
39.4
19.8
16
47%
3
0
1
1
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
6-11
2-5
55%
44%
1-5
20%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 23.6
38.9
33.4
16
52%
9
3
0
1
2
3
4
5
8-10
80%
4-11
5-11
36%
49%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 25.5
37.1
36.2
21
63%
4
2
2
1
0
3
0
4
4-4
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
47%
3-7
43%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.2
16.7
9.7
4
69%
6
0
0
0
2
3
3
3
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
53%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.3
15.5
23.5
2
17%
2
3
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
53%
0-1
0%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.8
35.3
25.8
16
45%
5
0
2
0
1
0
1
4
2-2
100%
4-10
2-4
40%
46%
2-7
29%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.2
25.4
16.3
11
55%
2
7
0
1
0
2
1
1
5-7
71%
3-7
1-3
43%
43%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 39.5
19.3
2.9
3
39%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
1-3
0-1
33%
48%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 28.4
12.5
5.0
2
50%
3
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
55%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 32.1
24.2
1
3-7
46%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 27.8
22.0
1
3-5
47%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 32.5
18.0
0
1-2
55%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.7
13.1
0
3-6
52%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.8
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.