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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 18, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Lakers58%10299
21Warriors42%9987
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.4
38.5
33.3
18
64%
2
9
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
6-10
3-6
60%
46%
2-4
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.8
34.9
35.6
22
56%
11
11
0
1
3
0
2
9
8-8
100%
7-16
7-14
44%
52%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.5
29.6
34.5
31
91%
9
1
1
1
1
4
1
8
7-7
100%
12-14
9-15
86%
56%
0-0
-
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.5
29.4
21.6
5
43%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
49%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.0
25.6
29.7
9
42%
7
5
1
1
0
1
1
6
3-6
50%
3-7
3-7
43%
46%
0-1
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 32.1
22.2
28.6
6
47%
9
4
3
1
1
0
3
6
1-1
100%
1-2
3-5
50%
53%
1-4
25%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.1
19.8
22.5
5
42%
0
1
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
1-5
20%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.1
17.9
14.5
3
32%
5
2
2
0
0
0
1
4
1-4
25%
1-3
1-2
33%
53%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 32.0
11.0
8.8
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.3
4.3
2.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.4
4.3
2.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.7
2.5
3.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.7
11.6
0
2-5
48%
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.2
43.1
36.1
17
37%
4
5
1
1
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
6-14
5-10
43%
47%
1-8
13%
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.1
32.3
20.5
6
38%
1
11
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
47%
0-1
0%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 26.4
29.4
29.1
12
51%
7
3
3
1
0
1
2
5
1-2
50%
4-8
2-5
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Mickell Gladness
C · 6'11" 220 · 25.7
22.6
9.8
8
50%
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
4-8
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 20.8
20.9
23.1
15
51%
6
0
1
1
1
2
2
4
3-4
75%
6-13
4-8
46%
48%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.8
30.1
26.3
10
59%
5
2
0
1
1
1
0
5
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
1-3
33%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
26.6
17.5
8
44%
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-9
1-3
44%
45%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 31.8
19.9
11.5
7
41%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 36.5
10.7
5.2
4
100%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
54%
0-0
-
Chris Wright
F · 6'9" 226 · 23.5
4.3
9.4
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 27.9
27.8
1
4-7
48%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.0
18.3
0
4-8
52%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.0
9.3
0
0-1
57%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.4
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.