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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 19, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Bucks34%98109
14Pacers66%103118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.5
41.8
37.0
12
39%
4
7
0
2
0
2
0
4
2-3
67%
5-13
7-14
38%
46%
0-1
0%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 22.6
38.0
37.0
27
49%
5
2
0
2
0
5
0
5
10-10
100%
7-15
5-11
47%
44%
1-8
13%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.6
33.4
17.5
16
70%
11
0
1
1
0
1
5
6
1-1
100%
6-10
2-4
60%
48%
1-1
100%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 30.6
25.9
27.9
15
45%
7
2
0
1
1
0
2
5
3-4
75%
6-14
5-11
43%
45%
0-1
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 29.6
16.2
19.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 31.6
31.8
28.0
23
72%
8
0
0
1
0
1
2
6
8-9
89%
3-5
3-5
60%
50%
3-7
43%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 24.9
18.5
15.8
7
53%
6
1
0
0
2
1
4
2
5-6
83%
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.4
18.2
9.4
4
50%
4
2
2
0
4
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.8
16.2
10.2
5
63%
3
1
2
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 26.6
7.8
0
1-2
47%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 22.9
5.3
0
1-2
48%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.8
2.2
0
0-1
46%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 25.1
2.1
0
0-0
47%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.1
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.0
38.0
28.9
22
73%
5
8
1
1
0
1
1
4
4-7
57%
6-9
3-5
67%
50%
2-3
67%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.0
35.8
30.3
29
58%
5
1
1
1
1
1
2
3
11-11
100%
3-10
5-10
30%
47%
4-10
40%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.6
31.9
27.4
21
67%
14
7
0
1
1
1
3
11
3-4
75%
9-14
5-10
64%
51%
0-0
-
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.0
23.9
25.7
14
57%
3
5
3
1
0
2
1
2
2-3
67%
6-10
3-5
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 25.4
23.1
28.7
12
102%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
5-5
5-10
100%
51%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 29.4
24.6
21.3
10
48%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
1-3
33%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.4
22.8
12.7
4
29%
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
1
0-0
-
2-7
2-3
29%
49%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 26.5
17.6
20.9
4
25%
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-2
0%
2-7
3-7
29%
45%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.3
12.2
15.8
2
20%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-4
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.5
10.0
11.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 25.3
3.9
0
0-1
49%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.0
2.7
0
0-1
53%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 21.6
2.6
0
0-1
48%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.7
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 35.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.