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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 19, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Bulls42%9272
7Heat58%9583
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.0
39.8
20.1
11
33%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-4
25%
5-11
2-5
45%
46%
0-4
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.1
33.6
26.9
15
98%
10
1
0
1
1
3
1
9
5-6
83%
5-5
4-7
100%
49%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.2
27.5
23.6
6
37%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
4-5
80%
1-4
4-9
25%
44%
0-2
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 30.4
22.6
27.6
10
42%
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
4-11
6-11
36%
51%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.0
19.9
23.3
2
26%
1
4
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
40%
0-1
0%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 29.4
28.1
16.7
16
45%
6
4
0
1
0
2
0
6
4-4
100%
3-9
2-5
33%
41%
2-7
29%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.8
25.4
21.5
9
70%
3
0
2
0
0
1
2
1
1-1
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
48%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.1
16.4
22.2
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-2
0%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.8
14.4
16.4
0
0%
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-2
0%
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.1
12.3
21.2
3
22%
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-6
2-5
17%
48%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 22.6
11.9
0
1-2
44%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 36.8
2.7
0
0-1
40%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.1
2.7
0
0-0
44%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.9
35.8
20.4
6
33%
10
1
0
0
0
1
1
9
0-0
-
3-9
2-4
33%
46%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.3
35.3
33.1
27
58%
11
6
0
1
1
1
0
11
10-12
83%
7-16
8-14
44%
54%
1-2
50%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.9
34.6
25.5
16
46%
2
2
2
1
0
3
1
1
1-3
33%
6-11
2-3
55%
50%
1-5
20%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.3
32.6
18.2
18
48%
3
5
3
1
0
1
1
2
4-6
67%
7-16
4-8
44%
51%
0-0
-
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.1
16.0
9.3
4
50%
7
0
0
0
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29.7
32.0
18.0
4
100%
5
0
1
0
2
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.6
23.0
22.4
3
75%
6
0
0
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
1-2
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.2
15.2
19.9
3
25%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
1-4
25%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.5
12.8
15.9
2
33%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.5
2.7
25.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-0
-
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.7
13.5
0
1-2
46%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 39.2
6.6
0
1-1
44%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.4
3.0
0
0-1
52%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.1
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.