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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 19, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Timberwolves49%10091
25Pistons51%10180
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.8
39.1
33.2
13
50%
6
12
1
1
0
3
0
6
2-2
100%
4-8
4-9
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.3
32.4
29.3
23
59%
9
2
0
1
1
0
3
6
3-6
50%
10-17
5-10
59%
55%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 22.8
27.2
20.4
15
59%
10
0
0
1
3
2
1
9
5-6
83%
5-10
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 25.4
26.6
27.6
3
38%
3
2
0
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
1-4
25%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
21.6
19.9
5
42%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.4
24.6
19.1
6
61%
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
23.7
22.9
13
51%
7
4
1
1
1
2
0
7
3-6
50%
5-10
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.9
19.6
16.0
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.9
16.3
18.4
11
64%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
5-6
83%
3-5
2-5
60%
49%
0-1
0%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.9
8.9
13.2
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 36.0
11.6
0
1-2
47%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 23.6
10.5
0
2-4
49%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 26.8
4.1
0
1-1
48%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 21.5
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.1
33.4
21.1
18
47%
5
3
1
0
1
2
3
2
3-5
60%
6-14
3-7
43%
46%
1-3
33%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.0
30.2
24.0
4
25%
1
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-8
3-7
25%
46%
0-0
-
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.4
28.0
28.8
5
21%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-8
3-7
13%
46%
1-4
25%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 21.9
27.7
27.2
6
43%
5
2
2
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
3-7
5-10
43%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.2
24.8
20.6
4
33%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
50%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.0
25.8
19.0
14
46%
4
3
0
0
0
2
1
3
3-3
100%
4-10
2-5
40%
46%
1-4
25%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 27.7
23.3
16.7
6
50%
12
0
0
0
0
0
1
11
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
48%
2-4
50%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.1
16.0
18.1
6
100%
6
1
0
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
52%
2-2
100%
Vernon Macklin
F · 6'10" 227 · 25.6
14.8
13.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.3
12.0
13.4
17
55%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
8-13
2-4
62%
45%
0-2
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.3
4.0
15.2
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.9
14.6
0
2-4
42%
Walker Russell
G · 6'0" 170 · 29.5
7.3
0
1-2
41%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 37.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.